The same is true for the Chinese themselves.
Prior to the
great economic reforms of Deng Xiaoping in 1978, the Chinese did not have the
political freedom (or the money) to travel within China, let alone
beyond its borders. Someone in Guangzhou couldn’t just hop on a train
and visit the Great Wall of China in Beijing, even if they had the money to do
so.
Times have
changed. And thanks to China’s breakneck economic growth that has raised incomes
and new personal freedoms, the Chinese are visiting all the natural, religious,
and historical wonders of their fantastic country as well as venturing out to
the rest of Asia, Europe, Africa, and the Americas.
The Chinese
Ministry of Public Security estimates that in 2006, 34.5 million Chinese
traveled outside of China. To put that into perspective, only 4.5 million
Chinese made it overseas in 1995.
Ctrip
(Nasdaq:CTRP) is a lot like Orbitz or Expedia in that it provides online travel
services such as hotel reservation, air-ticketing, and packaged-tour services.
There is one
huge difference though: Ctrip has a semi-monopoly grip on the Chinese travel
business!
Ctrip books
more hotel and airline tickets than anybody else in China. And it has a whopping
57% market share.
It gets even
better…
According to
iResearch, only 1% of travel reservations were booked online in 2006. But that
amount is expected to grow by 35% a year for the next several years.
Talk about
being in the right place at the right time!
I am not
suggesting that you rush out and buy Ctrip tomorrow. But I absolutely believe in
its long-term story and strong fundamentals.
Best
wishes,