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Radian Reports Third Quarter Financial Results
Wednesday, November 05, 2008 8:02 AM


PHILADELPHIA, Nov. 5 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Radian Group Inc. (NYSE: RDN) today reported net income for the quarter ended September 30, 2008 of $36.7 million, or $0.46 per share. This compares to a net loss of $703.9 million, or $8.82 per share, for the prior year quarter. Book value per share at September 30, 2008 was $28.90.

'Radian's third quarter results were impacted by a continuation of elevated mortgage insurance losses, which were offset by a reduction in our first-lien premium deficiency reserve,' said S. A. Ibrahim, Chief Executive Officer of Radian. 'During the third quarter, we significantly strengthened the statutory capital of our mortgage insurance business through the contribution of our financial guaranty business. This non-dilutive action is expected to provide the MI business with cash infusions over time. We are focused on growing our core MI business and taking advantage of opportunities to write profitable, new business that will better position us as we move through and beyond these uncertain economic times.'

THIRD QUARTER HIGHLIGHTS

-- As announced on September 18, Radian contributed its ownership interest in Radian Asset Assurance Inc. (Radian Asset), its principal financial guaranty subsidiary, to Radian Guaranty Inc. (Radian Guaranty), the Company's principal mortgage insurance subsidiary, providing capital support to its mortgage insurance (MI) business.

-- Radian Asset has $2.9 billion in claims-paying resources including, $935 million in statutory surplus.

-- Radian has a 29 percent ownership interest in Sherman Financial and received $35.5 million in dividends from Sherman during the first three quarters of 2008, including $16 million in the third quarter. Sherman remains a solid contributor of earnings and quarterly dividends, and Radian has the flexibility to pursue a sale of its stake in Sherman.

-- First and second-lien MI claims paid were in line with expectations at $277 million. Fourth quarter MI claims paid are expected to be similar to third quarter, with total claims paid for 2008 expected to be approximately $950 million, lower than previously guided.

-- First-lien primary MI defaults were 9.71 percent, a 16 percent increase over the prior quarter.

-- As a result of reduced mortgage origination volume, total primary new MI insurance written was $7.5 billion, a 22 percent decrease from the prior quarter. Radian Guaranty continues to maintain a strong market position.

-- Representing a dramatic shift during the past year, approximately 98.4 percent of new MI business production in the third quarter of 2008 was prime, a trend that is expected to continue into 2009.

-- Radian Guaranty's strong efforts in loss mitigation remain a critical priority to its capital preservation. Radian Guaranty is involved in a number of initiatives to increase effective loss management, which include placing staff on-site with major mortgage servicers to expedite solutions, creating the Fast Advance program, launching a number of direct outreach programs including a borrower web site, partnering with the Consumer Credit Counseling Service of Delaware Valley to offer borrower counseling services and joining the Hope Now initiative.

-- Radian has sustained relatively minimal credit losses through its high quality, diversified investment portfolio that has limited exposure to vulnerable asset classes.

-- Compared to other financial guaranty insurers, Radian Asset has significantly less exposure to the weakening housing markets, further contributing to its strong capital position. Premiums written this quarter were much lower due to the Company's decision to cease writing new business in light of current market conditions. Premiums earned were very strong reflecting heavy refunding activity.

-- The GSE charter remains unchanged and Radian Guaranty remains a Top Tier provider to the GSEs through frequent and proactive collaboration and demonstration of its strong capital position.

UPDATE on RESERVES

Radian had total reserves of $3 billion as of September 30, 2008, including updated first-lien and second-lien premium deficiency reserves of $150.1 million and $181.3 million, respectively. As of September 30, 2008, the present value of Radian's current projected aggregate future losses and expenses exceeded future premiums and current loss reserves for the domestic first-lien mortgage insurance book by $150.1 million. This projected net loss reflects the remaining life of the June 30, 2008 and prior book of business. The third quarter new production is expected to be profitable and therefore, its projected profitability is excluded from the premium deficiency reserve balance.

