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Nexen Inc.: Current Production at Annual High Following Start-Up of New Projects
Wednesday, October 28, 2009 6:51 AM


(Source: MARKETWIRE)trackingThroughout the third quarter, we made significant progress in advancing our strategies. We successfully executed the planned turnaround at Long Lake, announced the largest discovery in the UK North Sea in the last ten years after Buzzard, and moved our breakevens down on our Horn River shale gas play. We also started up Ettrick in the North Sea and added incremental volumes from successful infill drilling at Telford. Longhorn in the Gulf of Mexico started up earlier this week. Current production rates are now at an annual high. A summary of our quarterly results, together with recent highlights, is as follows:

- Cash flow of $379 million ($0.73/share) and net income of $122 million ($0.23/share)

- Production before royalties of 214,000 boe/d impacted by turnaround and maintenance activities

- Current production before royalties of 275,000 boe/d and increasing as Ettrick, Longhorn and Long Lake continue to ramp up

- Successful turnaround at Long Lake; bitumen production ramping up; upgrader start-up imminent

- Successful Telford step-out well in the North Sea and significant shale gas progress in the Horn River

- Knotty Head appraisal well currently drilling

                                     Three Months Ended   Nine Months Ended
                                           September 30        September 30
                                    ----------------------------------------
(Cdn$ millions)                          2009      2008      2009      2008
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Production (mboe/d)(1)
 Before Royalties                         214       249       235       257
 After Royalties                          184       209       206       214
Net Sales                               1,097     2,213     3,345     6,154
Cash Flow from Operations(2)              379     1,685     1,379     3,670
 Per Common Share ($/share)(2)           0.73      3.20      2.65      6.95
Net Income                                122       886       277     1,896
 Per Common Share ($/share)              0.23      1.68      0.53      3.59
Capital Investment(3), excluding
 Acquisitions                             671       763     2,178     2,219
Acquisitions(4)                             -         -       755         2
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
(1) Production includes our share of Syncrude oil sands. US investors should
    read the Cautionary Note to US Investors at the end of this release.
(2) For reconciliation of this non-GAAP measure see Cash Flow from
    Operations on pg. 9.
(3) Includes geological and geophysical expenditures.
(4) 2009 represents acquisition of additional 15% interest in Long Lake from
    Opti Canada Inc.

Financial Results

Quarterly cash flow from operations was $379 million and net income was $122 million compared to $1.7 billion and $886 million a year ago. Planned maintenance and turnarounds impacted production volumes and reduced quarterly cash flow by approximately $120 million. At the end of the quarter, we were carrying approximately three quarters of a million barrels of inventory. Cash flow from the sale of this inventory will be realized in the fourth quarter.

The decrease from last year also reflects the impact of lower commodity prices and some significant items included in income last year. In the third quarter, WTI averaged US$68/bbl compared to US$118/bbl a year ago. Last year, our cash flow included a one-time income tax recovery and earnings included a recovery of stock-based compensation following the drop in our share price at the start of the economic crisis.

Compared to the previous quarter, cash flow from operations was $64 million less. This reflects the impact of maintenance and turnaround activities and higher estimated cash taxes offset in part by an improvement in oil prices. The higher taxes reflect the impact of increasing commodity prices and increasing North Sea production volumes from the start-up of new projects. With 85% of our production weighted to oil, we continue to be highly levered to increasing oil prices.

Quarterly Production-Turnarounds Complete and Current Production at Annual
High
                    Production before Royalties  Production after Royalties
Crude Oil, NGLs and
Natural Gas (mboe/d)        Q3 2009     Q2 2009         Q3 2009     Q2 2009
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
North Sea                        76         101              76         101
Yemen                            49          51              28          29
Canada - Oil & Gas               38          38              34          33
Canada - Bitumen                  6           9               6           9
United States                    20          22              18          20
Other Countries                   2           4               2           3
Syncrude                         23          15              20          13
                   ---------------------------------------------------------
Total                           214         240             184         208
                   ---------------------------------------------------------

Third quarter production volumes averaged 214,000 boe/d (184,000 boe/d after royalties). Volumes were lower due to turnarounds and maintenance activities at a number of our fields.

