Bears In Trouble? Super Dividends

By: Marc Courtenay  | Nov 17, 2009 |

Our associate Jeff Clark who writes for www.growthstockwire.com sent me an interesting piece about Turnaround Tuesdays and, after yesterday's huge move upward, the stock market will have a big reversal or continue higher. He wrote:

Could today be turnaround Tuesday?

If you Google the phrase "Turnaround Tuesday," you'll find a surprising amount of evidence that stocks often bottom on Tuesdays after suffering extended moves lower. The script usually goes something like this...
  • Stocks gradually decline for several days or weeks...
  • Stocks suffer a decline on a Friday heading into the weekend...
  • The decline continues on the following Monday...
  • Stocks either begin to rally immediately on Tuesday, or they open lower and then turn around and close higher on the day.

Once this script plays out, stocks usually go on to rally for several weeks. In fact, this is exactly how the market bottomed in March.

 But what about market tops? Can Turnaround Tuesdays signal a market peak and the beginning of a downturn? Surprisingly, you won't find much evidence on Google. All of the studies dealing with Turnaround Tuesdays were looking at market bottoms, not tops.

But it seems to me if the script works in one direction, it ought to work the other way, too.

And it does.

A recent history of stock-market peaks shows a pattern where stocks rally on Friday, hold or add to the gains on the following Monday, and then either decline immediately on Tuesday or rally a bit first then turn around and close lower on the day.

That's what happened when the market peaked in May 2008. It happened again at the peak last January. And while we haven't seen much of a correction during this current rally off the March lows, the temporary highs in September and October also occurred on Tuesdays – and were followed by 5%-7% moves lower.

That brings us to today... Stocks are up strongly so far this month. They rallied hard on Friday and added to those gains yesterday. If this turns out to be Turnaround Tuesday, stocks will either rally early and then reverse and head lower or they'll start selling off at the opening bell. And they'll continue lower into the end of the month... or longer.

If the market doesn't reverse lower today, the bears are in real trouble. There's no such thing as "Turnaround Wednesday." And by the way Jeff and all The Bears, the period between Thanksgiving and Xmas in the U.S. is traditionally very positive for the stock markets.

How About Some Awesome Dividends in a Zero-Interest-Rate World

James Brumley writing at Investopedia (http://stocks.investopedia.com/) wrote an article about "Five Dividend Stocks With Growth Potential" and I want to take this opportunity to applaud him for bringing these to our attention. I own two of these already (PSEC and PDLI) and I'm thinking about a couple more of these. James wrote:

"Call it the best of both worlds - income and growth - from the same position.

Next Page >>123

Follow iStockAnalyst on Twitter Follow iStockAnalyst on Twitter

(0)
No Comments
Post Comment -- Login is required to post message
Name:  
Alert for new comments:
Your email:
Your Website:
Title:
Comments:
 

The above story is the opinion of the author only and it does not reflect iStockAnalyst opinion. Further, the author is not personally advising you regarding the suitability of the story for your investment needs. In no event iStockAnalyst will be liable for any loss or damage including without limitation, indirect or consequential loss or damage, or any loss or damage whatsoever arising from or arising out of, or in connection with the use of this information. Please consult your investment advisor before making any investment decision.
  
Advertisement
Follow iStockAnalyst
follow iStockAnalyst on Twitter
Popular Articles
Recent Research and Quote
Advertisement
Related Press Releases
Partner Center
Subscribe to Email Alerts rss feed or RSS feeds rss feed for articles from more than 500 contributors, press releases, SEC filings and full text news from more than four thousand sources.
Sponsor: Claim with No win no fee solicitors today!



Fundamental data is provided by Zacks Investment Research, and Commentary, news and Press Releases provided by YellowBrix and Quotemedia.
All information provided "as is" for informational purposes only, not intended for trading purposes or advice. iStockAnalyst.com is not an investment adviser and does not provide, endorse or review any information or data contained herein.
The blog articles are opinions by respective blogger. By using this site you are agreeing to terms and conditions posted on respective bloggers' website.
The postings/comments on the site may or may not be from reliable sources. Neither iStockAnalyst nor any of its independent providers is liable for any informational errors, incompleteness, or delays, or for any actions taken in reliance on information contained herein. You are solely responsible for the investment decisions made by you and the consequences resulting therefrom. By accessing the iStockAnalyst.com site, you agree not to redistribute the information found therein.
We prefer not to publish articles related to OTCBB or Pink Sheet Securities. We do not accept articles containing offesive language, racial remarks, sex / pornography beyond the requirement of the story.
The sector scan is based on 15-30 minutes delayed data. The Pattern scan is based on EOD data.