And you thought the bailouts were over and market discipline might
be restored. Not a chance – the bailouts will continue, come hell or
high water. The latest demonstration of this is GMAC, where the
government will now be majority owner. GMAC has officially been
nationalized. Now the government is running auto financing in addition
to running the companies making the cars.
Below is a quote from the Financial Times. Notice the parts I have bolded.
GMAC, the car financing company, is set to receive up to $5.6bn in a new capital injection from the Treasury, filling a hole identified in the "stress tests" earlier this year and paving the way for the government to become the majority shareholder.
The company, formerly the financing arm of General Motors,
was one of 19 institutions to submit to a capital adequacy programme
led by the Federal Reserve and completed in May. That determined that
GMAC had a shortfall, which will now be provided by the government in
the form of preferred equity, according to two people familiar with the
situation.
As widely expected, GMAC has been unable to raise the necessary capital in the market and the company
– which will take on fresh lending responsibilities when it merges with
Chrysler Financial – was seen as vital to the government-led
restructuring of the US automotive industry and deserving of more funds
from the $700bn troubled asset relief programme.
"When we laid out the stress tests, we expressly said that some
additional Tarp capital may be needed given the severity of the
downturn – this capital need is not new information," said an
administration official.
"But the transparency brought about by the stress tests
allowed all other institutions to raise the capital required by the
stress tests to ensure these firms could withstand a more severe economic scenario than anticipated," the official said.
What you should be reading from this statement is the following:
- All the firms identified as lacking capital under the stress tests
were given time to raise funds in the capital market to meet the
shortfall.
- Some firms did meet the shortfall and they are now free to do as they please.
- Others have not and we the government are now going to take a more muscular approach in dealing with them.
- GMAC is the first public example of our flexing our muscles.
- But there surely are/will be other examples; some may already be happening in secret.
If the US government is going to throw its weight around to deal
with financial firms short of capital, I would personally prefer they
try a process which allows these firms to fail whereby equity and debt
holders suffer consequences that are consistent with taking market
risk. Bailing out GMAC is a moral hazard plain and simple.
But, what's done is done. The GMAC case does, however, give a lot more credence to my view that Citigroup's actions are being dictated by government. As I indicated when the stress tests were done in April, firms were going to get some time to raise capital and if they didn't, the government was going to move on to Plan B (debt-for-equity swaps, nationalization, and FDIC seizure).
Expect to see more indications that other financial companies with
capital shortfalls are falling under the government umbrella.