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Radian Reports Second Quarter Financial Results
Wednesday, August 05, 2009 8:01 AM


Net income driven by lower provision for MI losses and unrealized gains on derivatives

PHILADELPHIA, Aug. 5 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Radian Group Inc. (NYSE: RDN) today reported net income for the quarter ended June 30, 2009, of $231.9 million, or $2.82 per diluted share. This compares to a net loss of $392.5 million, or $4.91 per diluted share, for the prior-year quarter. Book value per share at June 30, 2009, was $25.12.

"We are pleased that Radian generated net income in the second quarter, despite a difficult environment with rising delinquencies. These earnings were driven primarily by loss management efforts that positively impacted our provision for mortgage insurance losses and by unrealized gains on derivatives," said Chief Executive Officer S. A. Ibrahim. "While there are positive signs in today's economy, we remain aware of the challenges and uncertainties Radian continues to face in the near term, and the condition of the U.S. housing market. Our primary focus is on increasing our capital strength and financial flexibility, continuing to write high-quality new business, and positioning Radian for growth and success when markets recover."

SECOND QUARTER HIGHLIGHTS

    -- The mortgage insurance provision for losses of $142.8 million reflects
       higher delinquency counts, offset significantly by Radian's ongoing
       loss management efforts.
    -- Mortgage insurance claims paid of $167.7 million again were lower than
       the company's forecast and consisted of $149.4 million of first liens
       and $18.3 million of second liens.  In the third quarter, total first-
       and second-lien claims paid are expected to be approximately $275
       million to $300 million.  For the full year 2009, Radian has reduced
       its expectations from $1.2 billion to $1.4 billion, to a current
        estimate in the $1.1 billion range.
    -- Radian is encouraged by the many government and private initiatives to
       help borrowers and has programs in place to provide assistance to
       lenders and their borrowers who are struggling with mortgage payments.
       The company is ready to handle the anticipated increase in volume from
       government-sponsored programs and through other lender-initiated
       refinance or modification programs.  Radian continues to expect an
       increase in delinquencies throughout the remainder of 2009, which could
       result in a higher provision and reserve for losses.
    -- Over the past year, Radian has successfully transformed its mortgage
       insurance business, producing a 2009 book that consists of loans with
       excellent risk characteristics.  For example, of the total primary new
       mortgage insurance written in the quarter of $5.5 billion:
        -- 99.9 percent was prime credit quality;
        -- 98.4 percent had a FICO score of 680 or greater, with 72.9 percent
           at 740 or above;
        -- all had loan-to-value (LTV) ratios of 95 percent or below, and 73
           percent had LTV ratios of 90 percent or below;
        -- 99.5 percent were fixed-rate mortgages; and
        -- we have observed a significant decrease in early default activity
           in the 2009 vintage, which is an example of improved underwriting.
       In addition, Radian's market share has grown steadily in 2009 and
       represents a significant increase over historical levels.
    -- Unrealized gains on derivatives were $272.3 million on total pre-tax
       income of $353.7 million.
    -- Radian's current cash position is strong, with approximately $480
       million immediately available to the parent company after having
       received a $105 million tax refund in May.
    -- Radian Asset Assurance Inc. the company's principal financial guaranty
       subsidiary, continues to serve as an important source of capital
       support for Radian Guaranty Inc., the company's mortgage insurance
       subsidiary, and is expected to continue to provide Radian Guaranty with
       cash infusions over time.
        -- As of June 30, 2009, Radian Asset had more than $900 million in
           statutory capital with an additional $1.84 billion in total claims-
           paying resources.
        -- At the end of June, Radian Asset paid an ordinary dividend of
           approximately $100 million to Radian Guaranty.

