XLF - Financial Select Sector SPDR –
A large bearish spread in the June 2010 contract suggests one investor
feels the need for downside protection through expiration. Shares are
slightly up this afternoon by about 0.25% to $14.09. The trader
purchased 20,000 put options at the June 14 strike for an average
premium of 1.91 apiece. He financed the long position by selling 20,000
puts at the June 11 strike for 74 cents each, and by selling another
20,000 puts at the lower June 10 strike for 51 cents premium. The net
cost of the transaction amounts to 66 cents per contract. The investor
responsible for the three-legged spread is possibly holding a long
stock position in the XLF. The put options might then serve to protect
the value of the position in the event that shares decline beneath the
effective breakeven point at $13.34 by expiration. The fact that the
trader is short two times as many puts indicates this investor expects
a pullback but not a collapse beneath the lower strike price of $10.00.
ETFC - E*Trade Financial Corp. –
The Wall Street Journal reported that ETFC withdrew its application for
funding through the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) because the
company's "recent capital-raising and debt-reduction efforts negates
the need for the money." E*Trade raised $150 million by selling stock
in the third quarter out of some $765 million of sold stock this year.
The seemingly bullish news that the company no longer plans to
participate in the capital-purchase program did not do much for the
current share price, which slipped 6% lower to $1.37. Our scanners
picked up on interesting options activity this afternoon that may or
may not have been inspired by today's news. It appears 95,000 put
options sold at the January 1.0 strike for about 5.5 pennies apiece.
One may infer the transaction represents bullish sentiment on ETFC if
the sale of the put options is fresh activity. If this is the case, the
trader pockets the 5.5 cents premium, and expects shares to remain
above $1.00 through expiration. However, the sale could also be the
work of an investor closing out a long put position given the already
high reading of open interest at the small number of available strike
prices.
CF - CF Industries Holdings, Inc. –
The manufacturer of nitrogen and phosphate fertilizer products
bolstered its bid for Terra Industries (TRA) by tacking on a cash
portion to the offering. CF shares edged slightly higher this afternoon
to $83.31. CF shares rallied 143% to a 52-week high of $95.12 on
October 19, 2009, since touching down to a 52-week low of $39.14 on
November 20, 2008. However, one option trader is expecting continued
gains in the price of CF shares through expiration in January. This
individual initiated a call spread by purchasing 10,000 calls at the
January 95 strike for an average premium of 2.30 apiece, marked against
the sale of 10,000 calls at the higher January 100 strike for 1.05
each. The net cost of the bullish strategy amounts to 1.25 per
contract. Shares of CF must surpass the current 52-week high in order
for the trader to breakeven at $96.25. The investor will bank maximum
potential profits of 3.75 per contract for a total of $3,750,000 if the
stock rallies 20% from the current price to $100.00 by expiration day
in January.