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Fitch Affirms Campbell's IDRs at 'A/F1'; Outlook Stable
Tuesday, November 04, 2008 5:29 PM


Fitch Ratings has affirmed the Issuer Default Rating (IDR) and outstanding debt of Campbell Soup Company (Campbell's) as follows:

-- Long-term IDR at 'A';

-- Senior unsecured debt at 'A';

-- Short-term IDR at 'F1';

-- Commercial paper (CP) at 'F1'.

The Rating Outlook is Stable. Campbell's total debt was $2.6 billion, including $661 million of CP, at Aug. 3, 2008.

Campbell's ratings and Outlook are based on a continuation of the company's balanced financial strategy. The ratings incorporate Campbell's leading position in the high margin soup category and the strength of its branded product portfolio. The ratings also consider the mature and highly competitive nature of the U.S. soup market. Campbell's overall EBITDA margins are among the best in the packaged food industry, despite recent margin pressure due to heightened input costs. Campbell's recent pricing actions are expected to generate better price realization in fiscal 2009. Pricing, along with productivity initiatives, will be necessary to offset cost inflation. Campbell's expects ingredient, packaging and energy costs to increase 9-10% in fiscal 2009, up from 7-8% in fiscal 2008.

Campbell's net sales increased 8% to $8 billion for the fiscal year ended Aug. 3, 2008 versus the prior year. Excluding a 4% positive impact from currency, a 1% decline from divestitures and a 2% increase from the 53rd week, net sales rose 3%. Pricing, net of increased promotional spending, was 1%, which was low given the significant commodity cost increases incurred. Volume and mix added 2%. Soup sales increased 1% (excluding the extra week), with condensed soup sales flat, ready-to-serve soup up 1% and broth up 11%. The company has increased innovation to drive sales growth in fiscal 2009 with the restaging of Campbell's Select to Select Harvest lower sodium soups and Select Gold to V8 aseptic soups.

Overall gross profit fell 100 basis points to 39.6% in fiscal 2008 due to the impact of cost inflation, partially offset by pricing and productivity initiatives. Operating earnings increased 6%, excluding $175 million of restructuring charges. Cash flow from operations increased 13.6% to $766 million due to lower payments on hedging transactions and lower working capital, partially offset by tax payments on the Godiva divestiture. Fitch expects Campbell's to generate higher cash flow from operations in fiscal 2009 due to earnings growth and the absence of one-time items.



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