Sulaman Chaudhry and Andy Cole send: Last week was very interesting for a number of reasons, the main one being that many of our trendlines remain intact:
The S&P 500 has been forming a rising wedge over the past six months now, and is eventually going to be forced to breakout to the upside or the downside within the coming months. There are two things we need to take note of here: the first being the negative divergence we are seeing in the MACD, the second being the increase in selling volume over the past few days. Looking at this objectively, this is definitely bearish for the markets.
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As we mentioned a few days ago, we have seen gold (ETF: GLD) consolidate a bit over the past few days. On a daily chart, the GLD formed a double top, and proceeded to break out of an uptrending channel that had been in place since two weeks ago. We would look for a bit more selling in the GLD from here.
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Similarly, the UUP dollar ETF has experienced a double bottom over the past week or so and looks to be headed higher from here. Again, we mentioned the heavy increase in volume on the UUP in the last post, and it looks as though that did prove to be a short-term bottom. Keep an eye for clues such as this to help determine future trends.