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Yum! Brands Inc. Reports Third Quarter 2009 EPS Growth of 21%, Excluding Special Items; Led By Robust China Profit Growth of 32%; Raises Full-Year EPS Growth Forecast to 12%, Excluding Special Items
Tuesday, October 06, 2009 4:52 PM


(Source: Business Wire)trackingYum! Brands Inc. (NYSE: YUM) today reported Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.69, or $0.70 excluding special items, for the third quarter ended September 5, 2009.

THIRD-QUARTER HIGHLIGHTS

International development continued at a strong pace with 267 new restaurants including 88 new units in mainland China and 165 new units in Yum! Restaurants International (YRI).

System sales growth of +11% in mainland China and +4% in YRI was offset by a 5% decline in the U.S. resulting in flat worldwide system sales in local currency terms; worldwide system sales declined 4% after foreign currency translation.

Worldwide restaurant margin improved over 3 percentage points driven by significant gains in both the U.S. and China.

Worldwide operating profit growth of 15% was driven by China, +32%, and the U.S., +18%. YRI profit declined 13% due to negative foreign currency translation. Worldwide operating profit growth was 19% prior to foreign currency translation.

Foreign currency translation negatively impacted EPS by $0.02 per share.

Note: All comparisons are versus the same period a year ago and exclude Special Items unless noted.

                                Third Quarter                  Year-to-Date             
                                2009        2008    % Change   2009    2008    % Change 
 EPS Excluding Special Items    $0.70       $0.58   21%        $1.67   $1.45   16%      
 Special Items Gain/(Loss)(1)   ($0.01  )   $0.00   NM         $0.10   $0.08   NM       
 EPS                            $0.69       $0.58   19%        $1.77   $1.53   16%      


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1 See Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Measurements to GAAP Results for further detail of the 2009 and 2008 Special Items.

FULL-YEAR OUTLOOK

The Company raised its full-year 2009 EPS forecast from $2.10 to $2.14 per share or 12% growth prior to special items, driven by stronger-than-expected full year performance in China and a lower-than-expected full year effective tax rate.

David C. Novak, Chairman and CEO, said, "I'm pleased to report we are raising our full year 2009 EPS growth forecast to 12% based on our strong year-to-date profit performance. Our global portfolio delivered an impressive 15% operating profit growth this quarter, driven by 32% growth in China and 18% growth in our U.S. business. China and Yum! Restaurants International are on track to open over 1,400 international new units this year. We are confident our industry leading international new unit development will continue to be a key factor in our ability to drive future sales and profit growth.

"Our China business generated extraordinary operating profit growth of 32% in the third quarter. We leveraged our high-return, new unit development and increased restaurant margin over two points. We are especially pleased that our China team achieved margins near record levels with high average unit volumes. We are on track to open over 475 new units in mainland China. Importantly, KFC is the only Western QSR brand in the vast majority of the 600 cities in which we have a presence. Our U.S. business achieved strong operating profit growth of 18%. This can be attributed to substantial improvement to restaurant margin and significant G&A savings which offset a 6% same-store-sales decline. There's no question the overall worldwide environment continues to be challenging. However, we are more confident than ever in the consistent earnings power of our global portfolio. We also continue to make major progress developing our significant, new sales layers which will better leverage our assets and drive future growth.

"Looking to 2010, we expect to deliver 10% EPS growth. This would be the ninth consecutive year we meet or exceed our annual target of at least 10% EPS growth. Our fundamental opportunities remain intact. We continue to have the unique ability to generate unparalleled international growth, increase sales in our existing assets and drive significant free cash flow while continuing to be an industry leader in return on invested capital."

