Overall, the dollar index gained a few basis points
during the overnight session, but the movement was slow as the market
heads towards the BoE and the ECB interest rate decisions. In Wednesday
trade, the major pairs managed to reach important price point levels,
but the sell-off seen during the late U.S. equity session forced the
major pairs lower once again. Over the last few days of trading, the
market had a calendar that was loaded with important news reports,
something that was reflected in the foreign exchange's momentum and
trading volumes.

Dollar Index Technical View:
4 Hour Chart: Mixed. Main price points: 74.95, and 76.82. Looking for: Move higher
The dollar index is trading lower at the moment, after the 76.82 top
that was established on Tuesday, at the start of the European session.
The current move down could be the red wave c) of a black wave ii flat
pattern with the recent bottom around the 75.50 area, and the Fibonacci
support levels. The bull trend confirmation comes with the break of the
76.82 area.
The alternative wave count may also still be very important, which
is showing a structure of a clear zig-zag correction labeled as circled
A, B and C. If this one is the correct count then the 76.82 highs must
hold, while the market trades towards the yearly lows.
The euro
(Eur/Usd 1.4850) lost 40 pips during the Asian session, falling down to
the neutral pivot point (1.4830). From there, the euro spent the rest
of the overnight session moving up and down in a small range, but
overall it failed to pull any important moves. On the daily chart, the
euro is trading just below the 20-day moving average, which is in the
1.4860 area.
Ahead, investors prepare for the ECB interest rate decision, which usually sparks volatility in the Eur/Usd exchange rate.
The pound (Gbp/Usd 1.6505) used the overnight
session to consolidate in the 1.6500 area, just above a resistance
trend-line that has held the market for almost two weeks. At 07:00 EST,
the market expects the BoE to increase the size of the asset buying
program by £50 billion, up to £225 billion. According to the BoE voting
committee, this would help the U.K. business cycle and anchor future
inflationist expectations.
The aussie
(Aud/Usd 0.9075) is currently trading just below the resistance
trend-line that has been holding the market for almost two weeks, in
the 0.9100 area. The aussie managed to break briefly above this price
point during the prior U.S. session, but the move was quickly retraced.
The cad (Usd/Cad 1.0650) had a very small range
during the Asian and the European sessions, of only 50 pips. This is
the second consecutive day when the cad moved very little; in Wednesday
trade, the cad had a range of only 85 pips. The cad is currently
trading in the 1.0600 area, which has been a major swing point area
over the last few months of trading.
The swissy (Usd/Chf 1.0175), similar to the cad,
had a very small range overnight, of less than 40 pips. However, the
swissy has traded in a very volatile fashion lately, with the ATR
indicator near two months highs, something that helped the pair push
below all the important moving averages.
The yen (Usd/Jpy 90.25) had an attempt to break
above the 91.00 area in Wednesday trade, but the move was retraced in
quick time. Since then, the pair had been moving mostly lower, and for
a few moments actually tested the 91.00 area during European hours.