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Travelers Reports Third Quarter 2009 Net Income Per Diluted Share and Operating Income Per Diluted Share of $1.65 and $1.61, Respectively
Thursday, October 22, 2009 5:55 AM


(Source: Business Wire)trackingThe Travelers Companies, Inc. ("Travelers") (NYSE:TRV) today reported net income of $935 million, or $1.65 per diluted share, for the quarter ended September 30, 2009, compared to $214 million, or $0.36 per diluted share, for the quarter ended September 30, 2008. Operating income in the current quarter was $914 million, or $1.61 per diluted share, compared to $330 million, or $0.55 per diluted share, in the prior year quarter.

"We are pleased to report strong third quarter operating income of $914 million and operating return on equity of 14.1%," commented Jay Fishman, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. "These results were driven by underwriting profitability in each of our business segments and increased net investment income, as our non-fixed income portfolio yield improved to a positive level.

"We were once again successful in achieving positive renewal rate changes across all of our business segments, although net written premiums were down modestly, largely attributable to declining economic activity in recent quarters. As in previous quarters, we remain cautious about the magnitude of rate gains that are achievable in the near term given general economic conditions. Nonetheless, we plan to continue to seek rate gains where needed and we will continue to focus on execution. Solid retention and new business levels continue to underscore our strong position in the marketplace.

"With improved stability in the capital markets we deployed excess liquidity that we accumulated over the past several quarters. We repurchased $1 billion of common shares in the quarter in contrast to our past practice of reduced share repurchases during the catastrophe season. Furthermore, our guidance for 2009 now includes an assumption of $1.5 billion in common share repurchases in the fourth quarter, an increase from our previous assumption, subject to market conditions and other factors. This change, in combination with our year-to-date performance, has resulted in an increase in our guidance for full year 2009 operating income per diluted share to $5.30-$5.50 from $4.80-$5.05.

"Given our strong earnings performance and cash position and more stable capital markets, we increased our regular quarterly dividend by 10 percent to $0.33 per share. In addition our Board of Directors has approved an additional $6.0 billion of common share repurchases. Confidence in our strong balance sheet, ability to execute in the marketplace and our strategy of returning excess capital enable us to continue to create shareholder value," concluded Mr. Fishman.

Consolidated Highlights

                                                                                                                                                                            
                                                                                     Three Months Ended September 30,            Nine Months Ended September 30,            
 ($ in millions, except for per share amounts, and after-tax, except for premiums)   2009          2008          Change          2009           2008           Change       
 Net written premiums                                                                $  5,340      $  5,481      (3     )  %     $  16,148      $  16,298      (1    )  %   
                                                                                                                                                                            
 Operating income                                                                    $  914        $  330        177             $  2,445       $  2,256       8            
 per diluted share                                                                   $  1.61       $  0.55       193             $  4.21        $  3.68        14           
 Net income                                                                          $  935        $  214        337             $  2,337       $  2,123       10           
 per diluted share                                                                   $  1.65       $  0.36       358             $  4.02        $  3.47        16           
                                                                                                                                                                            
 Book value per share                                                                $  51.24      $  41.94      22              $  51.24       $  41.94       22           
 Adjusted book value per share                                                       $  47.16      $  43.34      9               $  47.16       $  43.34       9            
                                                                                                                                                                            
 GAAP combined ratio                                                                    89.7   %      104.7  %   (15.0  )  pts      91.2    %      94.0    %   (2.8  )  pts 
                                                                                                                                                                            
 Operating return on equity                                                             14.1   %      5.1    %   9.0       pts      12.6    %      11.7    %   0.9      pts 
 Return on equity                                                                       13.6   %      3.4    %   10.2      pts      11.7    %      10.9    %   0.8      pts 
                                                                                                                                                                            
 See Glossary of Financial Measures for definitions and the statistical supplement for additional financial data.                                                           
                                                                                                                                                                            


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Third Quarter 2009 Consolidated Results

