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Aviva Announces Q3 09 Interim Management Statement
Wednesday, November 04, 2009 3:54 AM


(Source: MARKETWIRE)tracking
News release 
4 November 2009
Aviva plc third quarter 2009 interim management statement 
AVIVA REPORTS GBP27 BILLION WORLDWIDE SALES, SIGNIFICANT BALANCE SHEET
IMPROVEMENT AND POSITIVE 2009 TOTAL PROFIT OUTLOOK
Managing for          - Worldwide total sales and life and pensions
profit                  sales both reduced by 11% due to lower consumer
                        demand and strategic actions
                      - Group margin in line with full year 2008 at
                        2.1%
                      - Outlook for 2009 total profitability remains
                        good
Strong uplift in      - Enhanced IGD solvency surplus of GBP3.7 billion 
capital and balance
sheet                 - 25% increase in MCEV NAV per share
                        at 520 pence from half year 2009
Increasing pace of    - Successful partial IPO of Delta Lloyd,
transformation          completion of sale of Australian life
                        business, UK reattribution and US listing
                      - Europe strategy to deliver synergies and
                        improve distribution and customer focus
                      - New executive team responsibilities announced
                        and new CFO appointed
Andrew Moss, Aviva's group chief executive, commented: "In recent months Aviva
has completed a number of strategic initiatives which, together with improving 
financial markets, significantly increased our capital and balance sheet 
strength.  The outlook for the group's total profitability in 2009 is good 
despite a reduction in sales driven by continuing customer caution and active 
management of sales volumes to optimise profitability."In the past three 
months we've completed the sale of our Australian life business, listed on the 
New York Stock Exchange, announced future management changes and begun to send 
a total of GBP0.5 billion to 805,000 UK customers as a result of our inherited 
estate reattribution.  "Yesterday's successful IPO of part of our holding in 
Delta Lloyd was another significant milestone for Aviva, giving us further 
opportunity to reallocate capital to other parts of the group. The changes we 
have made increase our financial flexibility and position Aviva well for the 
future."
Key financial highlights
                                        Restated(1)               Local
                                9 months   9 months  Sterling  currency
                                    2009       2008    change    change
                                    GBPm       GBPm         %         %
Total life and pensions sales     24,060     27,014     (11)%     (19)%
(PVNBP)(2)
Total investment sales(3)          3,042      3,374     (10)%     (16)%
Total long-term savings           27,102     30,388     (11)%     (19)%
New business margin                 2.1%       2.0%
                                      30         30  Sterling
                               September       June    change
                                    2009       2009         %
                                    GBPm       GBPm
MCEV Net asset value per share      520p       416p       25%
IFRS Net asset value per share      409p       349p       17%
IGD solvency surplus            GBP3.7bn   GBP3.2bn       16%
(1) Restated numbers reflect the move from European Embedded Value
(EEV) to Market Consistent Embedded Value (MCEV) basis
(2) All references to sales in this announcement refer to the present
value of new business premiums (PVNBP) unless otherwise stated. PVNBP
is the present value of new regular premiums plus 100% of single
premiums.
(3) Investment sales are calculated as new single premium plus the
annualised value of new regular premiums.
Information
Investor contacts                       Media contacts
Andrew Moss                             Hayley Stimpson    
+44 (0)20 7662 2286                     +44 (0)20 7662 7544
Philip Scott                            Sue Winston
+44 (0)20 7662 2264                     +44 (0)20 7662 8221   
Charles Barrows                         Andrew Reid
+44 (0)20 7662 8115                     (0)20 7662 3131
Susie Yeoh                              James Murgatroyd/Matthew Newton
+44 (0)20 7662 2117                     (Finsbury)
                                        +44 (0)20 7251 3801
Timings                                 Contents
Real time media conference call         News release
07:30am (GMT)                           Overview...................1
Analyst conference call                 Business review............3
09:30am (GMT)                           Capital management.........7
                                        Supplementary schedules...11
Media
There will be a conference call today for real-time media at 0730 hrs 
(GMT).  The conference call will be hosted by Andrew Moss, group chief
executive.