CONFERENCE CALL

Radian will discuss each of these items in its conference call today, Wednesday, November 5 at 10:00 a.m. Eastern time. The conference call will be broadcast live over the internet at http://www.ir.radian.biz/phoenix.zhtml?c=112301&p=irol-audioarchives or at http://www.radian.biz >News. The call may also be accessed by dialing 800-398- 9397 inside the U.S., or 612-332-1213 for international callers, using passcode 965834 or by referencing Radian.

A replay of the webcast will be available at the Radian Web site approximately two hours after the live broadcast ends for a period of one year. A replay of the conference call will be available two and a half hours after the call ends for one week, using the following dial-in numbers and passcode: 800-475-6701 inside the U.S., or 320-365-3844 for international callers, passcode 965834.

About Radian

Radian Group Inc. is a global credit risk management company headquartered in Philadelphia. Radian develops innovative financial solutions by applying its core mortgage credit risk expertise and structured finance capabilities to the credit enhancement needs of the capital markets worldwide, primarily through credit insurance products. The company also provides credit enhancement for public finance and other corporate and consumer assets on both a direct and reinsurance basis and holds strategic interests in credit-based consumer asset businesses. Additional information may be found at www.radian.biz.

Financial Results and Supplemental Information Contents (Unaudited)

For trend information on all schedules, refer to Radian's quarterly financial statistics at http://www.radian.biz/investors/financial/corporate.aspx.

    Exhibit A:  Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income
    Exhibit B:  Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets
    Exhibit C:  Segment Information Quarter Ended September 30, 2008
    Exhibit D:  Segment Information Quarter Ended September 30, 2007
    Exhibit E:  Segment Information Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008
    Exhibit F:  Segment Information Nine Months Ended September 30, 2007
    Exhibit G:  Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information -
                For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008
    Exhibit H:  Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information -
                For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008
    Exhibit I:  Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information -
                For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008
                New Insurance Written and Risk Written
    Exhibit J:  Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information -
                For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008
                Insurance in Force and Risk in Force
    Exhibit K:  Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information -
                For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008
                Risk in Force by LTV and Policy Year and other Risk in Force
    Exhibit L:  Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information -
                For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008
                Claims and Reserves
    Exhibit M:  Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information -
                For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008
                Defaults
    Exhibit N:  Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information -
                For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008
                Net Premiums Written and Earned, Smart Home, Captives and
                Persistency
    Exhibit O:  Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information -
                For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008
                Reinsurance Progression Toward Attachment - Summary by Book
                Year
    Exhibit P:  Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information -
                For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008
                Modified Pool Risk in Force
    Exhibit Q:  Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information -
                For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008
                Alt-A
    Exhibit R:  Financial Services Supplemental Information -
                For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008


    Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
    Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income
    Exhibit A
                                 Quarter Ended           Nine Months Ended
                                  September 30             September 30
                               2008          2007       2008          2007
    (In thousands, except
     per-share data)
    Revenues:
    Net premiums written -
     insurance               $202,451       $308,011   $669,402      $798,860
    Net premiums earned -
     insurance               $249,718       $245,396   $740,776      $677,913
    Net investment income      65,215         64,959    196,322       188,605
    Change in fair value
    of derivative
    instruments (1)           164,757       (615,936)   928,792      (633,765)
    Net (losses) gains on
     other financial
     instruments              (63,737)        14,840   (126,872)       54,279
    Gain on sale of
     affiliate                      -        181,734          -       181,734
    Other income                2,756          4,599      9,591        11,519
        Total revenues        418,709       (104,408) 1,748,609       480,285

