Steel maker Nucor Corp.’s (NYSE: ) stock has rallied some 51% from its March 3 low of $29.84 a share and has twice bumped against its recent high of $49.91 a share.
The stock is still a far cry from its record-high level of $83.56, but is only 0% below its 52-week high of $53.46. Much has changed since then, as the U.S. auto industry is no longer producing the 16 million cars it produced in 2007, nor the 13 million it managed to sell last year. This year we are looking at some 10 million units sold, according to J.D. Power and Associates, the leading forecaster in the industry.
But there is encouraging news: The very quick restructuring of both General Motors Corp. (NYSE: GRM) and Chrysler Group LLC, the U.S. Federal Reserve’s efforts to stabilize the financial markets, and the U.S. government’s fiscal stimulus plans have helped keep the economy from falling into a depression. The Fed’s support for the auto industry included buying auto receivables under the Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility (TALF) program, in order to restart this type of securitization.
Therefore, the paralysis of sales that we saw late last year, when the financial system froze and there was no financing available, has subsided and sales are increasing. In fact, J.D. Power expects U.S. vehicle sales to increase to 11.5 million units next year, a full 15% pickup from projected 2009 levels.
In fact, we are already seeing an increase in auto sales already, thanks in no small part to the government’s Car Allowance Rebate System (CARS), popularly known as "Cash for Clunkers." So far, CARS has spent some $1.29 billion and Congress has expanded the original $1 billion authorization by another $2 billion.
Total light vehicle sales for July were just shy of 1 million units, a milestone the industry hasn’t topped since August 2008, mostly due to the program’s success.
This shot in the arm on the back of the general cost restructuring that Ford Motor Co.