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Rationing? I Have To Disagree
By: Zacks Investment Research   Friday, August 21, 2009 11:54 AM

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In yesterday’s Wall Street Journal, Martin Feldstein, Ronald Reagan’s top economist and a Harvard professor, claims the current health care proposals are all about rationing.? I have to disagree. Excerpts from his article are below, along with my critique.

"Although administration officials are eager to deny it, rationing health care is central to President Barack Obama's health plan. The Obama strategy is to reduce health costs by rationing the services that we and future generations of patients will receive.


"The White House Council of Economic Advisers issued a report in June explaining the Obama Administration's goal of reducing projected health spending by 30% over the next two decades. That reduction would be achieved by eliminating 'high cost, low-value treatments' by 'implementing a set of performance measures that all providers would adopt' and by 'directly targeting individual providers . . . (and other) high-end outliers.'"

First and foremost, it is important to recognize that the current system already relies on rationing. It uses rationing by price. If you can’t afford the treatment, or are one of the over 47 million uninsured, tough.

However, insurance companies like Aetna (AET) and United Health (UNH) will also routinely decide that a treatment is not covered because it is too costly.?For many conditions, there are several potential treatment alternatives.

The major health care reform proposals (there are currently 4 on the table, and one more is still being worked on) plan on looking at which methods work best, and eliminating costly treatment options that don’t work very well (but which might be highly lucrative to the doctor and/or hospital) in favor of lower cost, more effective options. If that be rationing, sign me up.? Sounds like simple “best practices" to me.

"The president has emphasized the importance of limiting services to 'health care that works.' To identify such care, he provided more than $1 billion in the fiscal stimulus package to jump-start Comparative Effectiveness Research (CER) and to finance a federal CER advisory council to implement that idea.


"That could morph over time into a cost-control mechanism of the sort proposed by former Sen. Tom Daschle, Mr. Obama's original choice for White House health czar. Comparative effectiveness could become the vehicle for deciding whether each method of treatment provides enough of an improvement in health care to justify its cost."

Could, could, could -- but Marty, you provide absolutely no evidence as to the probability of that occurring. If the CER finds, for example, that radiation therapy is more effective than surgery for the treatment of a certain type of cancer, and that radiation therapy is also 30% less expensive, it seems downright stupid to keep having doctors do a lot of that type of surgery.?The surgeons might make less money, but that is not anything like the specter that has been floated of the government denying care to old folks.

"In the British national health service, a government agency approves only those expensive treatments that add at least one Quality Adjusted Life Year (QALY) per ?30,000 (about $49,685) of additional health-care spending. If a treatment costs more per QALY, the health service will not pay for it.


"The existence of such a program in the United States would not only deny lifesaving care, but would also cast a pall over medical researchers who would fear that government experts might reject their discoveries as 'too expensive.'"

There is nothing in any of the proposals that would prevent people from paying extra to get these marginal treatments, either by paying out of pocket or through supplemental insurance. It would not deny lifesaving care, it would simply decline to pay for every procedure, regardless of how expensive or how ineffective.

It might also focus researchers to look for treatments that bring down costs and are more effective.?Those procedures would get a much bigger market share and would be very lucrative.

"One reason the Obama Administration is prepared to use rationing to limit health care is to rein in the government's exploding health-care budget. Government now pays for nearly half of all health care in the U.S.

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The above story is the opinion of the author only and it does not reflect iStockAnalyst opinion. Further, the author is not personally advising you regarding the suitability of the story for your investment needs. In no event iStockAnalyst will be liable for any loss or damage including without limitation, indirect or consequential loss or damage, or any loss or damage whatsoever arising from or arising out of, or in connection with the use of this information. Please consult your investment advisor before making any investment decision.
  
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