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9 ( Nine ) For 09 , Risky Stock Picks ( 2009 )
By: Mad Money Fund   Thursday, January 01, 2009 11:31 PM
Symbols: ACAT, BIDU, C, DNA, GOOG, LNG, MDS, TOL, XRAY

United States Oil Fund ETF ( USO )32.85 A share as of 1/1/2009
United States Oil Fund, LP (USOF) is a commodity pool that issues limited partnership interests or units that may be purchased and sold on the American Stock Exchange (the AMEX). The Company invests in futures contracts for light, sweet crude oil and other types of crude oil, heating oil, gasoline, natural gas and other petroleum-based fuels that are traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), International Currency Exchange (ICE) Futures or other United States and foreign exchanges (collectively, Oil Futures Contracts). It holds interests in other oil-related investments such as cash-settled options on Oil Futures Contracts, forward oil contracts, and oil-based over-the-counter transactions.Oil is waaaay down, but only due to overall weakness in the markets. It will come back in a big way, and now is the time to get in to anything that is even remotely related to the oil markets.
This is just a reality. The thought that oil will forever fall is just not sound thinking. As conditions improve and people hoard the oil, prices will rise and this ETF will again ride higher. It will not be until the late summer or fall of 2009 but it will occur. The same way we are amazed at the massive oil price drop we will all sit around and discuss how that one _____ (hurricane, war, terrorist act) tripled oil in a months time. The wonderful part of old age is you slowly realize the waves that pound the beach are rather predictable. Anyway I have bought oil and plan to continue. Target price 70.75 a share.

5. Baidu.com, Inc. ( BIDU ) 129.90 a share as of 1/1/2009
Baidu.com, Inc. (Bidu) is a Chinese-language Internet search provider. The Company conducts its operations principally through Baidu Online Network Technology (Beijing) Co., Ltd. (Baidu Online), its wholly owned subsidiary in Beijing, the People’s Republic of China. In addition, it conducts part of its operations through Baidu Netcom Science Technology Co., Ltd. (Baidu Netcom), which holds the licenses and approvals necessary to operate Baidu’s Websites and provide online advertising services.Google US market share 60%
Baidu China market share 60%
US Population 300M
Chinese Population 1B+
Google market value 150B
Baidu Market value 10B
Chinese version of Google. Huge under-tapped market. Strong ownership interest. Recommended by Fools. Internet is here to stay and just getting started in China.Target price 225.00 a share.

6. Toll Brothers ( TOL ) 21.43 a share as of 1/1/2009
Toll Brothers, Inc. is engaged in designing, building, marketing and arranging finance for single-family detached and attached homes in luxury residential communities. The Company is also involved, directly and through joint ventures, in projects where it is building, or converting existing rental apartment buildings into high-, mid- and low-rise luxury homes. During the fiscal year ended October 31, 2007 (fiscal 2007), the Company delivered 7,023 homes from 385 communities. In fiscal 2007, the Company has introduced 70 new single-family detached models, 28 new single-family attached models and 32 new condominium units. The four segments operated by the Company includes the North, the Mid-Atlantic, the South and the West.
With the Fed throwing everything but the kitchen sink at the housing problem they will create and artificial bottom in housing prices. Once all the buyers that have been waiting for a bottom will have already missed the bottom and have to pay 1% to 3% more than they originally wanted. And one more thing beware of the crowded short. Also Jim Cramer thinks housing should bottom by mid year in 2009 . How can you not love such a honest CEO as Toll Brothers. I love how candid and open this man is to the little investors. Crammer has interviewed this "gentleman" and I love his straight shooting and talking style. I belive that Toll Brothers is a great place to park your money for some substantial time , long term play !target price 35.00 a share.

7. Suburban Propane Partners ( SPH ) 35.45 a share as of 1/1/2009
Suburban Propane Partners, L.P. is a marketer and distributor of an array of products, which meet the energy needs of its customers. The Company specializes in the distribution of propane, fuel oil and refined fuels, as well as the marketing of natural gas and electricity in deregulated markets. The Company conducts its business through Suburban Propane, L.P., which operates its propane business, and its direct and indirect subsidiaries. The Company’s general partner, and the general partner of Suburban Propane, L.P., is Suburban Energy Services Group LLC.


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