(Source: Bangkok Post)

By Tony Arora, Bangkok Post, Thailand
Oct. 10--NEW DELHI -- For the second time in as many years, India's
Bharti Airtel and South Africa's MTN have failed in their bid to create the
world's third-largest mobile services company with 200 million subscribers,
revenues of US$20 billion and operations in 24 countries -- just behind China
Mobile and Vodafone Group.
The deal-breaker was the South African government's concern that the
country would lose MTN to a foreign player. Delhi could not meet Pretoria's
demand for dual listing of MTN shares post-merger since India does not yet
allow full capital account convertibility.
Official sources in New Delhi say a dual-listing structure would lead to
huge tax losses to the government.
Another major hurdle was an amendment by the Securities and Exchange
Board of India (SEBI) stating that any acquisition through American or Global
depository receipts (ADRs and GDRs) with voting rights would trigger a
mandatory 20 percent open offer above the 15 percent threshold. This upset the
terms of the proposed deal as MTN sought to acquire 36 percent in Bharti
through GDRs.
The South African government's pension fund, Public Investment
Corporation, holds 21 percent in MTN and the government was under intense
pressure to nix the deal on concerns that MTN's South African identity would
be lost.
Sources said a dual-listed company (DLC) clause also would weaken the
supervisory authority of SEBI as it would not be able to monitor overseas
stock exchanges. MTN is currently listed on the Johannesburg Securities
Exchange.
Last year, China Mobile and Vodafone also were reportedly close to
striking a deal with MTN but nothing materialised. But Bharti is determined to
replicate its staggering growth at home in other emerging markets, where scale
is vital and penetration rates are low but rising fast. It is interesting to
see why.
The company is the market leader in India, the world's fastest growing
mobile market and the second largest after China. It has nearly a quarter of
the country's total mobile subscriber base.
Telecom analysts and bankers say Bharti is keen to expand offshore as
returns from the Indian market are likely to slow down in coming years. About
40 percent of India's 1.1 billion people have mobile phones and more than 10
million users are signing up every month.
Subscriber growth is expected to be slow eventually as more of the
population gets phones.