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Research and Markets: 1Q09 South Korea Mobile Operator Forecast, 2008 - 2013: SK Telecom's EBITDA Margin to Deteriorate While That of KTF Improves Over the Next Five Years
Tuesday, February 17, 2009 11:58 AM


(Source: Business Wire)trackingResearch and Markets (http://www.researchandmarkets.com/research/ccaef6/1q09_south_korea_m) has announced the addition of IE Market Research Corp.'s new report "1Q09 South Korea Mobile Operator Forecast, 2008 - 2013: SK Telecom's EBITDA margin to deteriorate while that of KTF improves over the next five years" to their offering.

Mobile Operator Forecast on South Korea provides over 65 operational and financial metrics for South Korea's wireless market and is one of the best forecasts in the industry. We provide six-year forecasts at the operator level going out to 2013. We also provide quarterly historical and forecast data starting in 1Q2003 and ending in 4Q2013. Operators covered for South Korea include SK Telecom, KTF, and LG Telecom. Our Mobile Operator Forecasts are updated quarterly and are available for one-time delivery or through regular updates.

Global Mobile Operator Forecast covers up to 65 operational metrics of 200+ mobile operators in 50+ countries, making up 80% of the world's population. Our forecasts are based on our proprietary, country-specific forecasting models. These models deploy multiple regression analysis and cross-impact matrices that estimate relationships between subscriber data, technology use and deployment data, overall economic and demographic changes expected in a particular country; and relate these to company operational and financial metrics.

Executive Summary:

Wireless subscriber growth in South Korea is slowing down +5.8% industry subscriber growth in 3Q.2008

Negative ARPU growth continues

1.1% operator-wide average growth in 3Q.2008

Minutes of Use per Subscriber stabilizing +2.0% industry-wide average YoY growth in 3Q.2008

The industry-average EBITDA growth turns positive Industry average EBITDA growth was +3% in 3Q.2008

So what is IEMR's Forecast? (We have revised our forecast in light of economic and financial sector events. We have also added quarterly forecasts going out to 2013)

We forecast that the number of total subscriber accounts in South Korea will increase from 47.2 million in 2009 to 52.4 million in 2013

SK Telecom leads South Korea's mobile operator space, but its market share is expected to fall from 2009 to 2013

The industry-average ARPU level will continue to decline We expect that the average monthly ARPU will fall from 39,882 won (US$40.42) in 2009 to 37,743 won in 2013.

SK Telecoms EBITDA margin to deteriorate while that of KTF improves over the next five years According to our forecasting model, KTFs EBITDA margin will improve from 17.0% in 2009 to 19.4% in 2013. On the other hand, profitability at SK Telecom and LG Telecom will fall over the next five years. SK Telecoms EBITDA margin will fall from 32.0% to 27.4% while LG Telecoms EBITDA margin falls from 17.2% to 16.8% over the forecast period, 2009 - 2013.

Key Topics Covered:

Companies Covered in this Country Mobile Operator Forecast

SK Telecom

KTF

LG Telecom

Charts 1-68 Results & Forecasts for: CY 2001-CY 2013

Charts 69-136 Quarterly Results for: Mar 2003 - Dec 2013

Companies Mentioned:

SK Telecom

KTF

LG Telecom

For more information visit http://www.researchandmarkets.com/research/ccaef6/1q09_south_korea_m

A service of YellowBrix, Inc.



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