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Global Market Wrap: Asian Markets Mixed, Commodities Falling
By: The LFB Forex   Monday, October 26, 2009 1:46 AM

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Asian markets were mixed during the session as commodities fall. The Japanese Nikkei has gained 25 points while the Australian S&P/ASX dropped 42 points. More sectors were declining than were advancing with commodities helping to drag the indices lower. Automobile manufacturers Mitsubishi Motors was advancing 2.17 percent while Nissan Motors and Mazda Motors were also showing gains.

Producer prices from Australia have risen less than expected during the third quarter. According to a report released from the Australian Bureau of Statistics has shown that producer prices rose to 0.1 percent when the expectation was for a 0.3 percent increase. The report also showed that the rise was stunted because of higher electrical, water, and fuel costs which increased 12.1 percent during the third quarter.

The MSCI Asia Pacific Index has gained 0.31 points or 0.26 percent during the session.

Overnight, the Japanese Nikkei advanced 25.45 points (0.25%) to 10,308.44. The Australian S&P/Asx was declining 42.50 points (-0.87%) to 4,816.90.

Crude oil for November delivery was recently trading at $79.75 per barrel, lower by $0.75.

Gold for November delivery was recently trading lower by $2.40 to $1,054.00.


Gold Elliott Wave view
4 Hour chart trend: Long. Main price points: 1043, and 1070. Looking for: Wave 4)

Gold is very choppy as it trades just below the 1070 highs, which means that lower wave C is still possible. The wave A support still needs to be taken out for a wave C confirmation. Until that happens, traders must be careful with any short positions, as the market may easily hit new highs in the red wave 3) before wave 4) falls lower.

This count remains valid so long as the market trades below the 1070 top.


S&P Futures Elliott Wave view
4 Hour chart trend: Long. Main price points: 1062.50, 1098 and 1115-1120. Looking for: Wave 5) top
 
S&P futures came back up, near to 1098.50 top over the past few sessions, in response to the impact of earning reports. S&P futures did not break through the 1062.50 lows, so traders may still see some up-side pressure over the next few trading days, before the bull market may technically complete.
 
As such, TheLFB team is also watching the alternative wave count labelled as wave W-X-Y, which will become the primary wave count if the 1098.50 top is taken out. In this case, the market will probably trade up, near to 1115-1120 resistance zone.

 

Eur/Usd Elliott Wave view
4 Hour chart trend: Long. Main price points: 1.4816, and 1.5050-1.5100. Looking for: Wave 5)

Eur/Usd has reached the 1.5050 target zone for the second time over the past two days, after the earlier bounce from wave IV low, as covered recently. As such, the long red wave V may not be completed, especially if the resistance zone between 1.5050-1.5100 is taken out. In this case, traders may look for another push into the bew highs, near the second Fibonacci resistance area, shown around 1.5150.

Any break of the wave IV lows, will signal that the top was made.


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The above story is the opinion of the author only and it does not reflect iStockAnalyst opinion. Further, the author is not personally advising you regarding the suitability of the story for your investment needs. In no event iStockAnalyst will be liable for any loss or damage including without limitation, indirect or consequential loss or damage, or any loss or damage whatsoever arising from or arising out of, or in connection with the use of this information. Please consult your investment advisor before making any investment decision.
  
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