I have been arguing for some time that Barack Obama made a crucial tactical error in bailing out the big banks early in his presidency. His actions have left him vulnerable to populist resentment.  In my view, this weakens his credibility and ability to push through other pieces of his legislative agenda and will harm Democrats in the 2010 elections.

Slipping poll numbers

Indeed, Obama has slipped somewhat in opinion polls. Now, some will tell you that it is because Obama is running a socialist left-wing big government agenda in a center-right country. And as a result, he is losing independent voters. But, is that really true? 

While conservatives are opposed to the Democrats' health care initiatives as an expansion of the state, progressives are identifiably more opposed to a greater number of Obama legislative issues (willingness to abandon the public option, escalation of war in Afghanistan, continuation of rendition).

Bailouts poisoned the well

I would argue that it is the apparent ineffectiveness and unfairness of Obama's policy initiatives on banks and the economy which has angered middle class Americans – conservatives and liberals alike. The economy is still in the tank despite incipient signs of a technical recovery. And Americans understand that banks and bank staff are making lots of money while thousands lose job and home.

Why then would you trust government? In my view, this is a major reason why so many are sceptical about changing healthcare.