RAM Holdings Ltd. (NASDAQ:RAMR) (RAM) today reported a fourth quarter
2008 net loss of $55.8 million, or net loss of $2.05 per diluted share.
This compares to a net loss of $152.9 million, or net loss of $5.61 per
diluted share, for the fourth quarter 2007. The net loss for full year
2008 was $159.5 million, or a net loss of $5.85 per diluted share,
compared to a net loss of $144.1 million, or a net loss of $5.29 per
diluted share, for full year 2007.
Business Strategy
In response to adverse economic conditions and the downgrades of our
ratings to A+ with a negative outlook from Standard & Poor’s Rating
Services and Baa3 with a developing outlook from Moody’s Investors
Service, we are continuing efforts that we began in 2008 to reduce the
volatility of our insured portfolio and evaluate our business model:
-
Reducing our insured risk exposure: We commuted our entire
insured portfolios assumed from Syncora Guaranty Re Ltd. (formerly XL
Financial Assurance Ltd., “XLFA”) and MBIA Insurance Corporation and
its affiliates (“MBIA”), effective July 25, 2008, and November 30,
2008, respectively. We are pursuing further commutations in cases
where they can be negotiated at acceptable prices. In addition, we are
pursuing legal actions against our ceding companies in cases where we
dispute the validity of cessions made under our treaties or ceded
losses.
-
Capital preservation and evaluation: We reduced our new
business growth in 2008 and have not written any business to date in
2009. We are evaluating our capital position in light of ongoing
deterioration in the credit markets to determine whether we have
sufficient capital in excess of that required to: (i) pay claims and
other obligations under various stress scenarios; (ii) to pursue
opportunities to deleverage our capital structure by repurchasing some
of our outstanding securities; and (iii) in the longer term, to pursue
new business opportunities.
-
Reducing expenses: In order to reduce our expenses, we are
actively considering whether to de-list our common shares from trading
on NASDAQ and de-register our securities under the Securities Exchange
Act of 1934 as promptly as possible after the filing of our annual
report on Form 10-K. If we de-list and de-register, we would no longer
file annual, quarterly and current reports or proxy statements with
the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. We estimate that these
actions will reduce our expenses by at least $2 million per year,
although the full effect of this cost savings is not expected until
2010. We also requested on March 17, 2009, that Moody’s withdraw our
financial strength rating, which will result in us no longer paying an
annual fee to Moody’s. We are also evaluating other measures to reduce
expenses.
We are not seeking to write any new business in the near term, although
we believe that if we are successful in the strategic measures set forth
above, it will improve our position to potentially write new business in
the future. If we pursue de-listing from NASDAQ and de-registering our
securities under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, we expect that our
common shares will trade on the “pink sheets” as long as there are
market makers for the shares. In addition, we will apply to convert our
secondary listing on the Bermuda Stock Exchange to our primary listing.
We continue to evaluate our business model and may pursue a different
set of strategies in the future. There can be no assurance that the
strategies that have been implemented or that will be pursued in the
future in connection with this evaluation will improve our business,
financial condition, liquidity or results of operations, or will not
have a material adverse effect on the Company.
Commutations in 2008
MBIA commutation:
Effective November 30, 2008, RAM Re entered into a Commutation Agreement
with MBIA to commute its entire portfolio of business previously assumed
from MBIA. As consideration for the commutation, RAM Re paid MBIA $156.5
million. The commutation reduced the outstanding par amount of RAM’s
insured portfolio by $10.6 billion, including $439.3 million of
collateralized debt obligations of asset-backed securities (ABS CDOs)
(all structured as credit derivatives), $2.4 billion of collateralized
debt obligations of commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS CDOs)
and $453.0 million of 2005-2008 vintage U.S. residential mortgage-backed
securities (RMBS).
The effect of the MBIA commutation on the Company’s results of
operations was to: (i) reduce gross written premiums and unearned
premiums by $36.4 million, resulting in no impact on earned premiums;
(ii) increase realized losses on credit derivatives by $25.5 million and
decrease unrealized losses on credit derivatives by $136.1 million,
resulting in a gain to net income of $110.6 million; and (iii) increase
loss and loss adjustment expenses by $61.3 million. The overall gain to
net income at the time of commutation was $49.3 million, representing
the net gain on credit derivatives offset by the net loss on loss and
loss adjustment expenses.
