But we have the holiday week impacting the
trading so the lower volume is actually more of a concern,
an illiquid
market can be a dangerous market.
For a short term scalp trade on the long side we suggest the ETF method for
this type of play. We feel an ETF play is the safer way to scalp the market for
short moves. For our subscribers who are day traders there will certainly be
individual stocks in which to trade for quick plays. However, for a general bear
market rally (if that is what takes place in the coming days), then we would
suggest DDM (Ultra long for the Dow), SSO (Ultra Long for the S&P), and UYG
(Ultra long for the financial sector). I must advise strongly however that these
trades will need to be watched VERY CAREFULLY. Risk remains very
elevated still.
On the subject of the banks and financial institutions we feel there is still
a significant risk of another implosion taking place. Which is one reason why we
advise extreme caution here on any plays to the long side. We are still in a
bear market and bear market rules apply:
1.Preservation of capital is paramount
2. All long term investments must be sold on any long term trend line break,
for if you don’t take your gains you may never see them again.
3. Bear markets are NOT the time to be adventurous and foolish with your
investments and/or trades.
4. Over confidence in any bottom (short term or not) can be very hazardous to
ones wallet.
5. Preservation of capital is paramount.
The economic conditions of the United States continues to decline by our own
analysis and ‘real world’ surveys. Lisa and I research the markets and the
economy to all hours of the night. The current economic conditions keep us very
busy reading, analyzing, and studying trends and data. We don’t simply repeat
what others are saying. We do our OWN research and we stand firm that the
economy is continuing to weaken.
Personally, I will be closing all trades before the holiday weekend. I do not
want to risk holding any positions going into a long holiday weekend with the
banks and other financial institutions still in an extreme danger zone. Holiday
weekends tend to be times when we often see dramatic announcements.
On the subject of the new web site and individual stocks that we trade. In
January we contracted with a web development company to customize a database
format site that would enable us to have a portal that we desired to operate
from. Unfortunately, the web company was unable to successfully perform the work
and we were forced to cancel that contract and begin from scratch. Our needs for
a web site are many. Our search for a suitable system required that we could
provide our analysis, charts, individual stock plays, provide a forum for our
users to interact with us and each other, and for aggressive traders, to provide
a webinar system that allows for real time interaction with us and the ability
to see our own screens and see what we do and how we do it. I located a company
that developed a content management system that I tested and found to be a very
workable solution. A contract was signed, a check was cut, and work in going on
now as we speak on creating our new portal. There will be additional
announcements in the coming days.