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Woodward Governor (NASDAQ:WGOV): Downgraded To Neutral At Baird; Goverment Suspends MPC
By: Notable Calls   Tuesday, July 28, 2009 1:55 PM

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Baird is out quite negative on Woodward Governor (NASDAQ: ) downgrading the shares to Neutral from Outperform, no change to $23 price target. Firm believes suspension of MPC from participating in federal grants/programs creates a material revenue risk for WGOV and exacerbates already uncertain revenue visibility in company's aerospace, power generation, and infrastructure-related end markets. They remain constructive on long-term growth potential, but would look to high-teens to become buyers.

- MPC suspended from federal programs. As disclosed in WGOV's third quarter 10-Q, MPC (included in WGOV's Airframe Systems segment) received a notice of suspension from the U.S. Department of Defense stating that MPC has been temporarily suspended from participating in new federal procurements and grants, effective July 8.

- Recall that MPC derives approximately one-half of its near-$200MM revenue base from defense markets.

- Suspension applies only to MPC and not other WGOV businesses. MPC Products may continue to perform existing work under prime contracts in existence as of the date of the suspension.

- Sub-contractor work also limited. Certain government contractors must provide written notice before awarding MPC subcontracts exceeding $30K in value.

- DOJ investigation remains open. As previously disclosed, MPC is subject to a Department of Justice investigation regarding pricing practices prior to June 2005. The company is in the process of finalizing a settlement for this matter with $25MM accrued for settlement.

- WGOV does not believe MPC's suspension is related to any concerns of misconduct other than the aforementioned pricing practices issue.

Notablecalls: It looks like the 10-Q came out late last Friday and none really paid any attention to the MPC suspension notice. Now Baird is out with a downgrade citing the suspension as the main cause. I think WGOV will get it (it's a mover stock). Only problem is how to get decent fills.

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The above story is the opinion of the author only and it does not reflect iStockAnalyst opinion. Further, the author is not personally advising you regarding the suitability of the story for your investment needs. In no event iStockAnalyst will be liable for any loss or damage including without limitation, indirect or consequential loss or damage, or any loss or damage whatsoever arising from or arising out of, or in connection with the use of this information. Please consult your investment advisor before making any investment decision.
  
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