It seems that not a day goes by when you don't hear about some asset
sale in Citigroup's (C) far-flung empire. Of all the major too-big-to-fail
institutions, it is easily the most troubled: the poster child for
everything that is wrong in finance in America.
But, when President Obama's Pay Czar Kenneth Feinberg stepped in to
limit pay at Citi and six other failed institutions living off of
taxpayer largesse, I noticed something that made me wonder if there was
more going on than meets the eye at Citi. I am starting to think
Citigroup is being forcibly dismantled by the Obama Administration as a
condition of its bailout. Could there be some bailout strings of which
we are not yet aware?
Why is WFC not getting pay caps?
The thing I noticed was Wells Fargo's name missing from Kenneth
Feinberg's list. The seven companies now subject to pay caps are:
Citigroup, GMAC, American International Group, General Motors, Chrysler
Group and Chrysler Financial. But, last time I checked, Wells Fargo was
suckling from the government breast via a $25 billion TARP payment.
What gives?
The only logical conclusion one can make is that the Obama
Administration has excluded Wells Fargo because it is a healthier
institution than the pay-cap seven. I agree with that assessment
despite a downbeat post on Wells earnings last week.
The headwinds from Wachovia are significant. But the underlying
earnings power of Wells Fargo's franchise is of a different caliber
than Citigroup's. If you saw Citi's earnings report, it was a disaster
in banking, credit cards, trading, you name it. Everywhere, Citigroup
was getting killed.
So clearly, in looking at the too big to fail banks, something quite
awful is still amiss at Citi (and at BofA to a degree) that is not at
Wells Fargo or JPMorgan Chase (JPM) (Goldman and Morgan Stanley are not
really banks).
Remember those stress tests?
The question then is: what do you (the government) do about the
problems at Citi, and, to a lesser degree, Bank of America? Well, we
have answer number one: pay caps for executives. And don't think Ken Lewis left Bank of America on his accord,
despite his huge golden parachute. We could be seeing some of his cash
clawed back. I suspect, however, there is more for these multi-bailout
offenders.
Think back to the bogus stress tests from this past spring and summer. I was pointing the finger at Citi and BofA then, saying these stress tests were just a cover-up
to buy these organizations more time. If they weren't able to make the
grade in that time, more draconian action would be warranted.