(Source: The Post and Courier)

By Katy Stech, The Post and Courier, Charleston, S.C.
Sep. 19--South Carolina's double-digit jobless rate eased last month, but
economists said the move is likely a temporary dip before what will be a long,
exhausting job-market recovery.
The statewide unemployment rate fell in August to 11.5 percent, the
second consecutive monthly decline and a significant decrease from a peak of
12.1 percent hit in May and June.
July's rate, announced at 11.8 percent, was revised to 11.7 percent.
Dorchester County's rate increased slightly to 10.2 percent, while
Berkeley County's figure decreased from 10.9 percent to 10.6 percent.
Charleston County's rate remained at 9.1 percent.
The latest figures show that the state's job count increased by about
14,300 positions as school districts began staffing up for the academic year.
The increase fits in with seasonal hiring trends.
Despite the monthly gain, South Carolina businesses still employ
collectively 78,900 fewer workers than a year ago. And August's slight decline
is probably a temporary phenomenon caused by workers who are still unemployed
but no longer factored into the rate.
Myrtle Beach research economist Don Schunk pointed out that roughly
28,000 South Carolina workers have "dropped out" of the labor force in recent
months, likely after a frustrating and unsuccessful job search, he said.
Some may have retired or moved to other states.
If those workers were factored into the latest figures, August's
unemployment rate would have probably weighed in at 12.6 percent by Schunk's
estimate.
That's why Schunk, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and other
respected economists predict that the rate will rise again in a few months
following an infusion of previously discouraged workers.
"They'll start to hear some reports that some companies are starting to
hire again and the economy is starting to improve, and they'll start filling
out applications again and start actively looking for work again," Schunk
said.
"Imagine if those 28,000 workers got back into the workforce but there
are only 5,000 new jobs."
The Charleston area's unemployment rate didn't fall in step with the
statewide numbers. It remained unchanged at 9.7 percent because of retail and
tourism-related job losses totaling about 1,700 positions.
Those seasonal losses were slightly offset by a healthy, 1,100-job gain
in the so-called professional and business- services category, a hodgepodge of
job types not dominated by a particular industry.
Jobs through temporary hiring agencies are counted in that category, and
some staffing firms have reported an uptick of activity in recent months.
James Taylor, regional manager at Robert Half International's Charleston
branch, said a growing number of companies have called to ask about temporary
help through his firm, which specializes in accounting and administrative
positions.
"A lot of companies have reduced their head count, and in many cases
they're finding they laid off too many people," Taylor said.
More broadly, temporary agencies often see more business in a recovering
economy because business owners are often cautious about hiring new workers,
he said.
The latest index from the American Staffing Association shows that the
demand for temporary and contract workers "increased markedly from July to
August," a possible sign that the economy is emerging from recession, the
agency noted.
"Most of the managers are looking for evidence of a stronger economy
before expanding their teams on a full-time basis," Taylor said. "There's
still a lot of uncertainty."
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