(Source: Irish Times)

By STEPHEN COLLINS; SIMON CARSWELL
THE NATIONAL Asset Management Agency (Nama) will pay about
[euro]54 billion to the banks for property-related loans which have
a face value of about [euro]77 billion.
The banks will have to absorb the difference and have been told
to raise private investment to offset the resulting losses.
The Government has indicated that if the banks cannot raise the
money themselves, it will invest the capital. This could lead to the
State taking up to 70 per cent of Allied Irish Banks (AIB) and 30
per cent of Bank of Ireland.
But market sources said the bank might be able to avoid further
Government investment by raising money from private investors or
through the sales of assets. Shares in both Bank of Ireland and AIB
rose strongly last night on the New York Stock Exchange, after the
Irish markets closed. AIB was up 26 per cent and Bank of Ireland
rose 19 per cent.
Minister for Finance Brian Lenihan told the Dail yesterday that
the State would on average pay 30 per cent less than the face value
of the bank loans.
However, last night Fine Gael and Labour claimed the main banks,
AIB and Bank of Ireland, would escape with a significantly lower
discount because of the scale of the problem at the nationalised
Anglo Irish Bank skews the average figure provided by the Minister.
Figures provided by Davy stockbrokers, a former subsidiary of
Bank of Ireland, supported the Opposition parties' claims last
night. The firm estimated that the discount applied to Bank of
Ireland could be as low as 24 per cent, while AIB would face a
discount of 29 per cent.
AIB said in a statement that it expected its discount to be less
than the aggregate figure of 30 per cent.
The Minister said that Nama would purchase [euro]28 billion in
loans from Anglo Irish, [euro]24 billion from AIB, [euro]16 billion
from Bank of Ireland, [euro]8 billion from Irish Nationwide and
[euro]1 billion from the EBS.
The Government estimated the current market value of the loans to
be [euro]47 billion, representing an over-payment of [euro]7
billion, which Mr Lenihan said was an allowance covering the long-
term economic value.
Nama would need a rise in property prices of less than 10 per
cent from current levels over 10 years to break even, he said. In
that case property prices would still be 45 per cent below their
value in late 2006.
"There is no assumption in our work that peak property prices
must and will be repeated," he said.
The Government also revealed details of its mechanism to spread
the risk of part of the overpayment from the taxpayer to the banks
and building societies.