XLFA commutation:
On July 25, 2008, RAM Re entered into a Commutation Agreement with XLFA,
whereby RAM Re transferred all business previously ceded to RAM Re by
XLFA back to XLFA and RAM Re and XLFA released each other from claims
under the reinsurance agreements. As consideration for the Commutation
Agreement, RAM Re paid $94.4 million which comprised the repayment of
$8.6 million of unearned premiums, net of ceding commissions, $16.1
million towards estimated loss reserves on RMBS and $69.7 million
towards unrealized losses on ABS CDOs. The transaction reduced the par
amount of RAM’s insured portfolio by $3.5 billion of which $711 million
related to 2005 - 2007 vintage ABS CDOs (all structured as credit
derivatives) and $280 million of 2005 - 2007 vintage RMBS.
The effect of the XLFA commutation on the Company’s results of
operations was to: (i) reduce gross written premiums by $11.4 million;
(ii) increase net earned premiums by $1.1 million; (iii) increase net
change in fair value of credit derivatives by a gain of $26.0 million;
(iv) reduce loss and loss adjustment expenses by $15.5 million; and (v)
increase acquisition expenses by $0.3 million, resulting in an overall
gain to net income of $42.3 million.
Other commutations:
During the second quarter of 2008 the Company commuted $1 billion in par
outstanding on policies with two primary insurers. All the Company’s
obligations with respect to the commuted policies were terminated on
commutation. The effect of these commutations on the Company’s income
statement was to reduce: (i) net earned premiums by $1.8 million; and
(ii) acquisition expenses by $0.6 million, giving an overall reduction
to net income of $1.2 million.
Summary of Operating Results
Net loss was $55.8 million and $159.5 million for the quarter and year
ended December 31, 2008.
Net premiums written in the fourth quarter totaled $(30.9) million,
compared to $23.0 million of net premiums written in the fourth quarter
of 2007. Included in the decrease in net premiums written for the
quarter is $36.4 million of premium returned on commutation of the
Company’s business with MBIA. The balance of the decrease compared to
the prior year is primarily the result of a reduction in the number of
quota share treaty customers from six to two. Total net premiums written
for the year were $(11.7) million compared to $97.8 million for the 2007
year. Included in the decrease in net premiums written for the 2008 year
was $36.4 million of premium returned on commutation with MBIA in the
fourth quarter, $11.4 million of premium returned on commutation with
XLFA in the third quarter and $10.2 million of premium returned on
commutation of certain policies with two of our ceding companies during
the second quarter of 2008, along with the decline in the amount of
cessions and treaties in place. The commutations along with a reduction
of installment premiums resulting from the commutations resulted in
premiums written of $(11.7) million for 2008.
Earned premiums in the quarter of $15.2 million were 20% greater than
the $12.7 million earned in the fourth quarter of 2007. By eliminating
accelerated premiums from refundings of $6.0 million from total earned
premiums, normal earned premiums in the fourth quarter were $9.2
million, 21% lower than the comparative 2007 period, which included
refundings of $1.1 million. The decline in the fourth quarter earned
premiums after refundings primarily reflects the reduction in ongoing
earnings due to the commutation of treaties with two of our ceding
companies during the year. For the full year 2008, earned premiums were
$68.6 million, 34% more than the $51 million in 2007.
Net change in fair value of credit derivatives totaled a gain of $18.7
million in the quarter, which was $166.2 million more than the $(147.5)
million in the fourth quarter of 2007. Net change in fair value of
credit derivatives for the fourth quarter of 2008 and 2007 was comprised
of $42.8 million and $(149.4) million of unrealized gains (losses) on
derivatives, respectively, and $(24.1) million and $1.9 million of
realized (losses)/gains, respectively. The net unrealized gain in the
fourth quarter 2008 was primarily attributable to a reduction of $136.1
million in unrealized losses due to the commutation with MBIA, offset by
increased unrealized losses on credit derivative policies primarily due
to the continuing deterioration of underlying collateral on these
policies and the corresponding widening credit spreads in the market.