CHINA DIVISION

                          Third Quarter                     Year-to-Date                    
                                        % Change                          % Change          
                          2009   2008   Reported   Ex F/X   2009   2008   Reported   Ex F/X 
 System Sales Growth                    +11        +10                    +11        +9     
 Restaurant Margin (%)    23.2   20.9   2.3        2.3      21.5   19.7   1.8        1.7    
 Operating Profit ($MM)   217    165    +32        +31      453    360    +26        +23    


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China Division system sales growth of 10% excluding foreign currency translation was driven by strong new unit development in mainland China while same-store-sales were flat.

We opened 88 new restaurants in mainland China for the third quarter for a total of 304 year to date.

 Mainland China Units      Q3 2009   % Change 
 Traditional Restaurants   3,281     +16      
 KFC                       2,729     +16      
 Pizza Hut Casual Dining   442       +11      
 Pizza Hut Home Service    87        +24      


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Restaurant margin increased 2.3 percentage points driven primarily by significant commodity deflation of $21 million in the third quarter. A similar benefit is expected in the fourth quarter.

Foreign currency conversion benefited operating profit by $1 million.

Operating profit growth of 32% overlapped growth of 22% in the third quarter of 2008.

YUM! RESTAURANTS INTERNATIONAL (YRI) DIVISION

                            Third Quarter                          Year-to-Date                         
                                              % Change                               % Change           
                            2009     2008     Reported   Ex F/X    2009     2008     Reported   Ex F/X  
 Traditional Restaurants    12,895   12,489   +3         NA        12,895   12,489   +3         NA      
 System Sales Growth                          (7    )    +4                          (7    )    +7      
 Franchise & License Fees   156      165      (5    )    +5        442      467      (5    )    +8      
 Operating Profit ($MM)     119      137      (13   )    Flat      342      393      (13   )    +3      
 Operating Margin (%)       18.0     18.1     (0.1  )    (0.6  )   18.7     18.0     +0.7       (0.2  ) 


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System sales growth of 4%, excluding foreign currency translation, was driven by new unit development and same-store sales were flat. The table below provides further insight into key YRI markets.

YRI opened 165 new restaurants with 93% coming from our franchise partners.

Operating profit growth was negatively impacted by poor performance in two company markets, Mexico and South Korea, and timing related to overhead expenses.

Foreign currency translation negatively impacted operating profit by $17 million.

 Key YRI Markets             System Sales Growth Ex F/X (%)                                                                             
                             Third Quarter   Year-to-Date                                                                               
 Franchise Only Markets                                                                                                                 
 Asia (ex China Division)    +4              +7                                                                                         
 Continental Europe          Flat            +3                                                                                         
 Middle East                 +6              +8                                                                                         
 Latin America               +4              +6                                                                                         
 Company/Franchise Markets                                                                                                              
 Australia                   +3              +6                                                                                         
 UK                          +9              +10                                                                                        
 New Growth Markets          +20             +18                                                                                        
 Note: The markets listed above generate approximately 80% of YRI operating profit. NewGrowth Markets include France, Russia and India. 


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U.S. DIVISION

                               Third Quarter               Year-to-Date              
                               2009      2008   % Change   2009      2008   % Change 
 Same-Store-Sales Growth (%)   (6    )   +3     NM         (3    )   +3     NM       
 Restaurant Margin (%)         14.1      10.8   +3.3       14.0      11.9   +2.1     
 Operating Profit ($MM)        171       146    +18        497       447    +11      
 Operating Margin (%)          16.2      12.0   +4.2       15.5      12.3   +3.2     


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Same-store-sales declined 6% which included a 13% decline at Pizza Hut.

Restaurant margin improved by 3.3 points due largely to commodity cost deflation of $16 million this quarter. Year-to-date commodity cost deflation has totaled $11 million. The full year benefit from commodity cost deflation is expected to be about $20 million.

Third quarter operating profit growth of 18% and operating margin improvement of 4.2 points were driven by a $16 million decline in our U.S. G&A cost structure from actions initiated in the fourth quarter of 2008. For the full year, we continue to expect G&A cost savings of at least $60 million.

