logo

A March Bull Turns Bearish For The Long Haul
By: Ockham Research   Wednesday, August 26, 2009 7:57 PM

Vote for next session
The next market session will close:

Anyone who reads TheStreet.com (TSCM) with any regularity is familiar with the Doug Kass.  Mr. Kass is founder and president of Seabreeze Partners Management, and is a well known and respected financial market pundit.  He was right on the money with his contrary opinion that the market was due for a rebound in March, and he even placed his S&P 500 price target at 1050.  With Wednesday trading in the history books, the S&P 500 stands at 1028.12, which is certainly an impressive 54% rally from the trough.  Its been a nice ride and now the market and the economy are in a completely different place more than five months after Kass’ call.  Accordingly, Kass is updating his outlook on the stock market based on the new environment.  We have reprinted some of his article, but it is worth reading the entire piece.

“It is important to emphasize that when I made my variant March call, I expected many of the conditions that now exist — namely, a resurgence of economic and investment optimism during the summer to be followed by a multiyear period of weak investment returns. Specifically, I expected a mini production boom and an asset allocation away from bonds and into stocks to be embraced and heralded by investors, who would only be disappointed again in the fall as it becomes clear that a self-sustaining economic recovery is unlikely to develop.

My view remains that it is different this time.


Next Page >>12

(0)
No Comments
Post Comment
Name:  
Alert for new comments:
Your email:
Your Website:
Title:
Comments:
   
 
 
 
 
   
 

The above story is the opinion of the author only and it does not reflect iStockAnalyst opinion. Further, the author is not personally advising you regarding the suitability of the story for your investment needs. In no event iStockAnalyst will be liable for any loss or damage including without limitation, indirect or consequential loss or damage, or any loss or damage whatsoever arising from or arising out of, or in connection with the use of this information. Please consult your investment advisor before making any investment decision.
  
Advertisement
Popular Articles
Related Press Releases
Advertisement
Partner Center
Recent Articles by Ockham Research



Subscribe to Email Alerts rss feed or RSS feeds rss feed for articles from more than 500 contributors, press releases, SEC filings and full text news from more than four thousand sources.
Fundamental data is provided by Zacks Investment Research, market data is provided by AlphaTrade. , and Commentary and Press Releases provided by Quotemedia