logo

Liquidity and Safety Are Two Pairs of Shoes
By: The Prudent Investor   Monday, September 10, 2007 4:38 PM

Vote for next session
The next market session will close:

Long dated US Treasuries reversed part of their dramatic gains on Monday, dragged down by worries that foreign investors were actually dumping US debt paper in last week's run-up. According to a Bloomberg report America's creditors actively pursue a diversification of their assets, shifting away from the Federal Reserve Dollar. The next Treasury Inflow Capital data will bring more clues about the amounts moved.
Investors are correct by doing so. Last week's flight into US Treasuries was a flight into liquidity but certainly not a flight into safety unless one is satisfied with nominal and not real returns.
It appears a bit illogic to consider debt obligations from the biggest debtor the world has ever seen as a safe investment. Let us not forget that the AAA rating for US IOU's has never changed since debt has been rated. The paramount difference is, though, that the USA was the world's biggest creditor when it aquired its AAA rating. Now it is the biggest debtor and to keep the US economy as a going concern it needs foreign investments like a vampire thrives on blood.
It is true, the USA will always be able to pay off its debts as it is the only nation in the world that indebts itself solely in its own currency. The game of ever expanding credit can go on - as long as investors play along.
This is not very likely, now that the whole world has agreed on the fact that the financial system built on credit excesses is under severe stress and especially US debts have become the hot potato nobody wants to hold.
The seize up in interbank lending has provoked the Sunday Times to call the current mess oozing from mortgages into everything else "the worst crisis for 20 years." Banks have stopped lending to each other in order to allow a rollover of $113 billion in commercial paper due later this week. This is more demand than a month earlier when the liquidity crisis started. And the other big headache is still out there:
The prospect of serious market indigestion from maturing commercial paper is not the only headache for the banks. Globally, they have $380 billion of loans and bonds to be laid off from leveraged buyouts and other private-equity deals at a time when the markets have shifted sharply against them.
ECB Starts Panicking
Bankers on the continent are getting cold feet too.

Next Page >>12

(0)
No Comments
Post Comment
Name:  
Alert for new comments:
Your email:
Your Website:
Title:
Comments:
   
 
 
 
 
   
 

The above story is the opinion of the author only and it does not reflect iStockAnalyst opinion. Further, the author is not personally advising you regarding the suitability of the story for your investment needs. In no event iStockAnalyst will be liable for any loss or damage including without limitation, indirect or consequential loss or damage, or any loss or damage whatsoever arising from or arising out of, or in connection with the use of this information. Please consult your investment advisor before making any investment decision.
  
Advertisement
Popular Articles
Related Press Releases
Advertisement
Partner Center
Recent Articles by The Prudent Investor



Subscribe to Email Alerts rss feed or RSS feeds rss feed for articles from more than 500 contributors, press releases, SEC filings and full text news from more than four thousand sources.
Fundamental data is provided by Zacks Investment Research, market data is provided by AlphaTrade. , and Commentary and Press Releases provided by Quotemedia