I
believe that the blogs are not too far from the point at which an additional
blogger will significantly affect readership and general acceptance.
Consistently blogging is a major difficulty as well as setback that the average
blogger faces. From my own experiences as well as observations a blog with wide
readership will tend to have a much more consistent blogger behind it, and I
believe that one does not necessarily cause the other, but as readership
increases, the blogger will be more motivated to post since he/she has an
audience, and the consistency will then fuel more readership (as long as
quantity does not dilute quality). Microblogging, although I do not
participate, is most likely the same. If more people care about your tweets,
you are more likely to twitter, and those who twitter most regularly are also
those who are more likely to be followed. The difference lies in why people
blog versus microblog. Blogging is the written result of a thought process. It
would be itself a “tweet” on Twitter, “I am blogging”. It stems from the desire
to be heard and understood, where microblogging is a desire to be observed. The
universe of people who are proactive enough to blog is small already, 7%, and
those who blog regularly is much smaller. Since microblogging must be regular
in order to be purposeful, I can not imagine there being a universe of people
who choose to microblog that is any larger, as people’s tendencies towards
narcissism begins to clash with desire for privacy, actual ability, as well as
general apathy.
There is going to be an eventual backlash against the effects from certain
technologies such as social networking, cell phones, pda’s, etc, has had on
individual’s privacy, complexity of life, and most of all - a desire to be
“unaccessible” at a given point of time. I have already seen a small disdain
for cell phones and blackberries and the 24/7 “right” to accessibility it
provides other people creeping into my own life and some of my friends as well.
Twitter, in my opinion, is dangerously operating on the tipping point.
With the above in mind, I believe that Twitter will succeed if “tweets” could
be organized and aggregated into a database that could be accessible and
analyzed. A few months back, I had an idea for a website that basically paid
people to Twitter. If you wished to give access to certain personal information
such as age, location, education, sex, etc.