China Recovery Relies on Govt Spending

Friday, October 23, 2009 6:51 PM

(Source: The Yomiuri Shimbun)trackingBy Yasushi Kouchi, The Yomiuri Shimbun

Oct. 23--BEIJING -- The 8.9 percent real growth in China's gross domestic product in the July-September period from the same period in the previous year demonstrates how the Chinese economy has been moving toward recovery, escaping the damage caused by the global economic crisis before other countries.

However, this growth has been boosted by the Chinese government's massive spending on economic stimulus measures. The exports that once led the country's growth are still weak, fueling concern over such problems as excess production capacity.

Japan, the United States and European countries, all of which are lagging in their own economic recoveries, expect China to lead the global economy out of recession. Is it possible, however, for that country to play such a role?

Baosteel-NSC/Arcelor Automotive Steel Sheets Co. (BNA), a joint venture established by Japanese steelmaker Nippon Steel Corp., China's Baosteel Group Corp. and others, has been operating at full steam.

A Shanghai-based manufacturer of steel sheet, BNA produces one-fourth of all the steel sheet used in automobiles made in China. With a flood of orders from Chinese automakers, the company is planning to move forward the launch of a new production line that was originally scheduled to start operation next February.

The volume of China's auto sales for this year's January-September period amounted to about 9.66 million units, more than the total for all of 2008. The rise is due to an increase in consumer income as a result of China's economic growth and the government's stimulus measures, including a cut in the purchase tax on small cars. Some automakers have been unable to keep up with demand, prompting them to sell the cars on display in their showrooms.

The recovery of the Chinese economy has been supported by the government's four trillion yuan (53 trillion yen) in economic measures, launched in November 2008. As part of these measures, investment in fixed assets, including such social infrastructure as railways and roads, surged 33.4 percent over the January-September period from the same period a year earlier.

The nation's industrial output in July-September grew 12.4 percent, compared with 5.1 percent growth in the January-March period, indicating the accelerating recovery of the Chinese economy.

Retail sales, which indicate trends in private consumption, have been recovering steadily, showing 17 percent growth in the July-September period from a year earlier.



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