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Institutional Money Flocking in Biotech
By: TraderMark   Friday, August 15, 2008 1:23 PM
Symbols: AFFX, AMGN, AMLN, BIIB, CELG, CEPH, DNA, GENZ, GILD, ILMN, IMCL, OSI, OSIP, PDLI, VRTX

So aside from the real lack of volume this name has a lot of positives going for it.

Last, we have SPDR Biotech (XBI) - here are the top holdings as of August 18
  1. Imclone (IMCL) 5.8%
  2. Amgen (AMGN) 4.9%
  3. Genentech (DNA) 4.6%
  4. Amylin Pharma (AMLN) 4.6%
  5. Celgene (CELG) 4.5%
  6. Genzyme (GENZ) 4.2%
  7. Cephalon (CEPH) 3.8%
  8. Gilead Sciences (GILD) 3.6%
  9. Biogen (BIIB) 3.2%
  10. Vertex Pharma (VRTX) 3.1%
Another very diverse group and even less concentration in the top 10, as they make up 42.2% of the ETF. Keep in mind these are fluid vehicles as the top 10 have changed weightings quite a bit from even June 30. I assume Imclone's jump to the top of the weighting has to do with its recent buyout offer. So this is also a solid candidate, and its volume is a bit more attractive to us for ease of exiting or entering the position, or scaling in/out.

For comparative purposes I've posted charts below of the relative performance of the 3 ETFs over 2 time frames: 3 months and 6 months

3 months (click to enlarge)

6 months (click to enlarge)

In the 3 month period, BBH has outperformed with a 25% gain since we had that huge move up in Genentech (DNA) so it's a bit deceiving. The other 2 came in at 16-19% range. In the 6 month period BBH and XBI both came in at around a 25% gain with FBT not far behind at 20%. Again, the action is relatively random as the portfolio weightings outside of BBH are dynamic and we've had takeover action in the group.

I am keeping both FBT and XBI on the radar but due to volume will probably go with XBI once (if) this sector gives us a decent pullback. This will give us some biotech exposure but without individual company risk, and expose us to an area that does not batter us with the daily "financials vs commodities" battleground that is getting weary at this point.

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