RECENT EVENTS

    -- On July 17, the Company filed a $1 billion securities shelf
       registration.
    -- On July 20, Radian Asset entered into a Commutation and Release
       Agreement, effective as of July 1, 2009, with Ambac Assurance
       Corporation and Ambac Assurance UK Limited to commute $9.8 billion of
       Radian Asset's reinsurance portfolio assumed from Ambac, decreasing
       Radian Asset's total insured portfolio by 10 percent.
       As a result, the statutory surplus of Radian Asset (and Radian
       Guaranty) will be positively impacted in the third quarter 2009 by
       approximately $40 million.

CONFERENCE CALL

Radian will discuss each of these items in its conference call today, Wednesday, August 5, 2009, at 10:00 a.m. Eastern time. The conference call will be broadcast live over the Internet at http://www.ir.radian.biz/phoenix.zhtml?c=112301&p=irol-audioarchives or at www.radian.biz. The call may also be accessed by dialing 800-553-0288 inside the U.S., or 612-332-0530 for international callers, using passcode 108853 or by referencing Radian.

A replay of the Web cast will be available on the Radian Web site approximately two hours after the live broadcast ends for a period of one year. A replay of the conference call will be available two and a half hours after the call ends for one week, using the following dial-in numbers and passcode: 800-475-6701 inside the U.S., or 320-365-3844 for international callers, passcode 108853.

In addition to the information provided in the company's earnings news release, other statistical and financial information, which is expected to be referred to during the conference call, will be available on Radian's Web site under Investors >Quarterly Results, or by clicking on http://www.ir.radian.biz/phoenix.zhtml?c=112301&p=irol-earnings.

About Radian

Radian Group Inc. (NYSE: RDN), headquartered in Philadelphia, provides private mortgage insurance and related risk mitigation products and services to mortgage lenders nationwide through its principal operating subsidiary, Radian Guaranty Inc. These services help promote and preserve homeownership opportunities for homebuyers, while protecting lenders from default-related losses on residential first mortgages and facilitating the sale of low-downpayment mortgages in the secondary market. Additional information may be found at www.radian.biz.

Financial Results and Supplemental Information Contents (Unaudited)

For trend information on all schedules, refer to Radian's quarterly financial statistics at http://www.radian.biz/investors/financial/corporate.aspx.

    Exhibit A:  Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income
    Exhibit B:  Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets
    Exhibit C:  Segment Information Quarter Ended June 30, 2009
    Exhibit D:  Segment Information Quarter Ended June 30, 2008
    Exhibit E:  Segment Information Six Months Ended June 30, 2009
    Exhibit F:  Segment Information Six Months Ended June 30, 2008
    Exhibit G:  Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information -
                For the Quarter and Six Months Ended and as of June 30, 2009
    Exhibit H:  Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information -
                For the Quarter and Six Months Ended and as of June 30, 2009
    Exhibit I:  Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information -
                For the Quarter and Six Months Ended and as of June 30, 2009
                New Insurance Written and Risk Written
    Exhibit J:  Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information -
                For the Quarter and Six Months Ended and as of June 30, 2009
                Insurance in Force and Risk in Force
    Exhibit K:  Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information -
                For the Quarter and Six Months Ended and as of June 30, 2009
                Risk in Force by LTV and Policy Year and other Risk in Force
    Exhibit L:  Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information -
                For the Quarter and Six Months Ended and as of June 30, 2009
                Claims and Reserves
    Exhibit M:  Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information -
                For the Quarter and Six Months Ended and as of June 30, 2009
                Default Statistics
    Exhibit N:  Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information -
                For the Quarter and Six Months Ended and as of June 30, 2009
                Net Premiums Written and Earned, Smart Home, Captives and
                Persistency
    Exhibit O:  Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information -
                For the Quarter Ended and as of June 30, 2009
                Reinsurance Progression Toward Attachment - Summary by Book
                Year
    Exhibit P:  Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information -
                For the Quarter Ended and as of June 30, 2009
                Modified Pool Risk in Force
    Exhibit Q:  Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information -
                For the Quarter and Six Months Ended and as of June 30, 2009
                Alt-A Risk in Force
    Exhibit R:  Financial Services Supplemental Information -
                For the Quarter and Six Months Ended and as of June 30, 2009

    Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
    Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income
    Exhibit A
                                  Quarter Ended         Six Months Ended
                                     June 30                 June 30
                                 ---------------         ---------------
                                 2009       2008         2009       2008
                                 ----       ----         ----       ----
    (In thousands, except
     per-share data)
    Revenues:
    Net premiums written -
     insurance                 $161,901   $222,645     $318,657   $466,951
                               ========   ========     ========   ========
    Net premiums earned -
     insurance                 $193,629   $249,137     $404,844   $491,058
    Net investment income        53,251     65,128      109,534    131,107
    Change in fair value of
     derivative instruments     272,318     56,226      (12,098)   764,035
    Net gains (losses) on other
     financial instruments       54,384     14,801       79,264    (26,040)
      Total other-than-temporary
       impairment losses            (46)   (23,052)        (680)   (37,095)
      Losses recognized in other
       comprehensive loss             -          -            -          -
                                     --         --           --         --
    Net impairment losses
     recognized in earnings         (46)   (23,052)        (680)   (37,095)
    Other income                  3,888      3,221        8,020      6,835
                                  -----      -----        -----      -----
      Total revenues            577,424    365,461      588,884  1,329,900
                                -------    -------      -------  ---------

    Expenses:
    Provision for losses        132,750    458,879      459,504  1,041,590
    Provision for premium
     deficiency                   2,184    369,807 (1)  (46,000)   387,897 (1)
    Policy acquisition costs     25,967     75,952 (2)   39,921     99,858 (2)
    Other operating expenses     55,635     63,849      107,237    118,990
    Interest expense             12,295     13,832       24,594     26,325
                                 ------     ------       ------     ------
      Total expenses            228,831    982,319      585,256  1,674,660
                                -------    -------      -------  ---------
    Equity in net income of
     affiliates                   5,110     15,704       15,662     28,230
                                  -----     ------       ------     ------
    Pretax income (loss)        353,703   (601,154)      19,290   (316,530)
    Income tax provision
     (benefit)                  121,828   (208,630)       4,852   (119,644)
                                -------   --------        -----   --------
    Net income (loss)          $231,875  $(392,524)     $14,438  $(196,886)
                               ========  =========      =======  =========
    Diluted net income (loss)
     per share (3)                $2.82     $(4.91)       $0.18     $(2.46)
                                  =====     ======        =====     ======
    (1) Includes $421.8 million for first-lien and $(52.0) million for second-
    lien in the second quarter of 2008, and $421.8 million for first-lien and
    $(33.9) million for second-lien for the six months of 2008.
    (2) Includes the acceleration of $50.8 million of deferred policy
    acquisition cost amortization, as a result of the establishment of a
    first-lien premium deficiency reserve in the second quarter of 2008.
    (3) Weighted average shares outstanding (In thousands)
    Average common shares
     outstanding                   81,396     79,967    81,400     79,960
    Increase in shares-
     potential exercise of
     options-diluted basis            844          -       836          -
                                      ---         --       ---         --
    Weighted average shares
     outstanding                   82,240     79,967    82,236     79,960
                                   ======     ======    ======     ======
    For Trend Information, refer to our Quarterly Financial Statistics on
    Radian's (RDN) website.

    Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
    Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets
    Exhibit B

    (In thousands, except per-share data)     June 30   December 31   June 30
                                                2009        2008        2008
                                              -------   -----------   -------
    Assets:
    Cash and investments                    $6,459,233  $6,060,601  $6,535,397
    Investments in affiliates                  108,767      99,712     112,683
    Deferred policy acquisition costs          208,882     160,526     184,765
    Prepaid federal income taxes                     -     248,828     536,343
    Derivative assets                          179,837     179,515     251,003
    Deferred income taxes, net                 368,281     446,102     171,577
    Reinsurance recoverables                   570,245     492,359     176,686
    Other assets                               560,257     428,476     440,963
                                               -------     -------     -------
         Total assets                       $8,455,502  $8,116,119  $8,409,417
                                            ==========  ==========  ==========

    Liabilities and stockholders' equity:
    Unearned premiums                       $1,120,359    $916,724  $1,048,064
    Reserve for losses and loss
     adjustment expenses                     3,304,236   3,224,542   2,287,742
    Reserve for premium deficiency              40,861      86,861     583,543
    Long-term debt and other borrowings        856,848     857,802     958,762
    Variable interest entity debt              283,242     160,035      85,739
    Derivative liabilities                     379,270     519,260     657,426
    Other liabilities                          404,432     320,185     332,234
                                               -------     -------     -------
       Total liabilities                     6,389,248   6,085,409   5,953,510
                                             ---------   ---------   ---------
    Common stock                                    99          98          98
    Additional paid-in capital                 469,298     462,647     448,010
    Retained earnings                        1,764,878   1,766,946   1,981,046
    Accumulated other comprehensive income    (168,021)   (198,981)     26,753
                                              --------    --------      ------
       Total common stockholders' equity     2,066,254   2,030,710   2,455,907
                                             ---------   ---------   ---------
         Total liabilities and stockholders'
          equity                            $8,455,502  $8,116,119  $8,409,417
                                            ==========  ==========  ==========
    Book value per share                        $25.12      $25.06      $30.54

    Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
    Segment Information
    Quarter Ended June 30, 2009
    Exhibit C
                                    Mortgage   Financial  Financial
      (In thousands)               Insurance   Guaranty   Services    Total
      --------------               ---------   ---------  ---------   -----
      Revenues:
      Net premiums written -
       insurance                    $154,919      $6,982       $-   $161,901
                                    ========      ======       ==   ========
      Net premiums earned -
       insurance                    $170,047     $23,582       $-   $193,629
      Net investment income           32,298      20,951        2     53,251
      Change in fair value of
       derivative instruments         (6,557)    278,875        -    272,318
      Net gains on other
       financial instruments          12,590      41,794        -     54,384
      Net impairment losses
       recognized in earnings            (46)          -        -        (46)
      Other income                     3,748          66       74      3,888
                                       -----          --       --      -----
        Total revenues               212,080     365,268       76    577,424
                                     -------     -------       --    -------
      Expenses:
      Provision for losses           142,802     (10,052)       -    132,750
      Provision for premium
       deficiency                      2,184           -        -      2,184
      Policy acquisition costs         7,921      18,046        -     25,967
      Other operating expenses        35,590      19,909      136     55,635
      Interest expense                 2,619       9,676        -     12,295
                                       -----       -----       --     ------
        Total expenses               191,116      37,579      136    228,831
                                     -------      ------      ---    -------
      Equity in net income of
       affiliates                          -           -    5,110      5,110
                                          --          --    -----      -----
      Pretax income                   20,964     327,689    5,050    353,703
      Income tax provision             7,948     112,019    1,861    121,828
                                       -----     -------    -----    -------
      Net income                     $13,016    $215,670   $3,189   $231,875
                                     =======    ========   ======   ========
      Cash and investments        $3,919,403  $2,539,830       $- $6,459,233
      Deferred policy
       acquisition costs              28,674     180,208        -    208,882
      Total assets                 5,073,729   3,259,249  122,524  8,455,502
      Unearned premiums              304,336     816,023        -  1,120,359
      Reserve for losses and
       loss adjustment expenses    3,122,444     181,792        -  3,304,236
      Derivative liabilities          23,086     356,184        -    379,270

    Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
    Segment Information
    Quarter Ended June 30, 2008
    Exhibit D
                                    Mortgage   Financial  Financial
      (In thousands)               Insurance   Guaranty   Services    Total
      --------------               ---------   ---------  ---------   -----
      Revenues:
      Net premiums written -
       insurance                    $199,030     $23,615       $-   $222,645
                                    ========     =======       ==   ========
      Net premiums earned -
       insurance                    $205,096     $44,041       $-   $249,137
      Net investment income           38,941      26,187        -     65,128
      Change in fair value of
       derivative instruments         25,173      31,053        -     56,226
      Net gains (losses) on
       other financial instruments    18,155      (3,393)      39     14,801
      Net impairment losses
       recognized in earnings         (7,711)    (15,341)       -    (23,052)
      Other income                     2,999          58      164      3,221
                                       -----          --      ---      -----
        Total revenues               282,653      82,605      203    365,461
                                     -------      ------      ---    -------
      Expenses:
      Provision for losses           449,296       9,583        -    458,879
      Provision for premium
       deficiency                    369,807           -        -    369,807
      Policy acquisition costs        63,686      12,266        -     75,952
      Other operating expenses        48,703      15,019      127     63,849
      Interest expense                 7,332       6,500        -     13,832
                                       -----       -----       --     ------
        Total expenses               938,824      43,368      127    982,319
                                     -------      ------      ---    -------
      Equity in net income of
       affiliates                          -           -   15,704     15,704
                                          --          --   ------     ------
      Pretax (loss) income          (656,171)     39,237   15,780   (601,154)
      Income tax (benefit)
       provision                    (221,988)      6,768    6,590   (208,630)
                                    --------       -----    -----   --------
      Net (loss) income            $(434,183)    $32,469   $9,190  $(392,524)
                                   =========     =======   ======  =========
      Cash and investments        $4,054,264  $2,481,133       $- $6,535,397
      Deferred policy
       acquisition costs              11,554     173,211        -    184,765
      Total assets                 5,037,309   3,166,316  205,792  8,409,417
      Unearned premiums              359,080     688,984        -  1,048,064
      Reserve for losses and
       loss adjustment expenses    2,120,577     167,165        -  2,287,742
      Derivative liabilities         308,543     348,883        -    657,426

    Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries
    Segment Information
    Six Months Ended June 30, 2009
    Exhibit E
                                    Mortgage   Financial  Financial
      (In thousands)               Insurance   Guaranty   Services    Total
      --------------               ---------   ---------  ---------   -----
      Revenues:
      Net premiums written -
       insurance                    $316,878      $1,779       $-   $318,657
                                    ========      ======       ==   ========
      Net premiums earned -
       insurance                    $347,930     $56,914       $-   $404,844
      Net investment income           63,643      45,889        2    109,534
      Change in fair value of
       derivative instruments        (35,133)     23,035        -    (12,098)
      Net gains on other
       financial instruments          25,500      53,764        -     79,264
      Net impairment losses
       recognized in earnings           (680)          -        -       (680)
      Other income                     7,566         219      235      8,020
                                       -----         ---      ---      -----
        Total revenues               408,826     179,821      237    588,884
                                     -------     -------      ---    -------
      Expenses:
      Provision for losses           464,486      (4,982)       -    459,504
      Provision for premium
       deficiency                    (46,000)          -        -    (46,000)
      Policy acquisition costs        13,660      26,261        -     39,921
      Other operating expenses        71,284      35,742      211    107,237
      Interest expense                 8,313      16,281        -     24,594
                                       -----      ------       --     ------
        Total expenses               511,743      73,302      211    585,256
                                     -------      ------      ---    -------
      Equity in net income of
       affiliates                          -           -   15,662     15,662
                                          --          --   ------     ------
      Pretax (loss) income          (102,917)    106,519   15,688     19,290
      Income tax (benefit) provision (27,136)     26,249    5,739      4,852
                                     -------      ------    -----      -----
      Net (loss) income             $(75,781)    $80,270   $9,949    $14,438
                                    ========     =======   ======    =======

    Radian Group Inc.


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