Fitch Ratings has downgraded the ratings assigned to Conseco Inc.
(Conseco). The Rating Outlook on Conseco Inc. and its subsidiaries
remains Negative. In addition, the Insurer Financial Strength (IFS)
rating for Senior Health Insurance Company of Pennsylvania (SHICP) is
withdrawn following Conseco's spin-off of that company. See the full
rating list at the end of this release.
The downgrade widens the notching between the debt ratings at the
holding company and the IFS ratings at the insurance subsidiaries. This
reflects the company's decreased financial flexibility due to:
--Higher financial leverage;
--Approximately $88 million in 2009 debt maturities;
--Reduced cushion in its secured bank facility financial covenants.
The covenants of immediate concern are those related to statutory
capital, risk-based capital ratios, and leverage, which are expected to
end the year 2008 significantly closer to covenant levels. Conseco's
anticipated position versus these covenants was affected by the SHICP
spin-off transaction and impairments in its investment portfolio. Fitch
believes that while the spin-off of SHICP had a positive impact on
Conseco's insurance risk profile, it also weakened the financial profile
of the holding company.
Fitch continues to maintain a Negative Outlook on the holding company
and its insurance subsidiaries reflecting the current challenging
investment environment. Fitch believes Conseco's statutory capital will
be pressured by impairments in the deteriorating market for commercial
mortgage backed securities and commercial mortgages. Fitch also notes
Conseco's exposure to a sizable but highly rated Alt-A residential
mortgage-backed security portfolio and below-investment-grade fixed
maturity corporate securities that are greater than 100% of statutory
capital. The company has a meaningful exposure to GAAP unrealized losses
on its investment portfolio that under statutory accounting rules are
not reflected in capital.
In addition to investment results, the future of Conseco's ratings and
Outlook will be based on the company's ability to improve its financial
profile. Fitch notes that the company is currently working on various
initiatives to improve statutory capital. Fitch also expects
continuation of the progress the company has made in improving operating
performance in its business lines.
Fitch downgrades the following with a Negative Outlook:
Conseco, Inc.
--Issuer default rating to 'BB-' from 'BB';
--Senior secured bank credit facility to 'BB-' from 'BB+';
--Senior unsecured debt to 'B' from 'BB-'.
The following rating is withdrawn:
Senior Health Insurance Company of Pennsylvania
--IFS rating of 'CCC+'.
The following ratings are unchanged, with a Negative Outlook:
Bankers Life and Casualty Company
--IFS rating 'BBB'.
Conseco Life Insurance Company
Bankers Conseco Life Insurance Company
Conseco Insurance Company
Conseco Health Insurance Company
Colonial Penn Life Insurance Company
Washington National Insurance Company
--IFS rating 'BBB-'.
Fitch's rating definitions and the terms of use of such ratings are
available on the agency's public site, www.fitchratings.com.
Published ratings, criteria and methodologies are available from this
site, at all times. Fitch's code of conduct, confidentiality, conflicts
of interest, affiliate firewall, compliance and other relevant policies
and procedures are also available from the 'Code of Conduct' section of
this site.
Fitch Ratings, Chicago
Bruce E. Cox, +1-312-606-2316
Julie A.
Burke, CPA, CFA, +1-312-368-3158
Douglas A. Meyer, CFA,
+1-312-368-2061
Media Relations:
Sandro Scenga,
+1-212-908-0278 (New York)
sandro.scenga@fitchratings.com