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Scared Of Debt
By: Saj Karsan   Wednesday, July 15, 2009 11:19 AM

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If you're not the type of person that levers up his assets to the hilt (i.e. you would rather save up for a sizable downpayment for a car/house rather than borrow as much as you possibly can), you might apply that same mentality towards the businesses you own. Yet when it comes to stocks, many individuals who are not otherwise reckless with risk buy companies without regard for their levels of debt.


But while a company may look great from a net asset and earnings point of view, the company faces increased risk when it has levered itself up. Consider Thermadyne ( ), a global supplier of cutting and welding products. Thermadyne trades for just $48 million, but its operating income in each of the last two fiscal years was above $40 million! Furthermore, its book value is $120 million.

The problem is, the company operates in a cyclical industry, meaning when a recession bites, it bites hard: revenue in the most recent quarter is down 35% from the same period last year and is at a level at which the company cannot make money. While revenues may eventually return to normal when the macroeconomic situation stabilizes, debt charges don't wait. The company is laden with $235 million in debt, for a debt to market equity ratio of almost 5!

To return to the personal asset example, this is akin to putting a 16% downpayment on a home (and taking on the rest as debt) when you don't have any income. You will likely find employment when the economic situation improves, but your creditors want their payments now!

Of course, this does not mean that Thermadyne does not make sense as an investment for those who specialize in such situations. It is cheap across several metrics, and a 2nd order analysis of its debt maturities reveals it has some time to repay much of its debt. But the fact that remains that high debt levels are akin to playing with fire. You may be able to get away with it for a while, but a Black Swan can leave you in a precarious position.

Disclosure: None


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The above story is the opinion of the author only and it does not reflect iStockAnalyst opinion. Further, the author is not personally advising you regarding the suitability of the story for your investment needs. In no event iStockAnalyst will be liable for any loss or damage including without limitation, indirect or consequential loss or damage, or any loss or damage whatsoever arising from or arising out of, or in connection with the use of this information. Please consult your investment advisor before making any investment decision.
  
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