In 2008, WoW accounted for $1.1 billion in revenue, or
38% of Activision’s total revenue. Sales from all of Activision’s console titles were $1.2 billion. WoW has more than 11.5 million subscribers, Activision said.
Since its dropping down to its 52-week low of $8.14 in January, Activision shares have risen steadily, and are now trading in the $12 range. With a war chest stuffed with nearly $3 billion in cash and ratings of mostly "Buy" or "Strong Buy" from analysts, Activision may warrant closer study by individual investors, too.
Activision’s rival, Electronic Arts Inc. (Nasdaq: ERTS) also has some potential-big-hit titles coming in the year’s second half, but saw its losses more than double to $1 billion for the fiscal year that ended March 31. Like most game publishers looking to cash in on the holiday shopping season - primetime for consumer spending - EA is saving its best for the second half of 2009.
Titles such as "Madden NFL 10," "The Beatles Rock Band" and "Left 4 Dead 2? will sell well, but the outlook for EA on Wall Street is mixed, with the majority of analysts rating the company as a "Hold."
Some analysts say that EA can weather the current downturn in consumer spending, as it sits on more than $1.6 billion in cash, according to its annual regulatory filing with the Securities Exchange Commission (SEC), but the outlook for the 2009 Christmas shopping season remains uncertain.
Will iSpend?
Following a sharp drop in its stock after the revelation that its chief executive officer’s health may be worse than previously thought, shares of Apple Inc. (Nasdaq: AAPL) have slowly been climbing back toward its 52-week high of $180.91. The shares are currently trading at about 21% below that peak.
The Cupertino, Calif.-based company on June 8 removed a barrier that had stopped many consumers from purchasing its popular iPhone when it lowered the price of its 8-gigabyte 3G model to $99. With wireless plans starting at around $70 per month, Apple’s phone - and perhaps more importantly, its app store - will find its way into the hands of many more consumers in the second half of 2009.
Couple the 8GB iPhone 3G with the newly released, feature-rich 3GS model - and then stir in a barrage of television commercials - and the result should be a marked improvement in revenue.
It is unlikely that Palm Inc.’s (Nasdaq: PALM) Pre will put a dent in iPhone sales, partly because of sustained shortages as Apple floods the market with its phone. However, Sprint Nextel Corp. (NYSE: S) customers locked in their contracts looking to upgrade to a phone with a growing app catalog will see the Pre’s similarities with the iPhone.
Sprint Chief Financial Officer Bob Brust told investors via a webcast at Wachovia Corp.’s Annual Mid-Year Equity Conference that Pre shortages still exist weeks after its launch.
"We still have a backlog of subscribers but it’s not unmanageable and we get shipments every week," Brust said. Sprint is the exclusive carrier of the Pre.
Analysts estimate that 50,000 to 100,000 Pres were sold in its debut weekend earlier this month, while Apple said the new iPhone sold 1 million units in its opening weekend.
(By Bob Blandeburgo)
[Editor's Note: This tech-sector preview is the opening installment of a new Money Morning series that will make economic projections for key U.S. sectors for the last half of 2009. As part of that series, look for forecasts for housing, energy, U.S. stocks and the emerging markets.]