logo

Analyst Comments: Corel, United Natural Foods, Alexion, Itau, TRW Automotive
By: Zacks Investment Research   Tuesday, July 08, 2008 10:00 PM
Symbols: ALXN, CREL, ITU, PG, TRW, UNFI, WFMI

The company's leading market position in the fast growth natural and organics product market, along with the recent distribution contract extension with Whole Foods Market (WFMI), should continue driving both sales and earnings growth. The management's efforts to improve efficiencies and to reduce operating costs, especially by building cost effective infrastructure, should promote margin expansion. The target price of $30.50 is based on a 25 P/E on trailing 12 month earnings.

Soliris the "Go-To" Drug for ALXN

The launch of Alexion Pharmaceuticals' (ALXN) genetic disorder drug Soliris in Australia and Japan in 2009, coupled with the drug's approval in one or more multiple rare blood disorders, should fuel future top-line growth. Additionally, lower cost of goods sold will provide bottom-line growth. However, with no other candidate in clinical development, we maintain our Hold rating on the stock.

Soliris is the only approved product for the treatment of Paroxysmal Nocturnal Hemoglobinuria (PNH), and we estimate peak sales for the drug in excess of $1 billion. The tremendous revenue potential is sufficient to drive a company of Alexion's size to strong probability. One problem which Alexion is struggling with at the moment is the lack of any pipeline products. The company suffered a major blow when Proctor & Gamble (PG) terminated the commercialization and development agreement for its phase III candidate, pexelizumab.

We believe that Alexion's future is tied to Soliris. Long-term treatment with Soliris was also found to be associated with significant improvement and stabilization of kidney function. Data presented at the European Hematology Association in June demonstrated that Soliris therapy could result in significant improvement in fatigue in patients suffering from PNH, independent of any improvement in their anemia.

Alexion is investigating the potential of Soliris in a wide range of rare diseases and approval of Soliris for one or more of these indications will further the market potential of this blockbuster product. We arrive at our $80 target price by applying a price-to-sales ratio of 12.2x to our 2011 estimated total revenue of $578.8 million, discounted at 25 percent for three years.

Play Brazilian Economy with Itau

We are maintaining our Hold on Banco Itau Holding Financeira S.A. (or Itau) (ITU). Itau paid a 25% stock dividend on June 10, for which all data in this report have been adjusted. Itau will report second quarter results on August 5.

Positives for Banco Itau include the company's robust results, improved diversification of its product mix, growing service fees, solid insurance business results, cost controls, an expanded credit portfolio, and an increased demand for credit within the growing Brazilian economy.


(0)
No Comments
Post Comment
Name:  
Alert for new comments:
Your email:
Your Website:
Title:
Comments:
   
 
 
 
 
   
 

  
Advertisement

Related Press Releases
Popular Articles
Advertisement
Recent Articles by Zacks Investment Research
Advertisement




Subscribe to Email Alerts rss feed or RSS feeds rss feed for articles from more than 300 contributors and press releases, SEC filings and full text news from thousands of sources.
Fundamental data is provided by Zacks Investment Research, market data is provided by AlphaTrade. , and Commentary and Press Releases provided by Quotemedia