logo


Financial Systems Need Time to Heal
Wednesday, September 23, 2009 5:54 PM


(Source: The Manilla Times)trackingBy Maricel E. Burgonio, The Manila Times, Philippines

Sep. 23--The International Monetary Fund (IMF) reported Tuesday that the financial systems remain impaired, despite recent reports that the world was slowly recovering from the global economic turmoil.

"Global economic activity is starting to pick up, but financial systems remain impaired and domestic and external imbalances persist in many economies," the IMF said in a statement. The IMF added the global economic recovery was expected to be slow as financial institutions and markets worldwide struggle to cope with unemployment levels rising to new highs. "[Also] an impaired financial system needs time to heal before it can intermediate financial capital effectively."

The term intermediate means allowing those need money to access funds of those with excess funds.

The IMF also said the timing of the withdrawal of monetary and fiscal stimulus or the implementation of exit strategy should be considered to support economic recovery.

"On the one hand, a premature exit could stifle the recovery. On the other hand, delaying the withdrawal of stimulus could be inflationary. At the same time, the dramatic increase in fiscal deficits and government debt levels exacerbates sustainability concerns for a number of economies," the institution explained.

Central banks have decreased their interest rates to spur economic growth as part of the monetary stimulus. Most of the governments in the region posted higher budget deficit because of higher spending particularly in the infrastructure sector.

Also because of low interest rate environment, the borrowing cost went down, which led to higher levels of debt.

IMF said the high demand for credit was expected to continue and may result in an asset bubble. "By accommodating loosening credit conditions and rising debt, monetary policymakers increased the risks of a bust. The evidence suggests that policymakers should react more strongly to signs of increasing macrofinancial risk."

Since there are now initial signs of economic recovery and greater stabilization of financial markets, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) believes that there was a need to start thinking of exit strategy. But the central bank has to first to determine if there are clear and stronger signs of private-sector activity, like growing consumption levels or investments.

Central bank Deputy Governor Diwa Guinigundo earlier said that the critical issue in an exit strategy was the timing. Exiting too early could set back the so-called green shoots, but acting too late could fan demand pressures and generate higher inflation, he explained.




(0)
No Comments
Post Comment
Name:  
Alert for new comments:
Your email:
Your Website:
Title:
Comments:
   
 
 
 
 
   
 

  
Related Press Releases
Advertisement
Popular Articles
Advertisement
Partner Center
Fundamental data is provided by Zacks Investment Research, market data is provided by AlphaTrade. , and Commentary and Press Releases provided by Quotemedia