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Market Timing Signals
By: Kirk Report   Wednesday, July 08, 2009 10:38 AM

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You have to love this quote from Helene Meisler this morning:

"The issue is that it seems everyone is out there looking for a special signal that is going to ring a bell and make them a million bucks. It just doesn't happen that way. There is no signal that works like that. If there were, would we all be working so hard at this game we call the market?" -Helene Meisler

With all of the chatter recently of bullish moving average crossovers and golden crosses, you have to respect how the market always finds a way to rattle and shake the confidence of those who are utilizing these simple signals for market-timing purposes. I've seen then phenomenon many times over the duration of my career and we just saw another timely example of this behavior.

Speaking of market signals, many of you have asked how the major market averages are holding up according to their ATR stops (and 2-period RSI following the recent Q&A). Well, not so good as you can see below as all remain below their ATR stops:

As things go, I wouldn't be at all surprised if we see frustrating whipsaws on both sides of this beast just to keep all of us on our toes this summer. While I continue to see the 50% fibo retracement in the S&P down to the 811 area as a clear possibility, we'll need some help from terrible earnings and poor guidance for that to come to fruition.


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The above story is the opinion of the author only and it does not reflect iStockAnalyst opinion. Further, the author is not personally advising you regarding the suitability of the story for your investment needs. In no event iStockAnalyst will be liable for any loss or damage including without limitation, indirect or consequential loss or damage, or any loss or damage whatsoever arising from or arising out of, or in connection with the use of this information. Please consult your investment advisor before making any investment decision.
  
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