The Aviva media centre at www.aviva.com/media includes images, company
information and news release archive. Photographs are available on the
Aviva media centre at www.aviva.com/media.
Analysts
There will be a conference call today for analysts and investors at
0930 hrs (GMT) on +44 (0)20 7162 0125 (quoting "Aviva, Andrew Moss",
pass code 849792).  This conference call will be hosted by Andrew
Moss, group chief executive.
Replay will be available until 18 November 2009 on +44 (0)20 7031
4064.  The pass code for the whole conference call, including the
question and answer session, is 849792 and for the question and answer
session only the pass code is 2682077.
Page 1 
OVERVIEW
Key milestones   The period since the half year has been marked by the
delivered        achievement of a number of milestones in the ongoing
                 transformation of Aviva. 
                 We announced yesterday the successful IPO of our Dutch
                 business, Delta Lloyd, on Euronext Amsterdam,
                 which will realise gross proceeds of GBP1.03 billion
                 for a 42% stake. This is a significant strategic
                 milestone which will provide Aviva with the
                 flexibility to explore balance sheet restructuring and
                 further growth opportunities while enhancing the value
                 and liquidity of our retained stake in Delta Lloyd. It
                 was the largest IPO to complete in Western Europe this
                 year and we are delighted with the result.
                 In September we received final approvals for the
                 reattribution of the inherited estates of two of
                 our with profit funds.  This month UK policyholders
                 participating in the reattribution will start
                 receiving payments totalling GBP0.5 billion, in time 
                 for Christmas.
                 In October Aviva established a secondary listing in
                 the US and started trading on the New York Stock
                 Exchange through its level two ADR programme.
                 The US is a strategically important market from both a
                 customer and shareholder perspective. For certain US
                 investors this is a more convenient way to hold Aviva
                 shares and we expect our US shareholder base to
                 increase. It also brings significant additional
                 visibility for the Group in the world's largest
                 savings market.
                 On 1 October we completed the sale of our Australian
                 life business and wealth management platform realising
                 proceeds of GBP0.45 billion.
                 The financial benefits of Aviva's ongoing
                 transformation, such as maintaining group margins and
                 overall cost reductions, remain on track
                 as we announced at the half year and these are key
                 points of differentiation for Aviva as the economic
                 outlook in the markets in which we operate remains
                 uncertain.
New executive    We have recently announced new responsibilities and
responsibilities succession in our executive team. Pat Regan will join
                 Aviva and succeed Philip Scott as chief financial
                 officer in February next year. Mark Hodges, who joined
                 the group board in 2008, will lead our combined UK
                 life and general insurance businesses and Igal Mayer
                 will move to head our operations in North America from
                 1 January to succeed Tom Godlasky. Andrea Moneta, CEO,
                 Europe, has joined the group board and is leading the
                 restructuring of our business in Europe.
Sales            The sustained nature of the economic downturn
profitability    continues to impact customers' keenness and ability
maintained       to save, with many prioritising the repayment
                 of debt over new long-term savings commitments.  In
                 this environment, Aviva has delivered long-term
                 savings sales of GBP27,102 million (2008 restated:
                 GBP30,388 million) a reduction of 11%(1) reflecting our
                 focus on profitability rather than volume of sales in
                 the current economic climate.
                 Our focus on improving the profitability of new
                 business meant that our UK life and pension sales
                 reduced by 25% but the margin for the year to
                 date improved to 2.5% (HY09: 2.1%). In Europe 
                 (excluding Delta Lloyd) sales for the year to
                 date were resilient at GBP9,770 million (2008: GBP9,830
                 million) and benefited from favourable movement in the
                 euro.  This was achieved whilst maintaining margins at
                 3.8% (HY09: 3.8%). Delta Lloyd sales were 11% lower at
                 GBP2,835 million reflecting lower levels of corporate
                 pension business in 2009. In North America, US sales
                 for the first nine months were down at GBP3,742
                 million (2008: GBP3,810 million), reflecting a focus
                 on the optimisation of capital through moderating
                 annuity sales and growing our life insurance business.
