Stock Quote        
  Join        Login  
logo
Weekend Market Commentary : 20's Break...50's Holding...For Now...
By: Jack Steiman   Friday, October 02, 2009 6:38 PM
No major readings above 1.00 and not too many below 0.70. In other words, not too much in terms of complacency nor fear.  Per the Investors Intelligence Survey Bulls are up to 50% and Bears down to 23% a widening spread which has kept us somewhat cautious over the past week or two.  During Fridays session both the VIX/VXN flamed out late session showing some hesitation at resistance.

Sector Watch:

Most Sectors continue to correct back with the market towards important 50 EMA and Uptrend Support Lines off our March Lows.  We've included a chart of the Transports seen in our 6th chart below that more or less mirrors the Nasdaq, SP 500, Dow, QQQQ and Russell 2000 Charts seen below in that most key groups are now testing back to our important Uptrendlines off the March Lows and 50 EMA's.  Most Commodities are testing the bottom of their respective Rising Wedge Patterns.  The Oil Services Sector pulled back about $10 over the past week and is now also testing some major Support.  The BKX/Financial Sector Chart put in a Doji today or hesitation candle right off our 50 EMA Support.   Next week will be an interesting one to say the least with the battlelines drawn at our critical 50 EMA Supports.


The Week Ahead:

The week ahead is one the market may have to remember adversely for a very long time. The bulls are fighting for their bull market lives here. It would be extremely bearish if the market loses those 50 day exponential moving averages across the board. The key of course is doing this on a closing basis. There are the usual number of economic reports, all of which lately have come in poorly. We need to see a turn in that for the market to have much of a chance. Do keep in mind that a breach of the 50's on an intra day basis is meaningless. It's how we close. Also, you don't really take a breakdown seriously if we lose the 50's by a point or two. You need to see a breakdown and run down even lower to get true confirmation. I will be watching and updating for all of you of course. Nothing aggressive short or long until we get resolution folks. In fact mostly to all cash would be entirely acceptable which we have mostly been for the past week or two.  

Peace
Jack

The Informed Trader is a site for self directed traders/investors.  We offer Nightly Market Commentary, focused Long/Short Alerts, ETF/Sector Analysis, an Interactive Discussion Board with Intraday Stock/Market Analysis an IPO Corner and much more....


<< Previous Page12  

Comments Closed


  
Advertisement

Related Press Releases
Popular Articles
Advertisement
Recent Articles by Jack Steiman
Advertisement




Subscribe to Email Alerts rss feed or RSS feeds rss feed for articles from more than 800 contributors and press releases, SEC filings and full text news from thousands of sources.



Fundamental data is provided by Zacks Investment Research, and Commentary, news and Press Releases provided by YellowBrix and Quotemedia.
All information provided "as is" for informational purposes only, not intended for trading purposes or advice. iStockAnalyst.com is not an investment adviser and does not provide, endorse or review any information or data contained herein.
The blog articles are opinions by respective blogger. By using this site you are agreeing to terms and conditions posted on respective bloggers' website.
The postings/comments on the site may or may not be from reliable sources. Neither iStockAnalyst nor any of its independent providers is liable for any informational errors, incompleteness, or delays, or for any actions taken in reliance on information contained herein. You are solely responsible for the investment decisions made by you and the consequences resulting therefrom. By accessing the iStockAnalyst.com site, you agree not to redistribute the information found therein.
The sector scan is based on 15-30 minutes delayed data. The Pattern scan is based on EOD data.