The increased unrealized losses on credit derivatives is offset by the
adjustment for RAM’s own non-performance risk in accordance with FAS 157
which was adopted at January 1, 2008. The effect of the FAS 157
requirement was a reduction in the Company’s derivative liability of
approximately $203.3 million at December 31, 2008.
Net investment income for the quarter was $5.7 million, 35% below the
$8.7 million recorded in the fourth quarter of 2007. For the full year
2008, investment income of $29.3 million was $3.8 million, or 11.5%
lower than the $33.1 million for the 2007 year. The decrease in
investment income in 2008 and the fourth quarter 2008 over the prior
year and fourth quarter 2007 is primarily the result of a decrease in
cash and invested assets due to payments on commutations with XLFA and
MBIA totaling $250.9 million, along with a decrease in the book yield on
the invested assets from 5.0% to 4.5%. Realized gains on investments for
the quarter were $2.9 million compared to the $3.6 million realized loss
for the same period in 2007. This current quarter gain is largely the
result of the gains realized on the sales of securities for the MBIA
commutation payment. For the years ended 2008 and 2007, realized losses
on investments were $2.4 million and $3.6 million, respectively. The
realized loss for the current year resulted from a gain of $8.1 million
realized on the sale of securities for the commutation payments made
during the year offset by other than temporary impairments of $10.5
million in the aggregate on two Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. bonds and
two securities that are backed by subprime RMBS. In 2007, one security
backed by subprime RMBS realized a loss of $3.6 million.
Losses and loss adjustment expenses were $81.5 million in the fourth
quarter, contributing to a loss ratio of 537.1%. This loss
ratio is the result of adverse development on the Company’s exposure to
insured transactions with RMBS exposures, particularly home equity lines
of credit and closed-end second transactions, along with a $61.3 million
loss on the commutation with MBIA. This compares to $46.8 million of
incurred losses in the comparable 2007 period. Loss and loss adjustment
expenses for the full 2008 year were $214.8 million compared to incurred
losses of $48.0 million for the comparable 2007 period.
Acquisition expenses of $10.9 million in the fourth quarter are closely
related to earned premiums. The fourth quarter 2008 ratio of
acquisition expenses to earned premium was 71.7% compared to 33.9% for
the fourth quarter 2007. The increase in the ratio of acquisition
expenses to earned premiums in 2008 as compared to 2007 was primarily
due to (i) the amortization of additional ceding commissions totaling
$1.4 million due to the Company’s downgrade; and (ii) write off of DAC
of $2.0 million considered unrecoverable. Fourth quarter operating
expenses of $3.7 million were $0.2 million, or 5.0% below the level in
the fourth quarter of 2007. For the full year, operating expenses were
$16.9 million in 2008, 26.1% higher than the $13.4 million in 2007. The
increase in operating expenses for 2008 as compared to 2007 was due to
increased costs associated with the renewal of our Directors and
Officers insurance coverage, along with a reduction in the amount of
expenses deferred corresponding to the decline in new business written,
and an increase in audit fees in the current year.
Balance Sheet
Total assets of $574.3 million at December 31, 2008 were $286.0 million,
or 33.2% below the level at year-end 2007, primarily due to the
reduction of investments for the payments of $94.4 million on the
commutation of XLFA business in the third quarter, $156.5 million on the
commutation of MBIA business in the fourth quarter of 2008, and losses
paid during the year offset by premiums, net of ceding commissions,
received. Shareholders' equity of $89.4 million is $162.9 million or,
64.6%, below the level at December 31, 2007. Book value per share is
$3.28, a decrease of 64.6% from year-end 2007. Operating book value and
adjusted operating book value per share, non-GAAP measures, were $4.54
and $10.28 at December 31, 2008, a decrease of 64.7% and 57.4%,
respectively, from year-end 2007.
Forward-Looking Statements
This release contains statements that may be considered "forward-looking
statements." These statements are based on current expectations and the
current views of the economic and operating environment and are not
guarantees of future performance. A number of risks and uncertainties,
including economic competitive conditions, could cause actual results to
differ materially from those projected in forward-looking statements.
