Stock Quote        
  Join        Login  
logo
Can Government Spending Cripple Private Sector Growth
By: Faisal Humayun   Sunday, October 11, 2009 3:57 PM
The process is as follows:

The Government might be able to borrow funds from abroad but for that it needs to set attractive terms for bond buyers. This is especially true for a Government which is already overburdened with debt. So as the emerging economies recover and inflation gets higher, these countries will demand much higher interest payments on the bonds. No one would love to buy bonds which give negative returns (when adjusted for inflation).

The U.S. Government will thus be forced at one point of time to increase rates on bonds and this will lead to interest rates going up in general. Higher price for money again impacts the private sector as it might not be able to borrow funds (or borrow to the extent it needs) for its expansion.

Thus, even by selling bonds to other countries, the Government might impact the provate sector spending through higher interest rates. In order to keep interest rates low, the only option the Government will have is to monetize debt (print money).

Impact of Debt Monetization on the Private Sector

Debt Monetization is the best way to cause spiralling inflation and also accelerate the demise of any currency. Thus, debt monetization might ultimately lead to the same higher interest rates or a bigger crisis for the financial and economic system as a whole.

Does Government spending only lead to Negatives?

One might be wondering at this point of time that is there any positive associated with Government spending and if not then whey are Governments creating huge deficits which ultimately will lead to no benefit for anyone.

The answer is that Government spending is not something which always spells disaster. But the following things have to be taken into consideration.
  • What is the Government Spending directed towards? In the cae of U.S, the Government spending is directed towards encouraging consumption instead of encouuraging capital formation and private fixed investments. The Government is trying to find the solution to the problem by using the problem itself as the medicine. Thus, in my opinion, a large part of the Government spending is misdirected and that will not benefit the economy in a big way. The only thing it can do is to artifically support the economy.
  • The Government also needs to consider how much leverage it alread has.

Comments Closed


  
Advertisement

Related Press Releases
Popular Articles
Advertisement
Recent Articles by Faisal Humayun
Advertisement




Subscribe to Email Alerts rss feed or RSS feeds rss feed for articles from more than 800 contributors and press releases, SEC filings and full text news from thousands of sources.



Fundamental data is provided by Zacks Investment Research, and Commentary, news and Press Releases provided by YellowBrix and Quotemedia.
All information provided "as is" for informational purposes only, not intended for trading purposes or advice. iStockAnalyst.com is not an investment adviser and does not provide, endorse or review any information or data contained herein.
The blog articles are opinions by respective blogger. By using this site you are agreeing to terms and conditions posted on respective bloggers' website.
The postings/comments on the site may or may not be from reliable sources. Neither iStockAnalyst nor any of its independent providers is liable for any informational errors, incompleteness, or delays, or for any actions taken in reliance on information contained herein. You are solely responsible for the investment decisions made by you and the consequences resulting therefrom. By accessing the iStockAnalyst.com site, you agree not to redistribute the information found therein.
The sector scan is based on 15-30 minutes delayed data. The Pattern scan is based on EOD data.