 The current and prior year quarters included the following:                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                                       
 ($ in millions)                                                                        Three Months Ended September 30,                               
                                                                                        2009               2008                2009         2008       
                                                                                        Pre-tax                                After-tax               
 Underwriting gain (loss)                                                               $  524             $  (288    )        $  338       $  (208  ) 
 Underwriting gain (loss) includes:                                                                                                                    
 Net favorable prior year reserve development                                              309                334                 202          210     
 Catastrophes, net of reinsurance                                                          (158   )           (1,042  )           (103  )      (682  ) 
 Re-estimation of the current year loss ratios for the first two quarters of the year      71                 -                   46           -       
                                                                                                                                                       
 Net investment income                                                                     763                716                 616          587     
                                                                                                                                                       
 Other, including interest expense                                                         (66    )           (70     )           (40   )      (49   ) 
                                                                                                                                                       
 Operating Income                                                                          1,221              358                 914          330     
 Net realized investment gains (losses)                                                    29                 (170    )           21           (116  ) 
 Income before income taxes                                                             $  1,250           $  188                                      
 Net Income                                                                                                                    $  935       $  214     
                                                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                                       
 GAAP combined ratio                                                                       89.7      %        104.7      %                             
                                                                                                                                                       
 GAAP combined ratio excluding incremental impact of direct to consumer initiative         89.1      %        104.5      %                             
                                                                                                                                                       
 Impact on GAAP combined ratio                                                                                                                         
 Net favorable prior year reserve development                                              (5.7   )  pts      (6.2    )  pts                           
 Catastrophes, net of reinsurance                                                          2.9       pts      19.1       pts                           
 Re-estimation of the current year loss ratios for the first two quarters of the year      (1.3   )  pts      -          pts                           
                                                                                                                                                       


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The current quarter underwriting gain reflects a GAAP combined ratio, excluding net favorable prior year reserve development and catastrophe losses, of 92.5 percent, as compared to 91.8 percent in the prior year quarter. This increase of 0.7 points primarily resulted from reduced underwriting margins related to pricing and loss cost trends, higher non-catastrophe weather-related losses within Personal Insurance as well as the impact of the company's recently announced direct to consumer initiative. The GAAP combined ratio in the current quarter benefited from 1.3 points of favorable re-estimation of current year loss ratios which reflects better than expected frequency trends in Business Insurance for the first two quarters of the year.

Net favorable prior year reserve development in the current quarter resulted from better than expected loss experience in each segment, particularly in Business Insurance. The net favorable prior year development in Business Insurance included a $120 million after-tax ($185 million pre-tax) increase to asbestos reserves that was primarily driven by a slight increase in the company's assumption for projected defense costs related to many policyholders. Overall, the company's assessment of the underlying asbestos environment did not change significantly from recent periods.

Catastrophe losses in the current quarter, which were considerably lower than the prior year quarter, were related to multiple severe weather events across various regions of the United States.

The investment portfolio, which grew to $76 billion at the end of the current quarter reflective of an increase to net unrealized investment gains of $2.1 billion pre-tax from June 30, 2009, performed very well during the quarter. Net investment income in the current quarter increased from the prior year quarter for the first time since the third quarter 2007, despite lower short-term interest rates. This increase was driven by positive returns in the non-fixed income portfolio in the current quarter, compared to negative returns in the prior year quarter, and is primarily due to improved investment market conditions for hedge funds and private equity funds. Net investment income in the fixed income portfolio declined slightly from the prior year quarter due to a 150 basis point reduction in average after-tax short-term interest rates. The current quarter results also include net realized investment gains compared to net realized investment losses in the prior year quarter. The current quarter included other-than-temporary impairments of only $12 million after-tax ($19 million pre-tax), compared to $102 million after-tax ($156 million pre-tax) in the prior year quarter.

