European Trade: Mixed macroeconomic data hit the
valuation of European shares in Friday trade. During the early part of
the session the Flash PMI report showed that the service and
manufacturing sides of the Euro-zone economy expanded during the prior
month, after a prolonged period of contraction. This has helped the
European markets advanced, with some European indexes surging up to 1%.
However,
at 04:30 EDT a report showed that the U.K economy continued to contract
into the third quarter, even though the market expected a positive
read. The actual read came in at -0.4%, compared to the expected 0.2%.
This report had a strong influence on the financial markets, shedding
some of the optimism seen previously.
The S&P futures had a
range of only 4 points during the overnight session, as the market
failed to break either way. However, equity futures started to look
bearish after the U.K. GDP report, as some market participants are
pricing in a slower recovery
Sector Moves: Most
sectors advanced in Friday trade, the only exception being the health
care companies. Other than this, the gains were spread evenly among the
automobile & parts, banks, basic resources and chemicals, with each
of these sectors advancing approximately 1%. The automobile & parts
sector advanced following the better than expected earnings reports
from Kia and Hyundai.
Economic Moves: The
European calendar was loaded with important reports, something that has
been reflected in the market reaction to the releases. The market's
focus point was the U.K. GDP report, which showed that the economy
contracted for the sixth consecutive quarter, the most since records
begun. Ahead, investors prepare for Mr. Bernanke to provide a speech at
the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Conference, and for the Existing
Home Sales, scheduled at 10am EDT.
Crude oil for November delivery was recently trading at $81.15 per barrel, lower by $0.10.
Gold for
November delivery was recently trading higher by $1.40 to $1060.00.
Over the last two weeks of trading, gold has developed a wide range, in
which it continues to move up and down in.
Majors Advance, Pound Tumbles
Overall, after a
mixed Asian session, the major pairs are posting small gains against
the greenback. The only exception is the pound, which tumbled at a very
strong pace after the U.K. GDP disappointed investors. Ahead, traders
will focus on the U.S. open, when additional momentum hits the market,
which might help the majors to extend the current uptrend.
The euro
(Eur/Usd 1.5050) had an attempt to move higher during the early Asian
session, but the pair failed to pull the move off. During the European
session, the pair showed bullish signs once again, and now is preparing
to test the high reached earlier in the day. In order to break higher,
the S&P will need to stay in the green.
The pound
(Gbp/Usd 1.6390) gained 90 pips during the early part of the European
session, but it begun tumbling at a very strong pace as the market was
heading towards the U.K. GDP report. The Q3 GDP data came in much worse
than expected, something that dropped nearly 300 pips off its value. In
the medium term, the pound is likely to lag behind the other major
pairs.
The aussie (Aud/Usd 0.9270) fell down
to the 0.9230 support area, testing a trend-line that has been holding
the market for two weeks now. Helped by the commodity market, the
aussie managed to bounce from it, and once again, the is preparing to
break above the 0.9300 area.
The cad (Usd/Cad
1.0505) together with the pound are the only two pairs that did not
strengthen to some degree against the dollar in Friday trade. The C$
weakness comes as BoC had recently complained about the strength of the
Canadian dollar, threatening to intervene in the market.
The swissy
(Usd/Chf 1.0040) traded again on a very low momentum during the
overnight session. Right now, it is trading in close to the break-even
line, and just a few pips above the parity level with the dollar, at
1.0000 area.
The yen (Usd/Jpy 91.60) rose 70
pips during the first part of the day, breaking above the 50-day moving
average. However, the move was short-lived, since the market retraced
most of the uptrend and right now the yen is trading once again below
the 50-day moving average, forming a bearish doji-star on the 4-hour
chart.