U.S. REFRANCHISING UPDATE

In the third quarter, 98 company-owned U.S. restaurants were sold to franchisees. Year to date, we have refranchised a total of 286 units, including 210 Pizza Huts, 50 KFCs and 26 Taco Bells. We continue to expect to refranchise 500 units in 2009. Full year proceeds from U.S. refranchising are expected to be about $175 million.

CONFERENCE CALL

Yum! Brands Inc. will host a conference call to review the company's financial performance and strategies at 9:15 a.m. ET Wednesday, October 7, 2009.

The number is 877/815-2029 for U.S. callers and 706/645-9271 for international callers.

The call will be available for playback beginning at noon Eastern Time Wednesday, October 7, through midnight October 21, 2009. To access the playback, dial 800/642-1687 in the United States and 706/645-9291 internationally. The playback pass code is 29944595.

The webcast and the playback can be accessed via the Internet by visiting Yum! Brands' Web site, www.yum.com/investors and selecting "Q3 2009 Earnings Call".

For your added convenience . . . A podcast will be available within 24 hours of the end of the call at www.yum.com/investors.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ONLINE

Third quarter end dates for each division, restaurant-count details, and definitions of terms including Key Markets are available online at http://investors.yum.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=117941&p=irol-newsEarnings.

This announcement, any related announcements and the related webcast may contain "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. We intend all forward-looking statements to be covered by the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements can be identified by the fact that they do not relate strictly to historical or current facts. Our forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, which may cause actual results to differ materially from those projected. Factors that can cause our actual results to differ materially include, but are not limited to: economic and political conditions in the countries where we operate; currency exchange and interest rates; commodity, labor and other operating costs; competition, consumer preferences or perceptions; the impact of any widespread illness or food borne illness; the effectiveness of our operating initiatives and marketing; new-product and concept development by us and our competitors; the success of our strategies for refranchising and international development; the continued viability of our franchise and license operators; our ability to secure and maintain distribution and adequate supply to our restaurants; publicity that may impact our business and/or industry; pending or future legal claims; our effective tax rates; our actuarially determined casualty loss estimates; government regulations; and accounting policies and practices. You should consult our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (including the information set forth under the captions "Risk Factors" and "Forward-Looking Statements" in our Annual Report on Form 10-K) for additional detail about factors that could affect our financial and other results. Forward-looking statements are based on current expectations and assumptions and currently available data and are neither predictions nor guarantees of future events or performance. You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date hereof. We are not undertaking to update any of these statements.

Yum! Brands, Inc., based in Louisville, Kentucky, is the world's largest restaurant company in terms of system restaurants, with more than 36,000 restaurants in over 110 countries and territories. The company is ranked #239 on the Fortune 500 List, with revenues in excess of $11 billion in 2008. Four of the company's restaurant brands -- KFC, Pizza Hut, Taco Bell and Long John Silver's -- are the global leaders of the chicken, pizza, Mexican -- style food and quick -- service seafood categories, respectively. Outside the United States, the Yum! Brands system opened more than four new restaurants each day of the year, making it a leader in international retail development. The company has consistently been recognized for its reward and recognition culture, diversity leadership, community giving, and consistent shareholder returns. In 2007, the company launched World Hunger Relief, the world's largest private sector hunger relief effort to raise awareness, volunteerism and funds to benefit the United Nations World Food Programme (WFP) and other hunger relief agencies. To date, this effort has raised $36 million for the WFP and other hunger relief agencies and is helping to provide 160 million meals and save the lives of about 4 million people in remote corners of the world, where hunger is most prevalent.

Exception caught in main.
Exception caught in main.

China Division includes mainland China, Thailand and KFC Taiwan.

As discussed in (d) in the accompanying notes, we began consolidating the operating entity that owns the KFC business in Shanghai, China, with 236 units, during the second quarter of 2009. This entity was previously accounted for as an unconsolidated affiliate.

Exception caught in main.
Exception caught in main.
                                                                                                                                                    
 YUM! Brands, Inc.


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