                 Finally, in Asia Pacific, economic conditions improved
                 in the third quarter but sales were 22% lower as
                 customers remained cautious about investing in unit-
                 linked savings products.
(1) All growth percentages quoted in this announcement are on a sterling
basis unless stated otherwise.
(2) Comparatives given are Q3 2008, unless stated otherwise
Page 2 
                 Our broad distribution capability continues to serve
                 us well. Bancassurance life and pension sales were
                 resilient, 5% higher than the prior year at GBP7,043
                 million (2008: GBP6,736 million), benefiting from the
                 strength of the euro and demonstrating the value of
                 this revenue stream both to Aviva and to our bank
                 partners.
                 Work to improve the quality and sustainability of
                 earnings has also continued in the general insurance
                 business, both in the UK and overseas, resulting in a
                 combined operating ratio (COR) of 98% for the first
                 nine months of this year. However, premium volumes
                 have reduced, reflecting our stance on writing for
                 value not volume.
Increasing       Our capital position has been further strengthened
financial        following management actions and improved market
flexibility and  conditions. Our IGD surplus stood at GBP3.7 billion as
balance sheet    at 30 September (HY09: GBP3.2 billion). This does not
strength         yet include the GBP0.4 billion uplift from the sale of
                 our Australian business, the additional GBP0.5 billion
                 from the Delta Lloyd IPO or the deduction of
                 GBP0.5 billion for policyholder payments as part of the
                 reattribution exercise. 
                 The strength and quality of our balance sheet has been
                 further underlined by the significant recovery
                 reported today in our MCEV net asset value per share
                 from 416p to 520p.  On an IFRS basis net asset value
                 per share has increased from 349 pence at 30 June 2009
                 to 409 pence at 30 September 2009.
                 At the full year 2008 we established significant
                 provisions against future asset default experience in
                 our UK life business, taking the total default
                 provisions in respect of this business to GBP1.1
                 billion. As at the end of the third quarter 2009,
                 these remain unutilised, with no material default
                 experience in either our commercial mortgage
                 or corporate bond portfolio.  
                 Following the improvement in the US credit markets,
                 unrealised losses on debt securities in our US
                 business moved from a net unrealised loss of GBP2.4
                 billion at 31 December 2008 to a net unrealised gain
                 of GBP0.4 billion at 30 September 2009.
Outlook          We are making significant progress against our five
                 year strategy to transform Aviva. A number of key
                 initiatives have been delivered in the last quarter
                 which will allow us to consider opportunities created
                 by the economic downturn from a position of
                 considerable financial flexibility and strength.
                 Our total profitability outlook for 2009 remains good.
                 Management actions have been taken across the business
                 to maintain and improve margins where possible and
                 reduce costs. We have seen a strong rebound in
                 financial markets which, if sustained to the end of
                 the year, will have a positive effect on our overall
                 profits.
Page 3 
BUSINESS REVIEW
Long-term savings
United Kingdom
In the UK, our focus remains on the successful delivery of our strategy
of product innovation, operational efficiency and disciplined financial
management. We believe this, combined with our broad product range,
wide distribution reach and potential for realising further value from
our significant existing book of business leaves us exceptionally well
placed to continue to deliver value for our shareholders and
customers. 
Market conditions remained challenging and consequently life and
pensions sales were 25% lower at GBP6,664 million (2008: GBP8,845 
million), with collective investments sales of GBP631 million (2008:
GBP1,243 million). Despite this, our life and pensions market share has
increased to 10.8%(1) (Half Year 2008: 10.4%). 
As in the first half of 2009, we continued to focus on improving the
profitability of new business while maintaining rigorous capital
discipline.


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