At Buzzard, production was shut-in for four weeks for the installation of the jacket for the fourth platform. This shutdown was scheduled to coincide with maintenance to the Forties pipeline. As a result, Buzzard contributed approximately 60,000 boe/d (138,000 boe/d gross) to our production volumes compared to 87,500 boe/d in the second quarter. Buzzard has since returned to full rates and is currently producing between 200,000 and 220,000 boe/d gross.

At Scott/Telford, we completed a major turnaround which resulted in the fields being shutdown for approximately five weeks. The fields are back on-stream and additional production from the recently announced Telford step-out well has allowed us to almost double our production from the Scott platform. This well encountered 254 feet of high quality net oil pay. We still see additional upside at Telford and expect to conduct follow-up drilling in 2010.

With all of our North Sea fields back online and with growing volumes from the ramp-up of Ettrick, our UK production volumes are at record highs. Our presence here is well established and we are the third largest operator of oil production in the UK.

At Long Lake, we successfully completed the previously announced turnaround to replace valves, clean-out our hot lime softeners, isolate our water treatment trains and perform a number of other planned maintenance activities to improve reliability and operability. We also completed the installation of electric submersible pumps (ESPs) in some of our SAGD wells. With the turnaround complete we have resumed steaming our wells and bitumen volumes are ramping up. In the Gulf of Mexico, maintenance activities were completed at third party operated facilities which impacted production from our Wrigley and Aspen fields. At Syncrude, production increased in the third quarter following the completion of turnaround activity throughout the first half of the year.

"We previously announced that our third quarter would be impacted by planned turnarounds on a number of fields," stated Marvin Romanow, Nexen's President and Chief Executive Officer. "With the completion of these activities and the start up of new production, current production is 275,000 boe/d and growing. With production ramping up at Ettrick, Longhorn and Long Lake, we expect fourth quarter production volumes to be strong."

Global Exploration-Excitement Continues to Build

UK North Sea

The Golden Eagle area has emerged as a significant development opportunity. Our current estimates of contingent recoverable resource range between 150 and 275 mmboe. We expect development of the area will be economic with oil prices as low as US$40/bbl and require standalone facilities due to its size. Project sanction is targeted for 2010. Appraisal activity continues and we have now drilled 13 wells in the area.

"The Golden Eagle area is the largest discovery in the UK North Sea in the last 10 years after Buzzard," commented Romanow. "Like Buzzard, this discovery is a hard to find stratigraphic trap. Our geological model is working well in this mature basin."

As we move into 2010, we are finalizing exploration plans to drill the North Uist prospect, west of the Shetland Islands and the Brand prospect in the Norwegian North Sea. These prospects have target sizes well above our typical North Sea target size.

Offshore West Africa

Earlier this year we completed drilling an exploration well in the southern portion of Oil Prospecting License (OPL) 223, offshore West Africa.

The Owowo South B-1 well was drilled in a water depth of 670 metres and is located 20 kilometres northeast of the Usan field, currently under development. We expect to announce drilling results shortly.

Under the production sharing contract governing OPL 223, the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) is concessionaire of the license, which is operated by Total Exploration & Production Nigeria Ltd. Nexen has an 18% interest in the well.

"We continue to be excited about our exploration opportunities offshore West Africa," said Romanow. "This is a very oily part of the world which improves our chances of success."

Deep-water Gulf of Mexico

In the Gulf of Mexico, the arrival of the Ensco 8501 rig has allowed us to start drilling our Knotty Head appraisal well. The well spud earlier this month and we expect results in the second quarter of 2010. A second deep-water drilling rig is expected to arrive in mid 2010. This will allow us to start drilling more of our identified prospects. In the Eastern Gulf, we recently spud the Appomattox prospect, which is located six miles west of our Vicksburg discovery. Drilling results are expected early next year. During the quarter, we completed drilling the Antietam prospect. The well encountered thick good quality sand, but was wet. We have a 25% interest in Vicksburg and a 20% interest in Appomattox and Shiloh, an earlier discovery. Shell operates all three.

Long Lake-Turnaround Complete and Moving Full Steam Ahead

The turnaround at Long Lake is complete and we have resumed steaming our wells. Steam production is increasing. Bitumen production is back up to pre-turnaround rates of 10,000 to 12,000 bbls/d (gross) and growing. Upgrader start-up is imminent now that we have sufficient bitumen feedstock.

