In an article written by Christopher Lewis, the use of larger
time-frame trading is addressed, with some very frank observations
regarding why time is probably the best of the available assets to
leverage. Lewis specializes in education of the new breed of Global
Market Trader, and contributes to TheLFB Learning Markets articles.
Contrary to popular belief, and to put it bluntly, small time frames
are in general a waste of a retail trader's time. Allow me to explain,
if I may.
As new traders, most normally have some kind of dream of being able
to click a few buttons, and in a few short minutes, to be able to make
a royal fortune. I know I had this dream, and have had several others
tell me the same thing. Of course, a few trades into things and most
soon realize that there is actually a lot more to this than may
initially meet the eye.
The new generation of Global Market Traders (GMT), those who may not
be new to trading but are new to trading a global market that is now
extremely inter-connected from region to region and asset to asset,
also soon realize that a structured thought process really is essential
to cap expectancy and to control risk.
The most structured thought that GMT's can have is how to structure
trading costs, and by default, how to control and leverage time. There
are several kinds of expenses in our trading business, including the
expense of our computer and its maintenance, the spread and swap paid
out on currencies, and the cost of an office or home. Certainly one can
quantify these fairly easily. There's a price for each, and it can be
kept track of.
There are also several other possible expenses as well, in some
extreme cases, including the cost of relationships because of trading
habits and poor time management. One of the most expensive costs
ironically enough has no fixed value. It's time, and even though there
is no price tag, lost time can never be replaced, and that makes it
pretty expensive in my book.
When I first started trading, I was mainly a 15 minute chart trader.
I would sit at the computer all day, normally averaging 6 to 8 hours in
any given session. The funny thing is that after as many as 20 trades,
I might only be up $30. It was frustrating to say the least, and even
worse when you do the hourly rate.
I am not saying there are not successful scalpers out there, just
that it's inefficient in general to those who have not paid the price
of time to get a structured way of trading a low time-frame chart.
When you are sitting at the computer sweating it out, and making $6
to $7 dollars an hour, you are using time at a very inefficient rate,
and speaking of efficiency, this is where larger time frames come into
play.
One could debate which the proper time-frame is, and to set a stake
in the ground, I am going to use the daily chart as an example.