Our actual results could differ materially from those expressed or
implied in the forward-looking statements. Among the factors that could
cause actual results to differ materially are: (i) our ability to
execute our business strategy including new business lines; (ii) changes
in general economic conditions, including inflation, foreign currency
exchange rates, interest rates and other factors; (iii) decreased demand
for our reinsurance products; (iv) the loss of significant customers
with whom we have a concentration of our reinsurance in force; (v)
legislative and regulatory developments; (vi) changes in regulation or
tax laws applicable to us or our customers; (vii) a downgrade in
financial strength ratings of RAM Re by Standard & Poor's; (viii) more
severe losses or more frequent losses associated with our products; (ix)
losses on credit derivatives; (x) changes in our accounting policies and
procedures that impact the Company's reported financial results; and
(xi) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this
time. The Company undertakes no obligation to revise or update any
forward-looking statement to reflect changes in conditions, events, or
expectations, except as required by law.
Explanation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures
RAM believes that the following non-GAAP financial measures included in
this release serve to supplement GAAP information and are meaningful to
investors.
Operating Book Value per share and Adjusted Operating Book Value
per share: The Company believes the presentation of operating
(and adjusted operating) book value per share to be useful because it
gives a measure of the value of the Company, excluding non-operating
items of unrealized gains and losses on: (a) other financial instruments
and (b) credit derivatives. We derive operating book value by beginning
with GAAP book value and adding back (i) the fair value of other
financial instruments; and (ii) the derivative asset or liability
excluding the impact of credit impairments and unearned premiums on
credit derivatives. Adjusted operating book value per share begins with
operating book value as calculated above and then adding or subtracting
the value of:
a) Net unearned premium reserve;
b) Deferred acquisition costs;
c) The present value of estimated future installment premiums net of
ceding commissions; and
d) Unrealized gains/(losses) on investments.
Credit Impairments on Insured CDS Contracts: Management
measures and monitors credit impairments on the Company’s credit
derivatives, which are expected to be paid out over the term of the
credit default swap policies. The credit impairments are a non- GAAP
metric reported as management believes this information to be useful to
analysts, rating agencies and investors to review the results of our
entire portfolio of policies. Management considers our credit derivative
policies as a normal extension of our financial guarantee business and
reinsurance in substance.
RAM Holdings Ltd. is a Bermuda-based holding company. Its operating
subsidiary RAM Reinsurance Company Ltd. provides financial guaranty
reinsurance for U.S. and international public finance and structured
finance transactions. More information can be found at www.ramre.com.
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RAM Holdings Ltd.
Consolidated Balance Sheets
(unaudited)
As at December 31, 2008 and 2007
(dollars in thousands)
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Dec 31, 2008
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Dec 31, 2007
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Assets
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Investments:
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Fixed-maturity securities held as available for sale, at fair value
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(Amortized Cost: $415,559 and $685,645)
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$
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421,890
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$
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696,533
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Cash and cash equivalents
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8,763
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|
12,326
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Restricted cash
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|
8,285
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|
|
|
8,178
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Accrued investment income
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|
4,438
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|
|
6,465
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Premiums receivable
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|
|
1,115
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3,645
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Recoverable on paid losses
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1,797
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1,808
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Deferred policy acquisition costs
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74,795
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87,304
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Prepaid reinsurance premiums
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1,599
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2,663
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Other receivables
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4,000
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|
-
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Deferred expenses
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1,588
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|
|
1,753
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Prepaid expenses
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377
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|
195
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Other financial instruments (at fair value)
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43,083
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35,330
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Other assets
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2,552
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|
|
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4,065
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Total Assets
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$
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574,282
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$
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860,265
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Liabilities and Shareholders'
Equity
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Liabilities:
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Loss and loss expense reserve
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$
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95,794
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$
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63,798
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Unearned premiums
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158,594
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239,957
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Reinsurance balances payable
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24,621
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|
|
539
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Accounts payable and accrued liabilities
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2,494
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3,463
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Long-term debt
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40,000
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|
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40,000
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Redeemable preferred shares: $1,000 par value; authorized shares -
75,000; issued and outstanding shares - 75,000
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75,000
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75,000
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Accrued interest payable
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693
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693
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Derivative liabilities
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85,354
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180,589
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Other liabilities
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2,375
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|
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3,913
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Total Liabilities
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484,925
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607,952
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Shareholders' Equity:
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Common stock: $0.10 par value; authorized shares - 90,000,000;
issued and outstanding shares - 27,251,595 shares at December 31,
2008 and 27,238,976 at December 31, 2007
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2,725
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2,724
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Additional paid-in capital
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230,438
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229,379
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Accumulated other comprehensive income
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6,331
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10,888
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Retained (deficit)/earnings
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(150,137
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)
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9,322
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Total Shareholders' Equity
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89,357
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252,313
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Total Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity
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|
$
|
574,282
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$
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860,265
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RAM Holdings Ltd.
