In this post are 16 stocks which I will be keeping an eye on at least
until September options expiration. These stocks have showed great
strength, breaking out to the upside on extremely large volume. The
table below shows the company, ticker, Wednesday's $ per share and %
increase, and Wednesday's volume increase (% increased compared to 50
day average).
| Company |
Ticker |
$ / % Change |
% Vol. Increase |
|
|
|
|
| Applied Micro Circuits Corporation |
AMCC |
+0.77 (8.61%) |
380.83% |
| Hi-Tech Pharmacal Co. |
HITK |
+4.16 (24.10%) |
759.25% |
| MoneyGram International, Inc. |
MGI |
+0.33 (11.30%) |
168.18% |
| VIVUS, Inc. |
VVUS |
+4.89 (70.77%) |
9979.10% |
| AllianceBernstein Holding LP |
AB |
+1.46 (6.25%) |
219.53% |
| Signet Jewelers Ltd. |
SIG |
+2.64 (10.76%) |
307.75% |
| Cano Petroleum, Inc. |
CFW |
+0.130 (17.79%) |
352.58% |
| Capstone Turbine Corporation |
CPST |
+0.19 (13.97%) |
249.83% |
| JDA Software Group, Inc. |
JDAS |
+3.15 (16.07%) |
177.75% |
| Parallel Petroleum Corporation |
PLLL |
+0.39 (18.75%) |
907.15% |
| Quest Resource Corporation |
QRCP |
+0.131 (30.44%) |
854.06% |
| MGM MIRAGE |
MGM |
+0.68 (7.23%) |
143.19% |
| MSC Software Corp. |
MSCS |
+0.52 (6.83%) |
224.54% |
| Rovi Corp |
ROVI |
+0.80 (2.56%) |
19.81% |
| Delta Petroleum Corp. |
DPTR |
+0.75 (32.89%) |
1735.69% |
| Gasco Energy, Inc. |
GSX |
+0.120 (31.58%) |
930.78% |
Vivus
certainly had a wonderful day on the back of some very positive news,
but I feel I may have missed the majority of the move, as news caused
that to rocket. The stocks which are most attractive to me from the
list above are: Hi-Tech Pharmacal Co. (
HITK), JDA Software Group, Inc. (
JDAS), Rovi Corp (
ROVI), and MGM MIRAGE (
MGM) - ROVI and MGM did not have any direct headlines causing Wednesday's share price and volume increase.
Below
are two option trade ideas which I may be using in the week(s) to come
on ROVI and MGM. To learn more about the option strategies outlined in
this post, risks, pricing, calculations, other strategies, and options
in general click
here.
ROVI Option Trade:
Settling at 32.11 a share as of Wednesday it is hard to use options
with this stock as it is almost exactly in between the two strike
prices listed of 30 and 35. Therefore this is an ideal candidate for a
vertical option spread. I would get long this by purchasing the in the
money 30 strike October option contract and selling the October 35
strike against it. To open each spread I would need to commit $245, but
the stock is already 2.11 in the money so in order to break even the
stock needs to climb higher by 34 cents per share. If the stock sells
off and approaches the 30 mark, I may look at just going long by
purchasing the 30 strike call options and wait for strength in the
underlying to write out the 35 strike option. If the stock continues to
rally and closes at or above 35 a share on Friday October 16, 2009 this
position will return just over 104%.
For trader's I would
recommend using a ratio call spread. At current levels of delta, I
would consider selling two or three 35 strike call options against the
underlying, and if and when the lower delta and 2X or 3X the higher
delta value start to equal, I would close the spread. This is much more
dangerous than a vertical spread because it requires naked options and
not only do maintenance requirements become a hassle, but if the stock
really takes off this spread could lose a lot of money. The maximum
profit point is at 35 a share, and should be closed by the end of trade
on October options expiration day.
MGM Option Trade:
I have been bullish on the casino stocks for quite a while, as they are
up trending and the extremely high premium (due to the high levels of
volatility on the underlying) makes them great for the buy/write option
strategy. Like I did for Las Vegas Sands (
LVS), I have been looking at
using the buy/write option strategy and or selling put options for MGM.
As the stock hovered above $10 on Wednesday I was trying to open a
buy/write but my bid was not getting hit. I was bidding $9.40 a share,
or $10 a share less $60 per option contract for the September 10 calls.
I did not fill my order, so will certainly be looking into this until
expiration. I would like to open it by Friday, as the theta value on
the September 10 option is quite high and I would like to be able to
benefit from the time decay experienced over the weekend. I think this
stock could sell off significantly with any weakness in the overall
market, and if so I will look at using this strategy centered around
the September 9 call, or will look to sell September put options. If I
happen to get into this position and then the stock sells off causing
me to hold this stock after expiration, I would simply look to write it
out for the month of October on strength in the underlying.
The
ideas outlined above involve the use of stock options. The reason
option volumes have surged in the last 5 years is because they are a
great way to hedge your portfolio as well as create income off of your
shares (see
option volume chart).
These
are just examples and are not recommendations to buy or sell any
security; if you're more bullish/bearish, you'll want to adjust the
strike price and expiration accordingly.
Disclosure: Long LVS, Short LVS September 15, 16, & 17 Call options