logo

Ford (NYSE: F) Counting on China - Analyst Blog
By: Zacks Investment Research   Monday, July 06, 2009 12:02 PM

Vote for next session
The next market session will close:

On July 5, 2009, the Associated Press (AP) reported that Ford Motor Company's (NYSE:F) sales in China have surged 14% year over year to 197,212 in the first half of 2009. Strong demand for the company's low-cost Fiesta car helped the growth in sales. Ford has sold 18,224 Fiestas since the model was launched in China in March 2009.

According to the AP, Ford's sales at its Chinese passenger car joint venture, Changan Ford Mazda Automobile, rose 20% in the first half to 140,386 vehicles. Jiangling Motors Corp., Ford's commercial vehicle unit, reported first-half sales of 53,327-units. In contrast, Ford reported a 33% decline in sales in the domestic markets on the back of the global slump.

Declining industry sales have pressured Ford's supply base. According to the AP, the company is eliminating short-term suppliers and is cutting down the number of suppliers to 1650 in 2009 from 2198 in the previous year. The company plans to further reduce the supply base to 750 in the near term. Ford purchases about $90 billion in parts annually.

While peers including General Motors (GMGMQ) and Chrysler Group LLC have resorted to government aid and court protection from creditors, Ford has remained independent and managed to stay afloat. However, one thing common to these automakers is declining domestic sales.

This has brought the emerging markets into focus. China has been a major target for automakers who have been witnessing declining demand in North America and other major markets. These automakers are counting on China's relatively healthy sales, assisted by government stimulus programs, to help drive global revenues.

According to the Associated Press, the government of China has reduced retail sales tax on small cars by 50% in the beginning of 2009. The government is also providing subsidies in rural areas to increase demand. This stimulus has helped industry sales, which were up 14% year over year in the first five months of 2009.

Ford is investing around $1.5 billion in new small-car facilities in China, India and Thailand as part of its attempt to grow its business in the region. Ford's F-series -- including the all-new Fusion, Edge, Ford GT, Ford Five Hundred, Ford Freestyle and the Freestar -- accounts for a significant portion of the company's total sales volume and profits.

After introducing Ford Fiesta in China, Ford plans to introduce it in Europe and other markets by 2010. These introductions should go a long way in strengthening Ford's position.

However, rising gas prices are affecting the company's operations. Ford dropped its plans of becoming profitable by 2009 due to a difficult operating environment including an uncompetitive cost structure. Hence, we rate the stock a Hold and set a six-month target price of $6.50.

Zacks Investment Research

(0)
No Comments
Post Comment
Name:  
Alert for new comments:
Your email:
Your Website:
Title:
Comments:
   
 
 
 
 
   
 

The above story is the opinion of the author only and it does not reflect iStockAnalyst opinion. Further, the author is not personally advising you regarding the suitability of the story for your investment needs. In no event iStockAnalyst will be liable for any loss or damage including without limitation, indirect or consequential loss or damage, or any loss or damage whatsoever arising from or arising out of, or in connection with the use of this information. Please consult your investment advisor before making any investment decision.
  
Advertisement
Popular Articles
Related Press Releases
Advertisement
Partner Center
Recent Articles by Zacks Investment Research



Subscribe to Email Alerts rss feed or RSS feeds rss feed for articles from more than 500 contributors, press releases, SEC filings and full text news from more than four thousand sources.
Fundamental data is provided by Zacks Investment Research, market data is provided by AlphaTrade. , and Commentary and Press Releases provided by Quotemedia