Overall, the Asian session was flat, but the major
pairs started heading up during the early European session. Following
the greenback's decline throughout the European trading hours, the
dollar index is preparing to break below the 76.00 area, which has been
the main support level over the last six days of trading. The dollar's
sell-off comes on positive equity and commodity markets. Ahead, the
market prepares foe the Fed meeting, at 14:15 EST, which is likely to
have a strong influence in the forex market.

Dollar Index Technical View:
4 Hour Chart: Mixed. Main price points: 74.95, and 76.82. Looking for: Wave ii
The
dollar index is trading lower at the moment, away from the 76.82 top
that was established at the start of the European session. This current
move down could be a red wave c) of a black wave ii flat pattern. In
this case traders should be watching for a move down to the 76.70
support area before a bounce higher may appear again.
The alternative wave count, on a day of very important economics, is
also one of the possible wave counts that is showing a clear zig-zag
correction labeled as circled A, B and C. If this one is the correct
count then the 76.82 highs must hold, while the market trades towards
the yearly lows.
The euro (Eur/Usd 1.4760) was
one of the slowest moving pairs of the day, advancing only 60 pips.
This might happen as institutional trade desks are reluctant to move
the euro ahead of the Fed and of the ECB meetings, which have an
important weight into the currency market. To the upside, the next
target is the 20-day moving average, in he 1.4850 area.
The pound (Gbp/Usd 1.6525) gained 120 pips during
the Asian and European sessions, just one day ahead of the BoE interest
rate decision. Right now, the pound is trading in the 1.6530 area, just
below a trend-line that has been holding things up for two weeks. A
break above this area will send the pair straight into the 1.6600 swing
area.
The aussie (Aud/Usd 0.9075) just
bounced from the 0.9090 area, the same place where the market formed a
swing point high in Monday and Tuesday trade. On the medium term, the
aussie's outlook lies to the upside, as the interest rate differential
is working strongly in the favor of the Australian dollar.
The cad (Usd/Cad 1.0600) declined 70 pips during
the overnight session, extending the moves lower seen over the last few
trading sessions. The cad started the day just below the 50-day moving
average, which provided a strong resistance area throughout the first
part of the day. Currently, the cad is trading near a very important
swing area, the 1.600. If it finds the strength to break and hold below
it, then its outlook will probably shift to the downside.
The swissy (Usd/Chf 1.0235) fell down to the 1.0235
area during the overnight session, which, has been a very important
swing point lately, especially over the last two months of trading. A
break below this price point will probably signal that the swissy is in
a downtrend. In Tuesday trade, the swissy formed a reversal pin-bar
formation after it bounced off the 50-day moving average.
The yen (Usd/Jpy 90.85) is currently trading just
below the 50-day moving average, after earlier in the day breaking
above the 20-day moving average. Ahead, it is very likely that the
upcoming U.S. calendar will create volatility.