The turnaround activities focused on replacing valves, cleaning out the hot lime softeners and isolating the water treatment trains, and we performed a number of other planned maintenance activities to improve reliability and operability. These activities were successfully completed within the period of scheduled downtime. We also installed ESPs in a number of our SAGD wells. This will allow us to have better pressure control and ultimately reduce our overall steam to oil ratio ("SOR").

In addition, we recently completed the steam de-bottleneck project which will increase our SAGD steam production capacity to over 230,000 bbls/d. Start-up of the de-bottleneck project will proceed as required to support the SAGD ramp-up. We continue to expect a long term SOR of 3.0 over the life of the project.

With respect to the Upgrader, we have now operated all units including the solvent de-asphalter and the thermal cracker. These units are necessary to achieve our target yield of approximately 80%. In addition, Syngas is being used in all SAGD operations. This allows us to decrease operating costs by reducing the requirement for purchased natural gas.

"Following the addition of steam to our hot lime softeners earlier this year, the successful execution of our turnaround program a few weeks ago and the recent completion of our steam de-bottleneck project, we are in great shape to get back on the ramp-up curve we saw prior to the start-up of the upgrader," commented Romanow. "While we expect there will be periods of downtime as bitumen production ramps up, we anticipate continuing improvements in operational stability."

Phase 1 of our Long Lake project is designed to produce 72,000 bbls/d of gross bitumen, upgraded to approximately 60,000 bbls/d (39,000 bbls/d, net to us) of PSCTM. We have a 65% interest in the project and the joint venture lands. We are the sole operator of the resource and the upgrader. We expect Long Lake will generate significant value with 40 years of production at a $10/bbl margin advantage.

UK North Sea-First Oil Produced at Ettrick

Our Ettrick development in the North Sea produced first oil in mid August and we have tested the floating production, storage and offloading vessel (FPSO) up to its design rates. Field production will ramp-up as we commission the gas system. The project is expected to add approximately 12,000 to 16,000 boe/d to our production volumes for the remainder of the year. We have a 2008 discovery at Blackbird which could be a future tie-back to Ettrick. We operate both Ettrick and Blackbird, with a 79.73% working interest in each.

Gulf of Mexico-Longhorn Now On-Stream

Earlier this week, we started production from Longhorn. The field is expected to reach peak production of approximately 200 mmcf/d or 33,000 boe/d gross (50 mmcf/d or 8,000 boe/d, net to us) early next year. We have a 25% non-operated working interest in this project and ENI is the operator.

Horn River Shale Gas-Breakevens Coming Down

Following the conclusion of our recent three-well drilling and completion program, we continue to make significant progress on our substantial Horn River shale gas position in north-east British Columbia. With five shale gas wells now on-stream, we are producing approximately 15 mmcf/d with the majority of production coming from the three new wells. These wells have a higher frac density than our earlier wells. Our land position here could support 500 to 700 wells.

Substantial cost savings and productivity improvements were realized with this drilling and completion program. We took advantage of improved equipment utilization, drilled longer wells, initiated more fracs per well and maintained an industry-leading frac pace of 26 fracs in 15 days while achieving a 100% success rate on our frac program. Two of the wells were completed with eight fracs, while the third well was completed with ten fracs.

"We are making excellent progress in bringing down our Horn River breakevens by decreasing costs and increasing well productivity, and there is more upside to come," said Romanow. "We are in the process of developing an eight-well pad drilling program for this winter. These wells will be longer than our current wells with eighteen fracs per well. The following winter we plan to drill an eighteen-well pad which we expect will drive our breakevens down further."

We have approximately 88,000 acres in the Dilly Creek area of the Horn River basin with a 100% working interest. We estimate our lands contain between 3 and 6 trillion cubic feet (0.5 to 1.0 billion barrels of oil equivalent) of contingent recoverable resource which could double our existing companywide total proved reserves. Further appraisal activity is required before these estimates can be finalized and commerciality established.

