Announces Discontinuance of Dividends on Ambac Assurance Corporation
Preferred Shares and Interest on Ambac Financial Group, Inc.’s
Directly-Issued Subordinated Capital Securities
Schedules Second Quarter Earnings Release for August 5, 2009
Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE: ABK) (Ambac) today announced
that Ambac Assurance Corporation (AAC), its principal operating
subsidiary, expects to report that estimated statutory impairment losses
on credit derivatives increased by approximately $1.6 billion in the
second quarter to approximately $4.9 billion at June 30, 2009.
Additionally, AAC expects to report statutory loss and loss expenses
incurred amounting to approximately $800 million for the quarter ended
June 30, 2009. The increase in impairment losses, which relate to AAC’s
insured portfolio of collateralized debt obligations of asset-backed
securities transactions (CDOs of ABS), was driven by rising forward
LIBOR rates, which increase estimated future cash outflows, and further
deterioration of the underlying collateral within the CDO of ABS
transactions. The statutory loss and loss expenses relate primarily to
deterioration in AAC’s second-lien and Alt-A mortgage-backed securities
financial guarantee portfolios.
The increase in the estimated impairment losses in the second quarter is
net of the impact of a settlement that reduced a significant portion of
exposure under a CDO of ABS transaction that closed in July and a
commutation of all of the exposure under a different CDO of ABS
transaction that we expect will close by the end of July. The two
transactions, with an aggregate of approximately $2.8 billion net
notional outstanding at March 31, 2009, are expected to be settled with
counterparties for a total cash payment of approximately $750 million.
Estimated impairment losses on credit derivatives is a statutory
accounting measurement reported in AAC’s statutory filings as “Estimated
impairment losses on subsidiary guarantees and commitments.” An increase
in estimated impairment losses is recorded as a reduction to statutory
income and therefore reduces statutory surplus. At March 31, 2009, AAC
reported statutory capital and surplus of $372.8 million and contingency
reserves of $1,946.6 million. AAC has requested the approval of the
Office of the Commissioner of Insurance of the State of Wisconsin (OCI)
to release a substantial portion of its contingency reserves, however,
there can be no assurance that the OCI will approve such release. The
amount of contingency reserves released, if any, will increase AAC’s
statutory capital and surplus by such amount.
At March 31, 2009, AAC reported total claims-paying resources of
approximately $11.9 billion. Total claims-paying resources will be
reduced by commutation and settlement payments related to the CDO of ABS
portfolio, including the two transactions referred to above, and claims
paid related to the direct financial guarantee portfolio since March 31,
2009. Total claims-paying resources is a term used by rating agencies
and other analysts to quantify total resources available to pay claims
in stress case scenarios and represents an aggregate of contingency
reserves, capital and surplus, unearned premiums, losses and loss
adjustment expenses, estimated impairment losses on credit derivatives
and the present value of future installment premiums. Except for the
present value of future installment premiums, each item is a statutory
accounting measurement.
Under U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), Ambac
reports unrealized gains (losses) on credit derivative contracts which
is impacted by market valuations of the CDO exposures and includes the
effect of AAC’s own credit default swap spreads in the measurement. This
mark-to-market valuation often differs significantly from the statutory
measure of impairment discussed above. For the second quarter of 2009,
Ambac expects to report a net unrealized gain of approximately $34
million for GAAP reporting purposes.