When people learn that I am an income investor, the reaction is often a desire to discuss high-yield investments. The uninitiated commonly confuse income investing with high-yield investing. The two are not the same.
High-yield investing often carries a greater degree of risk than I am willing to accept. Recently, a reader alerted me to an article describing a 20-year study by the Schwab Center for Financial Research demonstrates that investments with the highest yields don't necessarily provide the highest returns and offers a safer way to implement a high-yield approach. Here are some key excerpts from the article:
- Stocks with the highest dividend yield haven't provided the best total return.
- Research found the highest-yielding stocks had twice as many dividend cuts as the other dividend-paying groups.
- Price momentum is a stock indicator based on the idea that stocks that have been outperforming in the past will continue to do so.
- A simple screen using the six-month price momentum strategy applied to the highest-yielding stocks can help you pick the best performers.
- The screen is implemented using:
- Stocks in the S&P 500, 400 and 600 indexes.
- Dividend Yield and click the dividend yields greater than 1.5 times the S&P 500 yield.
- Capture analyst ratings.
- 6 Months Price Performance > Price Change.
- Sort by price performance and select the highest analyst ranked stocks within the top 45.
Since the article was very Schwab specific, I tried to generalize the above screen. If you have a Schwab account, please refer to the article for more specific instructions.
So, what does all this mean? If you are an income investor that enjoys trading instead of buy and hold, then this may be something you want to explore further. However, the 11.5% earned with this strategy vrs. the 10.73% for dividend stocks not in the highest yielding group hardly seems worth the effort.
For me, I will continue to focus on high-quality dividend stocks at lower, but growing, yields.