Offshore West Africa-Usan Development Continues

Development of the Usan field on block OML 138, offshore Nigeria is fully underway. The field development plan includes a FPSO vessel with a storage capacity of two million barrels of oil. Development drilling is underway and the FPSO hull is under construction. The Usan field is expected to come on-stream in 2012 and will ramp up to a peak production rate of 180,000 bbls/d (36,000 bbls/d net to us). Nexen has a 20% interest in exploration and development on this block and Total E&P Nigeria Limited is the operator.

Marketing Update

We are making progress on the strategic review of our marketing business. Data rooms are ready and numerous parties have expressed interest. Our marketing division continues to contribute to our quarterly results, generating $30 million of cash flow in the third quarter.

Quarterly Dividend

The Board of Directors has declared the regular quarterly dividend of $0.05 per common share payable January 1, 2010, to shareholders of record on December 10, 2009. Shareholders are advised that the dividend is an eligible dividend for Canadian Income Tax purposes.

Nexen Inc. is an independent, Canadian-based global energy company, listed on the Toronto and New York stock exchanges under the symbol NXY. We are uniquely positioned for growth in the North Sea, Western Canada (including the Athabasca oil sands of Alberta and unconventional gas resource plays such as shale gas), deep-water Gulf of Mexico, offshore West Africa and the Middle East. We add value for shareholders through successful full-cycle oil and gas exploration and development and leadership in ethics, integrity, governance and environmental protection.

Information on our previously announced contingent recoverable shale gas and Golden Eagle area resource were provided in our press releases dated April 22, 2008 and September 3, 2009 respectively. Information with respect to forward-looking statements and cautionary notes is set out below.

Conference Call

Marvin Romanow, President and CEO, and Kevin Reinhart, Senior Vice-President and CFO will host a conference call to discuss our financial and operating results and expectations for the future.

Date: October 28, 2009

Time: 7:00 a.m. Mountain Time (9:00 a.m. Eastern Time)

To listen to the conference call, please call one of the following:

416-340-8018 (Toronto)

866-225-0198 (North American toll-free)

800-4222-8835 (Global toll-free)

A replay of the call will be available for two weeks starting at 9:00 a.m. Mountain Time, by calling 416-695-5800 (Toronto) or 800-408-3053 (toll-free) passcode 6827570 followed by the pound sign. A live and on demand webcast of the conference call will be available at www.nexeninc.com.

Forward-Looking Statements

Certain statements in this report constitute "forward-looking statements" (within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995) or "forward-looking information" (within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities legislation). Such statements or information (together "forward-looking statements") are generally identifiable by the forward-looking terminology used such as "anticipate", "believe", "intend", "plan", "expect", "estimate", "budget", "outlook", "forecast" or other similar words and include statements relating to or associated with individual wells, regions or projects. Any statements as to possible future crude oil, natural gas or chemicals prices, future production levels, future cost recovery oil revenues from our Yemen operations, future capital expenditures and their allocation to exploration and development activities, future earnings, future asset dispositions, future sources of funding for our capital program, future debt levels, availability of committed credit facilities, possible commerciality, development plans or capacity expansions, future ability to execute dispositions of assets or businesses, future cash flows and their uses, future drilling of new wells, ultimate recoverability of current and long-term assets, ultimate recoverability of reserves or resources, expected finding and development costs, expected operating costs, future demand for chemicals products, estimates on a per share basis, sales, future expenditures and future allowances relating to environmental matters and dates by which certain areas will be developed, come on stream, or reach expected operating capacity and changes in any of the foregoing are forward-looking statements. Statements relating to "reserves" or "resources" are forward-looking statements, as they involve the implied assessment, based on estimates and assumptions that the reserves and resources described exist in the quantities predicted or estimated, and can be profitably produced in the future. The forward-looking statements are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties and other factors which may cause actual results, levels of activity and achievements to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such statements. Such factors include, among others: market prices for oil and gas and chemicals products; our ability to explore, develop, produce, upgrade and transport crude oil and natural gas to markets; ultimate effectiveness of design modifications to facilities; the results of exploration and development drilling and related activities; volatility in energy trading markets; foreign-currency exchange rates; economic conditions in the countries and regions in which we carry on business; governmental actions including changes to taxes or royalties, changes in environmental and other laws and regulations; renegotiations of contracts; results of litigation, arbitration or regulatory proceedings; and political uncertainty, including actions by terrorists, insurgent or other groups, or other armed conflict, including conflict between states.



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