    Expenses:
    Provision for losses      544,915        330,504  1,586,505       611,508
    Provision for premium
     deficiency (2)          (252,170)       155,176    135,727       155,176
    Policy acquisition costs   20,770         35,743    120,628 (3)    88,195
    Other operating expenses   80,781         34,891    199,771       137,471
    Merger expenses                 -          1,278          -        14,001
    Interest expense           13,852         13,394     40,177        38,810
        Total expenses        408,148        570,986  2,082,808     1,045,161
    Equity in net income
     (loss) of affiliates      15,798       (448,924)    44,028      (376,645)
    Pretax income (loss)       26,359     (1,124,318)  (290,171)     (941,521)
    Income tax (benefit)
     provision                (10,340)      (420,454)  (129,984)     (372,207)
    Net income (loss)         $36,699      $(703,864) $(160,187)    $(569,314)
    Diluted net income
     (loss) per share (4)       $0.46         $(8.82)    $(2.01)       $(7.16)
     (1) Includes premiums earned on derivative contracts.
     (2) Includes $(271.7) million for first-lien and $19.6 million for
         second-lien in the third quarter of 2008, and $150.1 million for
         first-lien and $(14.3) million for second-lien for the first nine
         months of 2008.
     (3) Includes the acceleration of $50.8 million of deferred policy
         acquisition cost amortization in the nine months ended September 30,
         2008, as a result of the establishment of a first-lien premium
         deficiency reserve in the second quarter of 2008.
     (4) Weighted average shares outstanding (in thousands)
    Average common shares
     outstanding               79,960         79,800     79,603        79,467
    Increase in shares-
     potential exercise
     of options -
     diluted basis                433              -          -             -
    Weighted average shares
     outstanding
     (in thousands)            80,393         79,800     79,603        79,467
    For Trend Information, refer to our Quarterly Financial Statistics on
    Radian's (RDN) website.

    Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
    Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets
    Exhibit B
    (In thousands, except share and     September 30 December 31 September 30
     per-share data)                           2008        2007        2007
    Assets:
    Cash and investments                   $6,330,214  $6,611,836  $6,575,797
    Investments in affiliates                  87,256     104,354      94,144
    Deferred policy acquisition costs         178,581     234,955     233,582
    Prepaid federal income taxes              248,828     793,486     861,809
    Tax recoverables                          462,694       1,816       2,043
    Reinsurance recoverables                  310,984      33,960      37,674
    Other assets                              619,597     429,782     409,811
         Total assets                      $8,238,154  $8,210,189  $8,214,860

    Liabilities and stockholders' equity:
    Unearned premiums                      $1,000,725  $1,094,710  $1,045,267
    Reserve for losses and loss
     adjustment expenses                    2,680,381   1,598,756   1,094,704
    Reserve for premium deficiency            331,373     195,646     155,176
    Long-term debt and other borrowings       908,282     953,524     948,010
    Variable interest entity debt             127,624           -           -
    Deferred income taxes                           -      26,705     383,172
    Derivative liabilities                    343,296   1,305,665     675,432
    Other liabilities                         514,147     314,447     465,607
       Total liabilities                    5,905,828   5,489,453   4,767,368
    Common stock                                   98          98          97
    Additional paid-in capital                453,836     442,312     436,828
    Retained earnings                       2,017,542   2,181,191   2,903,798
    Accumulated other comprehensive income   (139,150)     97,135     106,769
       Total common stockholders' equity    2,332,326   2,720,736   3,447,492
         Total liabilities and
          stockholders' equity             $8,238,154  $8,210,189  $8,214,860
    Book value per share                       $28.90      $33.83      $42.86

    Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
    Segment Information
    Quarter Ended September 30, 2008
    Exhibit C
                                 Mortgage   Financial  Financial
     (In thousands)             Insurance    Guaranty   Services      Total
     Revenues:
     Net premiums written -
      insurance                   $188,583     $13,868        $-    $202,451
     Net premiums earned -
      insurance                   $196,207     $53,511        $-    $249,718
     Net investment income          38,017      27,198         -      65,215
     Change in fair value of
      derivative instruments         8,606     156,151         -     164,757
     Net gains (losses) on
      other financial
      instruments                  (39,925)    (23,895)       83     (63,737)
     Other income                    2,561          58       137       2,756
       Total revenues              205,466     213,023       220     418,709
     Expenses:
     Provision for losses          519,257      25,658         -     544,915
     Provision for premium
      deficiency                  (252,170)          -         -    (252,170)
     Policy acquisition costs        5,327      15,443         -      20,770
     Other operating expenses       43,771      36,885       125      80,781
     Interest expense                6,718       7,134         -      13,852
       Total expenses              322,903      85,120       125     408,148
     Equity in net income of
      affiliates                         -           -    15,798      15,798
     Pretax (loss) income         (117,437)    127,903    15,893      26,359
     Income tax (benefit)
      provision                    (70,473)     53,550     6,583     (10,340)
     Net (loss) income            $(46,964)    $74,353    $9,310     $36,699
      Assets                    $5,120,152  $2,934,032  $183,970  $8,238,154
      Total investments          3,816,513   2,406,739         -   6,223,252
      Deferred policy
       acquisition costs            17,997     160,584         -     178,581
      Reserve for losses and
       loss adjustment expenses  2,496,412     183,969         -   2,680,381
      Derivative liabilities       220,363     122,933         -     343,296
      Unearned premiums            351,200     649,525         -   1,000,725
      Stockholders' equity         838,474   1,349,016   144,836   2,332,326

    Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
    Segment Information
    Quarter Ended September 30, 2007
    Exhibit D
                                 Mortgage   Financial   Financial
     (In thousands)             Insurance    Guaranty   Services     Total
     Revenues:
     Net premiums written
      - insurance                $249,521     $58,490         $-    $308,011
     Net premiums earned -
      insurance                  $212,998     $32,398         $-    $245,396
     Net investment income         37,437      27,403        119      64,959
     Change in fair value
      of derivative
      instruments                (374,024)   (241,912)         -    (615,936)
     Net gains (losses) on
      other financial
      instruments                   9,312       5,560        (32)     14,840
     Gain on sale of
      affiliate                         -           -    181,734     181,734
     Other income                   3,782         517        300       4,599
       Total revenues            (110,495)   (176,034)   182,121    (104,408)
     Expenses:
     Provision for losses         278,785      51,719          -     330,504
     Provision for premium
      deficiency                  155,176           -          -     155,176
     Policy acquisition
      costs                        24,865      10,878          -      35,743
     Other operating
      expenses                     25,460       9,863       (432)     34,891
     Merger expenses                1,116         162          -       1,278
     Interest expense               6,764       4,808      1,822      13,394
       Total expenses             492,166      77,430      1,390     570,986
     Equity in net loss of
      affiliates                        -           -   (448,924)   (448,924)
     Pretax loss                 (602,661)   (253,464)  (268,193) (1,124,318)
     Income tax benefit          (227,374)    (99,350)   (93,730)   (420,454)
     Net loss                   $(375,287)  $(154,114) $(174,463)  $(703,864)
      Assets                   $5,232,832  $2,833,748   $148,280  $8,214,860
      Total investments         3,956,943   2,556,054          -   6,512,997
      Deferred policy
       acquisition costs           62,371     171,211          -     233,582
      Reserve for losses
       and loss adjustment
       expenses                   884,985     209,719          -   1,094,704
      Unearned premiums           322,109     723,158          -   1,045,267
      Stockholders' equity      1,894,959   1,409,168    143,365   3,447,492

    Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
    Segment Information
    Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008
    Exhibit E
                                      Mortgage  Financial  Financial
      (In thousands)                 Insurance   Guaranty  Services   Total
     Revenues:
     Net premiums written -
      insurance                        $598,864   $70,538       $-   $669,402
     Net premiums earned - insurance   $605,568  $135,208       $-   $740,776
     Net investment income              115,803    80,505       14    196,322
     Change in fair value of
      derivative instruments            105,548   823,244        -    928,792
     Net (losses) gains on other
      financial instruments             (66,214)  (60,778)     120   (126,872)
     Other income                         9,051       237      303      9,591
       Total revenues                   769,756   978,416      437  1,748,609
     Expenses:
     Provision for losses             1,539,561    46,944        -  1,586,505
     Provision for premium
      deficiency                        135,727         -        -    135,727
     Policy acquisition costs            82,473    38,155        -    120,628
     Other operating expenses           126,644    72,642      485    199,771
     Interest expense                    21,140    18,788      249     40,177
       Total expenses                 1,905,545   176,529      734  2,082,808
     Equity in net income of
      affiliates                              -         -   44,028     44,028
     Pretax (loss) income            (1,135,789)  801,887   43,731   (290,171)
     Income tax (benefit) provision    (428,186)  279,537   18,665   (129,984)
     Net (loss) income                $(707,603) $522,350  $25,066  $(160,187)

    Radian Group Inc.


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