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Newspaper Publishers Cannot Wait Longer For Better Times
By: Sam Subramanian PhD, MBA   Saturday, August 29, 2009 2:16 PM

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The deep recession continues to take a toll on newspaper ad revenues. The Newspaper Association of America (NAA) reported today that ad revenue for U. S. newspaper publishers declined 29% during the second quarter. Ad revenue declined from $9.6 billion a year-ago to $6.8 billion. This comes on the heels of a 28% year-over-year decline in ad revenues in the first quarter. Industry wide ad revenue in the larger print segment declined 30% to $6.2 billion in the second quarter. Even the smaller online-only segment has not been immune to the recession. According to the NAA, online-only ad revenue fell 16% to about $650 million.

Against the backdrop of shrinking demand for products and services, employers grew reluctant to increasing head count. Job recruitment ad revenue declined 66%, the highest among classified categories. Ads in troubled sectors like real estate and autos fell 46% and 43%, respectively.

Newspaper publishers like Gannett (GCI) and New York Times (NYT) derive more than 50% of the sales from ad revenue. Washington Post (WPO) too is exposed to ad sales. WPO is however better diversified as 50% of the company's revenue comes from educational services provided by its Kaplan unit.

Against this miserable advertising scenario, it is hardly a surprise that newspaper stocks have suffered massive declines. GCI and NYT shares have seen nearly 52% and 38% of their value wiped out over the past year while WPO shares are down 25%. These stocks have underperformed shares in the consumer discretionary sector where the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) is down 12%.

With the economy showing signs of leveling off and providing hopes of recovery, newspaper publishers can hardly wait longer for better times. The second quarter data from the NAA has a silver lining. With the exception of real estate, classified ad sales declined less in each category during the second quarter compared to the first.

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The above story is the opinion of the author only and it does not reflect iStockAnalyst opinion. Further, the author is not personally advising you regarding the suitability of the story for your investment needs. In no event iStockAnalyst will be liable for any loss or damage including without limitation, indirect or consequential loss or damage, or any loss or damage whatsoever arising from or arising out of, or in connection with the use of this information. Please consult your investment advisor before making any investment decision.
  
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