Well
XOM closed at
80.81 after hitting a low of 79.41.
As to XOM, long-term oriented traders ought to wait for the Crude Oil price
to settle back to the 200-day MA price level, which will pull XOM down into the
mid-70’s in a couple months. That would be the time I would pay particular
attention to the Cara Accumulation Zone/Buy Alert methodology.
From the XLE
chart, it appears that XOM is ahead of the curve. Caraistas must be taking
action? This likely means that the smaller-weighted shares of energy company
components of XLE could be in for a relatively tougher time (than XOM) in the
months ahead.
Without falling oil prices, there can’t be a summer rally in the broad
market, which must then be led by Financials and Tech.
All the Banks and Broker-Dealers will get a lift in the rising tide of a
rally. That doesn’t mean the worst of the problems in these financial services
companies is over. Yesterday, the Wells Fargo Bank CFO, talking heads and
HB&B supporters, seemed overjoyed at the fact the WFC earnings vs a year ago
only dropped a certain (large) percent. Don’t get caught up in that hype stuff.
A lot of the trading volume is short-covering and day trading. We’re not looking
at a new Bull market in Financials.
In fact, what is happening with HB&B is much like a Sadie Hawkins dance
where all the ladies have joined the hunt for Mr. Right. HB&B today is all
about M&A tomorrow. It’s all part of life.
Finally, I have a very long report called: “TAX
HAVEN BANKS AND U. S. TAX COMPLIANCE -- STAFF REPORT, PERMANENT SUBCOMMITTEE ON
INVESTIGATIONS, UNITED STATES SENATE” that was tabled this morning. For all
traders who have set up accounts in Switzerland and other so-called “tax
havens”, you ought to pay attention. If you are serious about this subject, send
me a confidential e-mail (hit the side-bar link) and I’ll forward you a copy
later today.
Btw, if a sovereign country like The Commonwealth of The Bahamas has decided
to operate its fiscal and monetary system with zero tax on all persons and
corporations, foreign and domestic, and peg the currency to 100% the USD, why is
there an inference by countries, such as those in the G-8, that the Bahamas is
doing something illegal or improper? This presumption by the US authorities (our
way or the highway) is flat wrong.
Now that I’m pissed, let me tell you that yesterday the US authorities
arrested a 1200-passenger cruise ship in the NYC harbor, claiming 60
deficiencies. I see nothing wrong in protecting people. That’s important. But
why is it that politics and US economic interests have to come into play? Was it
Hill & Knowlton once again who wrote the media kit for DC? I refer to the
“news” carried by the major media that this cruise ship was “out of Bahamas”.
Not one mention of the owners or the cruiseline or the prior licensing and
scrutiny of permits by US authorities – just “this is Bahamas”. My response is
simple: “No to the jerks who wrote that stuff and who aired it on command, this
is the Ugly American at work. I resent it. I don’t think the American public
realizes yet how much they are led by nose rings.” Quote me.