Gold has reached new highs over the past 24 hours, aided by the
Indian Government's decision to buy 200 tonnes of the International
Monetary Fund's gold at $6.7 billion, putting it as the 10th biggest
holder of bullion in the world. The move also helped India diversify
its reserves in a way that spreads its risk, which is over-weight with
overseas currency. Of $285B in Reserve, foreign currency assets account
for more than 90%, $268.3B, followed by gold at $10.3B, IMF's special
drawing rights $5.2B, and a reserve position in the IMF of $1.59B
mainly in the form of U.S. Treasury bonds.
The move to hedge the falling Usd value by India, that helped gold
move higher, was a contributing reason for a push lower on the U.S.
dollar index. Oil was also higher, and has risen by almost four dollars
since yesterdays 76.50 support zone test.
As such, the major pairs are mostly higher, aided by S&P futures
that were not able to break through the 1025 support area in the
previous Wall Street session. It seems that S&P is in a long
corrective mode of the recent bear market from 1098 top.
Gold has been the most interesting investment of the past few
months, as prices broke through the psychological 1000 level. This
bullish gold move however, like every other bullish move, needs to take
a rest, and a technical correction. This may happen if traders start to
now book profits from the end of August 2009, when the recent bullish
leg started.
Gold Daily Elliott Wave view
From an Elliott Wave perspective, gold traded into an area around
1090-1100 where the top of the last impulse move may get hit. As such,
TheLFB.com technical
team will be looking for a corrective move down in wave IV, near to the
1030 support area, as the market has already made five waves up in an
extended wave III, shown on the chart above. The basic Elliott Wave
rule is, that after every five waves, a correction should follow.