Consolidated Statements of
Operations
(unaudited)
For the three months and year ended December 31, 2008 and 2007
(dollars in thousands except share and per share amounts)
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Three Months Ended Dec 31
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Year Ended Dec 31
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2008
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2007
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2008
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2007
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Revenues
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Gross premiums written
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$
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(31,372
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)
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$
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23,797
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$
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(11,214
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)
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$
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98,501
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Ceded premiums
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512
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(752
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)
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(509
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)
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(752
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)
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Net premiums written
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$
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(30,860
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)
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$
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23,045
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$
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(11,723
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)
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$
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97,749
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Change in unearned premiums
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46,041
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(10,372
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)
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80,300
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(46,744
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)
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Premiums earned
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15,181
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12,673
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68,577
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51,005
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Change in fair value of credit derivatives
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Realized (losses) gains and other settlements
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(24,098
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)
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1,919
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(86,320
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)
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5,971
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Unrealized gains (losses)
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42,838
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(149,369
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)
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94,288
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(177,777
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)
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Net change in fair value of credit derivatives
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18,740
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(147,450
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)
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7,968
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(171,806
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)
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Net investment income
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5,677
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8,690
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29,307
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33,148
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Net realized gains(losses) on investments
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2,888
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(3,596
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)
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(2,356
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)
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(3,604
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)
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Net unrealized gains on other financial instruments
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1,333