Net written premiums of $5.340 billion in the current quarter declined 3 percent from the prior year quarter. Business retention remained at high levels. Renewal rate changes were positive in each business segment, more than offsetting the impact of lower coverage demands from existing policyholders due to general economic conditions. New business volumes were down slightly from the prior year quarter as modest growth in Business Insurance and Financial, Professional and International Insurance was offset by lower volumes in Personal Insurance.

Capital Management

"This quarter once again demonstrated the company's significant balance sheet strength," said Jay Benet, Vice Chairman and Chief Financial Officer. "During the current quarter we grew shareholders' equity by 5 percent to $28.2 billion after returning $1.2 billion to our shareholders through common share dividends and common share repurchases. As further acknowledgement of our balance sheet strength, during the quarter S&P affirmed our financial strength ratings of AA- and debt ratings of A- and revised the outlook for these ratings to positive from stable with a one year time horizon for consideration of an upgrade."

At the end of the third quarter 2009, all of the company's financial strength indicators were at or better than target levels. Statutory surplus was $22.1 billion, the company's debt to capital ratio of 20.1 percent (excluding net unrealized investment gains and losses) was at its target level and holding company liquidity of $2.6 billion was more than twice the company's target level.

Travelers' Board of Directors has approved an additional $6.0 billion of common share repurchases. This amount is in addition to the $2.1 billion that remained from previous authorizations as of September 30, 2009. Repurchases may be made from time to time in the open-market, in private transactions, pursuant to pre-set trading plans meeting the requirements of Rule 10b5-1 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 or otherwise. This authorization does not have a stated expiration date. The timing and actual number of shares to be repurchased will depend on a variety of factors, including corporate and regulatory requirements, price, catastrophe experience and other market conditions.

The Board of Directors also declared a regular quarterly dividend of $0.33 per common share. This dividend, which is $0.03 higher than the last regular quarterly dividend, is payable December 31, 2009, to shareholders of record as of the close of business December 10, 2009.

Business Insurance Segment Financial Results

"We continue to focus on effective execution and further strengthening our position in the marketplace," said Brian MacLean, President and Chief Operating Officer. "This has enabled us to once again achieve positive renewal rate change, strong retentions and overall attractive margin levels within Business Insurance. Furthermore, lower than expected frequency trends have resulted in better than expected loss cost trends. Although we continue to see the impact of the economic downturn in many of our businesses, we remain pleased with the results in the quarter."

 The current and prior year quarters included the following:                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                                    
 ($ in millions)                                                                        Three Months Ended September 30,                            
                                                                                        2009              2008               2009        2008       
                                                                                        Pre-tax                              After-tax              
 Underwriting gain (loss)                                                               $  366            $  (40    )        $  228      $  (35   ) 
 Underwriting gain (loss) includes:                                                                                                                 
 Net favorable prior year reserve development                                              262               247                170         152     
 Catastrophes, net of reinsurance                                                          (86   )           (488   )           (56  )      (318  ) 
 Re-estimation of the current year loss ratios for the first two quarters of the year      77                -                  50          -       
                                                                                                                                                    
 Net investment income                                                                     529               494                429         409     
                                                                                                                                                    
 Other, including interest expense                                                         15                8                  11          4       
                                                                                                                                                    
 Operating Income                                                                       $  910            $  462             $  668      $  378     
                                                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                                    
 GAAP combined ratio                                                                       86.5     %        101.3     %                            
                                                                                                                                                    
 Impact on GAAP combined ratio                                                                                                                      
 Net favorable prior year reserve development                                              (9.5  )  pts      (8.7   )  pts                          
 Catastrophes, net of reinsurance                                                          3.1      pts      17.3      pts                          
 Re-estimation of the current year loss ratios for the first two quarters of the year      (2.8  )  pts      -         pts                          
                                                                                                                                                    


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The current quarter underwriting gain reflects a GAAP combined ratio, excluding net favorable prior year reserve development and catastrophe losses, of 92.9 percent, as compared to 92.7 percent in the prior year quarter.



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