(Source: Bangkok Post)

By Bangkok Post, Thailand
Oct. 15--Thai stocks fell 2.04 percent yesterday in a roller-coaster
session led by concerns about His Majesty the King's health.
His Majesty has been in Siriraj Hospital since Sept 19. The Royal
Household Bureau has said that His Majesty is making a stable recovery.
Heavy foreign selling helped spark a broad sell-off yesterday. The Stock
Exchange of Thailand index closed at 731.47 points, down 15.20, in heavy trade
worth 47.57 billion baht. The index fell to a low of 714.39 points before
rebounding in the last hour of trade. Energy stocks fell 1.58 percent, banks
dropped 2.76 percent and property lost 2.75 percent.
Foreign investors were net sellers of 3.97 billion baht in stocks
yesterday, with institutional investors net sellers of 98.32 million and local
investors with a net buy position of 4.07 billion baht.
The SET's decline came even as most Asian markets posted gains on
optimism over the third-quarter earnings season. Hong Kong shares gained 1.95
percent, Seoul rose 1.24 percent and Shanghai jumped 1.17 percent, although
Tokyo fell 0.16 percent amid concerns over the appreciating yen.
Patareeya Benjapolchai, the SET president, said a correction was to be
expected considering the sharp gains posted by the market this year.
The SET index has gained more than 21 percent over the past three months
and is up nearly 66 percent since January, thanks in part to heavy foreign
inflows as international investors seek higher yields in emerging market
assets.
Mrs Patareeya said Thai valuations remained attractive from a
price-to-earnings and dividend yield perspective.
According to Macquarie Research, the SET curently has a forward 12- month
PER of 11.4 times, ranking as the lowest in the region and compared with 17.7
times for India, 14.2 times for Indonesia and the Philippines and 15.4 for
Malaysia.
Veerathai Santiprabhob, the SET chief strategy officer, said daily
turnover in September averaged 26 billion baht, a 26-month high.
Nine-month dividends by listed companies rose 20 percent year-on-year to
198 billion baht, a figure nearly on par with dividend payments in 2007.
"The figures show that listed companies have adjusted and recovered," Mr
Veerathai said.
M.L. Thongmakut Thongyai, head of the Foreign Brokers' Association, said
yesterday's declines were driven not only by rumours, but also by
profit-taking by foreign investors looking to lock in the gains made earlier
this year.
Among blue-chips, the coal producer Banpu fell 10 baht to 446, PTT lost 6
baht to 267.00 and PTT Exploration and Production edged down 0.50 baht to 155.
In the currency market, dealers said the rumours spurred an afternoon
sell-off in the baht, pushing the currency to 33.38/41 to the US dollar
compared with 33.26/31 on Tuesday.
One dealer at CIMB Thai Bank said the baht would move for the rest of the
week in line with local stocks, although the medium-term trend for dollar
weakness remained unchanged.
Local bonds changed little, with the yield curve fluctuating by only
several basis points. Nattapol Chavalitcheevin, president of the Thai Bond
Market Association, said volume was normal yesterday at 60 billion baht.
Non-residents were net sellers of about 3.5 billion.
In London, the cost for insuring Thai debt rose, with 5-year credit
default swaps up five basis points to 89.8, according to Reuters. Swaps were
priced at 84.9 basis points on Tuesday and 82.8 on Monday.
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