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|
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|
35,330
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7,754
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35,330
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Total revenues
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43,819
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|
|
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(94,353
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)
|
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111,250
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|
(55,927
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)
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Expenses
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|
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|
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Losses and loss adjustment expenses
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|
|
81,537
|
|
|
|
46,833
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|
|
|
214,828
|
|
|
|
48,026
|
|
|
Acquisition expenses
|
|
|
10,912
|
|
|
|
4,296
|
|
|
|
30,576
|
|
|
|
18,418
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|
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Operating expenses
|
|
|
3,684
|
|
|
|
3,909
|
|
|
|
16,930
|
|
|
|
13,373
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Interest expense
|
|
|
3,506
|
|
|
|
3,506
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|
|
|
8,375
|
|
|
|
8,375
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|
|
Total expenses
|
|
|
99,639
|
|
|
|
58,544
|
|
|
|
270,709
|
|
|
|
88,192
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net Loss
|
|
$
|
(55,820
|
)
|
|
$
|
(152,897
|
)
|
|
$
|
(159,459
|
)
|
|
$
|
(144,119
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net loss per common share:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Basic
|
|
$
|
(2.05
|
)
|
|
$
|
(5.61
|
)
|
|
$
|
(5.85
|
)
|
|
$
|
(5.29
|
)
|
|
Diluted
|
|
|
(2.05
|
)
|
|
|
(5.61
|
)
|
|
|
(5.85
|
)
|
|
|
(5.29
|
)
|
|
Weighted-average number of common shares outstanding:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Basic
|
|
|
27,251,595
|
|
|
|
27,238,967
|
|
|
|
27,249,220
|
|
|
|
27,237,481
|
|
|
Diluted
|
|
|
27,251,595
|
|
|
|
27,238,967
|
|
|
|
27,249,220
|
|
|
|
27,237,481
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Operating Loss
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net loss
|
|
$
|
(55,820
|
)
|
|
$
|
(152,897
|
)
|
|
$
|
(159,459
|
)
|
|
$
|
(144,119
|
)
|
|
Less: Realized gains(losses) on investments
|
|
|
(2,888
|
)
|
|
|
3,596
|
|
|
|
2,356
|
|
|
|
3,604
|
|
|
Less: Unrealized (gains) losses on credit derivatives
|
|
|
(42,838
|
)
|
|
|
149,369
|
|
|
|
(94,288
|
)
|
|
|
177,777
|
|
|
Add back: credit impairment on derivatives
|
|
|
21,237
|
|
|
|
(44,413
|
)
|
|
|
38,399
|
|
|
|
(44,413
|
)
|
|
Less: Unrealized gains on other financial instruments
|
|
|
(1,333
|
)
|
|
|
(35,330
|
)
|
|
|
(7,754
|
)
|
|
|
(35,330
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Operating Loss
|
|
$
|
(81,642
|
)
|
|
$
|
(79,675
|
)
|
|
$
|
(220,746
|
)
|
|
$
|
(42,481
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income/(loss) per diluted share
|
|
$
|
(2.05
|
)
|
|
$
|
(5.61
|
)
|
|
$
|
(5.85
|
)
|
|
$
|
(5.29
|
)
|
|
Less: Realized losses on investments
|
|
|
(0.11
|
)
|
|
|
0.13
|
|
|
|
0.09
|
|
|
|
0.13
|
|
|
Less: Unrealized (gains) losses on credit derivatives
|
|
|
(1.57
|
)
|
|
|
5.48
|
|
|
|
(3.46
|
)
|
|
|
6.53
|
|
|
Add back: credit impairment on derivatives
|
|
|
0.78
|
|
|
|
(1.63
|
)
|
|
|
1.41
|
|
|
|
(1.63
|
)
|
|
Less: Unrealized gains on other financial instruments
|
|
|
(0.05
|
)
|
|
|
(1.30
|
)
|
|
|
(0.28
|
)
|
|
|
(1.30
|
)
|
|
Operating (loss)/earnings per diluted share
|
|
$
|
(2.99
|
)
|
|
$
|
(2.93
|
)
|
|
$
|
(8.10
|
)
|
|
$
|
(1.56
|
)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reconciliation of Book value to operating book value and
adjusted operating book value:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
31-Dec-08
|
|
|
31-Dec-07
|
|
Shares outstanding
|
|
|
27,252
|
|
|
27,239
|
|
Shareholders' Equity (Book Value)
|
|
$
|
89,357
|
|
$
|
252,313
|
|
Derivative Liability (Asset) (3)
|
|
$
|
83,429
|
|
$
|
177,717
|
|
Add back credit impairments on derivatives
|
|
$
|
(6,014)
|
|
$
|
(44,413)
|
|
Fair value of other financial instruments
|
|
$
|
(43,083)
|
|
$
|
(35,330)
|
|
Operating book value
|
|
$
|
123,689
|
|
$
|
350,287
|
|
Operating book value per share
|
|
$
|
4.54
|
|
$
|
12.86
|
|
Unearned premiums (1)
|
|
$
|
160,519
|
|
$
|
242,829
|
|
Prepaid reinsurance premiums
|
|
$
|
(1,599)
|
|
$
|
(2,663)
|
|
Deferred Acquisition Costs
|
|
$
|
(74,795)
|
|
$
|
(87,304)
|
|
Present Value of Installment Premiums (1, 2)
|
|
$
|
78,697
|
|
$
|
165,644
|
|
Unrealized (Gains) Losses on Investments
|
|
$
|
(6,331)
|
|
$
|
(10,888)
|
|
Adjusted Operating Book Value
|
|
$
|
280,180
|
|
$
|
657,905
|
|
Adjusted Operating Book Value Per Share
|
|
$
|
10.28
|
|
$
|
24.15
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1) Includes balances relating to credit derivatives
(2) At December 31, 2008 and December 31, 2007, the discount rate
was 3.00% and 4.26%, respectively.
(3) Excludes balances relating to credit derivative unearned
premiums
|
RAM Holdings Ltd., Hamilton
Victoria Guest, 441-298-2116
vguest@ramre.bm
or
Ted
Gilpin, 441-298-2107
tgilpin@ramre.bm